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Discovering the underlying Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) from time series observational data is highly challenging due to the dynamic nature and complex nonlinear interactions between variables. Existing methods typically search for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Jiajun Zhang , Boyang Qiang , Xiaoyu Guo , Weiwei Xing , Yue Cheng , Witold Pedrycz

This paper studies the causal representation learning problem when the latent causal variables are observed indirectly through an unknown linear transformation. The objectives are: (i) recovering the unknown linear transformation (up to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Burak Varici , Emre Acarturk , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Abhishek Kumar , Ali Tajer

Self-organizing map(SOM) have been widely applied in clustering, this paper focused on centroids of clusters and what they reveal. When the input vectors consists of time, latitude and longitude, the map can be strongly linked to physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-30 Yu Ding

The problem of broad practical interest in spatiotemporal data analysis, i.e., discovering interpretable dynamic patterns from spatiotemporal data, is studied in this paper. Towards this end, we develop a time-varying reduced-rank vector…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Xinyu Chen , Chengyuan Zhang , Xiaoxu Chen , Nicolas Saunier , Lijun Sun

Discovering the causal relationship via recovering the directed acyclic graph (DAG) structure from the observed data is a well-known challenging combinatorial problem. When there are latent variables, the problem becomes even more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-02 Yunfeng Cai , Xu Li , Minging Sun , Ping Li

Temporal background information can improve causal discovery algorithms by orienting edges and identifying relevant adjustment sets. We develop the Temporal Greedy Equivalence Search (TGES) algorithm and terminology essential for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Tobias Ellegaard Larsen , Claus Thorn Ekstrøm , Anne Helby Petersen

Causal discovery is the subfield of causal inference concerned with estimating the structure of cause-and-effect relationships in a system of interrelated variables, as opposed to quantifying the strength or describing the form of causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Rebecca F. Supple , Hannah Worthington , Ben Swallow

Stochasticity plays a key role in many biological systems, necessitating the calibration of stochastic mathematical models to interpret associated data. For model parameters to be estimated reliably, it is typically the case that they must…

The last decades have not only been characterized by an explosive growth of data, but also an increasing appreciation of data as a valuable resource. Their value comes with the ability to extract meaningful patterns that are of economic,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Jonas I. Liechti , Sebastian Bonhoeffer

Factor-based Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) relies on likelihood-based estimation assuming a nonsingular sample covariance matrix, which breaks down in small-sample settings with $p>n$. To address this, we propose a novel estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Hiroki Hasegawa , Aoba Tamura , Yukihiko Okada

Learning causal structures from observational data is a fundamental problem facing important computational challenges when the number of variables is large. In the context of linear structural equation models (SEMs), this paper focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Shuyu Dong , Kento Uemura , Akito Fujii , Shuang Chang , Yusuke Koyanagi , Koji Maruhashi , Michèle Sebag

We study the problem of reducing test-time acquisition costs in classification systems. Our goal is to learn decision rules that adaptively select sensors for each example as necessary to make a confident prediction. We model our system as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-27 Joseph Wang , Kirill Trapeznikov , Venkatesh Saligrama

Data driven discovery of partial differential equations (PDEs) is a promising approach for uncovering the underlying laws governing complex systems. However, purely data driven techniques face the dilemma of balancing search space with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Hao Xu , Yuntian Chen , Rui Cao , Tianning Tang , Mengge Du , Jian Li , Adrian H. Callaghan , Dongxiao Zhang

In many choice modeling applications, people demand is frequently characterized as multiple discrete, which means that people choose multiple items simultaneously. The analysis and prediction of people behavior in multiple discrete choice…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-08 Hung Tran , Tien Mai

A causal vector autoregressive (CVAR) model is introduced for weakly stationary multivariate processes, combining a recursive directed graphical model for the contemporaneous components and a vector autoregressive model longitudinally.…

Causal discovery algorithms based on probabilistic graphical models have emerged in geoscience applications for the identification and visualization of dynamical processes. The key idea is to learn the structure of a graphical model from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-29 Imme Ebert-Uphoff , Yi Deng

Complex systems can be modelled at various levels of detail. Ideally, causal models of the same system should be consistent with one another in the sense that they agree in their predictions of the effects of interventions. We formalise…

This paper presents a new stochastic finite element method for computing structural stochastic responses. The method provides a new expansion of stochastic response and decouples the stochastic response into a combination of a series of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-28 Zhibao Zheng

Public attitudes toward artificial intelligence are heterogeneous, ordinally measured, and poorly captured by any single dependency graph. Existing ordinal structure learners assume a shared directed acyclic graph (DAG) across all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-07 Amir Rafe , Subasish Das

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are central to uncovering causal structure in complex systems, yet learning a single DAG from data is often challenging: model uncertainty, finite samples, and a combinatorially large search space frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yunan Wu , Yue Wang , Chunlin Li , Chenglong Ye