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Risk assessment across industries is paramount for ensuring a robust and sustainable economy. While previous studies have relied heavily on official statistics for their accuracy, they often lag behind real-time developments. Addressing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Hongyin Zhu

This paper introduces StockGPT, an autoregressive ``number'' model trained and tested on 70 million daily U.S.\ stock returns over nearly 100 years. Treating each return series as a sequence of tokens, StockGPT automatically learns the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-24 Dat Mai

The increasing availability of "big" (large volume) social media data has motivated a great deal of research in applying sentiment analysis to predict the movement of prices within financial markets. Previous work in this field investigates…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Ellie Birbeck , Dave Cliff

This paper will discuss how headline data can be used to predict stock prices. The stock price in question is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust, also known as SPY that tracks the performance of the largest 500 publicly traded corporations in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Ayaan Qayyum

Maintaining financial system stability is critical to economic development, and early identification of risks and opportunities is essential. The financial industry contains a wide variety of data, such as financial statements, customer…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-26 Hongyin Zhu

The increasing influence of unstructured external information, such as news articles, on stock prices has attracted growing attention in financial markets. Despite recent advances, most existing newsbased forecasting models represent all…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Jinwoong Kim , Sangjin Park

Accurately predicting short-term stock price movement remains a challenging task due to the market's inherent volatility and sensitivity to investor sentiment. This paper discusses a deep learning framework that integrates emotion features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 An Vuong , Susan Gauch

In recent years, machine learning and deep learning have become popular methods for financial data analysis, including financial textual data, numerical data, and graphical data. This paper proposes to use sentiment analysis to extract…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-27 Yang Li , Yi Pan

Forecasting financial market trends through time series analysis and natural language processing poses a complex and demanding undertaking, owing to the numerous variables that can influence stock prices. These variables encompass a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-04 Ali Asgarov

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

To reject the Efficient Market Hypothesis a set of 5 technical indicators and 23 fundamental indicators was identified to establish the possibility of generating excess returns on the stock market. Leveraging these data points and various…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-17 Jaideep Singh , Matloob Khushi

Investors are interested in predicting future success of startup companies, preferably using publicly available data which can be gathered using free online sources. Using public-only data has been shown to work, but there is still much…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Emily Gavrilenko , Foaad Khosmood , Mahdi Rastad , Sadra Amiri Moghaddam

We revisit the problem of predicting directional movements of stock prices based on news articles: here our algorithm uses daily articles from The Wall Street Journal to predict the closing stock prices on the same day. We propose a unified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-03 Felix Ming Fai Wong , Zhenming Liu , Mung Chiang

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri

Stock price movements are influenced by many factors, and alongside historical price data, tex-tual information is a key source. Public news and social media offer valuable insights into market sentiment and emerging events. These sources…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Wenyan Xu , Dawei Xiang , Rundong Wang , Yonghong Hu , Liang Zhang , Jiayu Chen , Zhonghua Lu

Forecasting the trend of stock prices is an enduring topic at the intersection of finance and computer science. Periodical updates to forecasters have proven effective in handling concept drifts arising from non-stationary markets. However,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-18 Shiluo Huang , Zheng Liu , Ye Deng , Qing Li

Building predictive models for robust and accurate prediction of stock prices and stock price movement is a challenging research problem to solve. The well-known efficient market hypothesis believes in the impossibility of accurate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

Studies conducted on financial market prediction lack a comprehensive feature set that can carry a broad range of contributing factors; therefore, leading to imprecise results. Furthermore, while cooperating with the most recent innovations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Amirhossein Aminimehr , Amin Aminimehr , Hamid Moradi Kamali , Sauleh Eetemadi , Saeid Hoseinzade

Stock market forecasting has been a challenging part for many analysts and researchers. Trend analysis, statistical techniques, and movement indicators have traditionally been used to predict stock price movements, but text extraction has…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Faraz Sasani , Ramin Mousa , Ali Karkehabadi , Samin Dehbashi , Ali Mohammadi

Applying a network analysis to stock return correlations, we study the dynamical properties of the network and how they correlate with the market return, finding meaningful variables that partially capture the complex dynamical processes of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-22 Ixandra Achitouv