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We introduce dataset multiplicity, a way to study how inaccuracies, uncertainty, and social bias in training datasets impact test-time predictions. The dataset multiplicity framework asks a counterfactual question of what the set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Anna P. Meyer , Aws Albarghouthi , Loris D'Antoni

Model multiplicity refers to the existence of multiple machine learning models that describe the data equally well but may produce different predictions on individual samples. In medicine, these models can admit conflicting predictions for…

Trustworthy machine learning is of primary importance to the practical deployment of deep learning models. While state-of-the-art models achieve astonishingly good performance in terms of accuracy, recent literature reveals that their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Ailin Deng , Shen Li , Miao Xiong , Zhirui Chen , Bryan Hooi

Machine learning models are often used to inform real world risk assessment tasks: predicting consumer default risk, predicting whether a person suffers from a serious illness, or predicting a person's risk to appear in court. Given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun

Fairness has been a critical issue that affects the adoption of deep learning models in real practice. To improve model fairness, many existing methods have been proposed and evaluated to be effective in their own contexts. However, there…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Junjie Yang , Jiajun Jiang , Zeyu Sun , Junjie Chen

Machine learning (ML) is increasingly used in high-stakes settings, yet multiplicity - the existence of multiple good models - means that some predictions are essentially arbitrary. ML researchers and philosophers posit that multiplicity…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Anna P. Meyer , Yea-Seul Kim , Aws Albarghouthi , Loris D'Antoni

Prediction models have been widely adopted as the basis for decision-making in domains as diverse as employment, education, lending, and health. Yet, few real world problems readily present themselves as precisely formulated prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , Solon Barocas , Jake M. Hofman , Alexandra Chouldechova

Model multiplicity is a well-known but poorly understood phenomenon that undermines the generalisation guarantees of machine learning models. It appears when two models with similar training-time performance differ in their predictions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Ari Heljakka , Martin Trapp , Juho Kannala , Arno Solin

Multimodal learning has seen remarkable progress, particularly with the emergence of large-scale pre-training across various modalities. However, most current approaches are built on the assumption of a deterministic, one-to-one alignment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Sanghyuk Chun

In many applications, especially those involving prediction, models may yield near-optimal performance yet significantly disagree on individual-level outcomes. This phenomenon, known as predictive multiplicity, has been formally defined in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Mustafa Cavus

Disaggregated performance metrics across demographic groups are a hallmark of fairness assessments in computer vision. These metrics successfully incentivized performance improvements on person-centric tasks such as face analysis and are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Melissa Hall , Bobbie Chern , Laura Gustafson , Denisse Ventura , Harshad Kulkarni , Candace Ross , Nicolas Usunier

Algorithmic modeling relies on limited information in data to extrapolate outcomes for unseen scenarios, often embedding an element of arbitrariness in its decisions. A perspective on this arbitrariness that has recently gained interest is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Prakhar Ganesh , Afaf Taik , Golnoosh Farnadi

Reliable and robust evaluation methods are a necessary first step towards developing machine learning models that are themselves robust and reliable. Unfortunately, current evaluation protocols typically used to assess classifiers fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Michael W. Spratling

The multiple-biomarker classifier problem and its assessment are reviewed against the background of some fundamental principles from the field of statistical pattern recognition, machine learning, or the recently so-called "data science". A…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-01 Waleed A. Yousef

Prediction problems often admit competing models that perform almost equally well. This effect challenges key assumptions in machine learning when competing models assign conflicting predictions. In this paper, we define predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-17 Charles T. Marx , Flavio du Pin Calmon , Berk Ustun

Machine learning (ML) models show strong promise for new biomedical prediction tasks, but concerns about trustworthiness have hindered their clinical adoption. In particular, it is often unclear whether a model relies on true clinical cues…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Dushan N. Wadduwage , Dineth Jayakody , Leonidas Zimianitis

A commonly accepted hypothesis is that models with higher accuracy on Imagenet perform better on other downstream tasks, leading to much research dedicated to optimizing Imagenet accuracy. Recently this hypothesis has been challenged by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Niv Nayman , Avram Golbert , Asaf Noy , Tan Ping , Lihi Zelnik-Manor

Deep neural networks have shown remarkable performance when trained on independent and identically distributed data from a fixed set of classes. However, in real-world scenarios, it can be desirable to train models on a continuous stream of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Nicolas Michel , Giovanni Chierchia , Romain Negrel , Jean-François Bercher , Toshihiko Yamasaki

This paper investigates the critical role of hyperparameters in predictive multiplicity, where different machine learning models trained on the same dataset yield divergent predictions for identical inputs. These inconsistencies can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Mustafa Cavus , Katarzyna Woźnica , Przemysław Biecek

Imitation learning with human data has demonstrated remarkable success in teaching robots in a wide range of skills. However, the inherent diversity in human behavior leads to the emergence of multi-modal data distributions, thereby…

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