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In machine learning and statistics, probabilistic inference involving multimodal distributions is quite difficult. This is especially true in high dimensional problems, where most existing algorithms cannot easily move from one mode to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

Piecewise-deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers constitute a state-of-the-art Markov chain Monte Carlo paradigm in Bayesian computation, with examples including the zig-zag and bouncy particle sampler (bps). Recent work on the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-10 Andrew Chin , Akihiko Nishimura

Using Markov chain Monte Carlo to sample from posterior distributions was the key innovation which made Bayesian data analysis practical. Notoriously, however, MCMC is hard to tune, hard to diagnose, and hard to parallelize. This…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

In this paper, we address technical difficulties that arise when applying Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to hierarchical models designed to perform clustering in the space of latent parameters of subject-wise generative models.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-15 Yu Yao , Klaas E. Stephan

Modern implementations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and related MCMC algorithms support sampling of probability functions that embed numerical root-finding algorithms, thereby allowing fitting of statistical models involving analytically…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Teddy Groves , Nicholas Luke Cowie , Lars Keld Nielsen

Performing stochastic inversion on a computationally expensive forward simulation model with a high-dimensional uncertain parameter space (e.g. a spatial random field) is computationally prohibitive even with gradient information provided.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-19 Charanraj A. Thimmisetty , Wenju Zhao , Xiao Chen , Charles H. Tong , Joshua A. White

With its systematic exploration of probability distributions, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a potent Markov Chain Monte Carlo technique; it is an approach, however, ultimately contingent on the choice of a suitable Hamiltonian function. By…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-20 Michael Betancourt , Leo C. Stein

Gaussian process regression techniques have been used in fluid mechanics for the reconstruction of flow fields from a reduction-of-dimension perspective. A main ingredient in this setting is the construction of adapted covariance functions,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-13 Adrian Padilla-Segarra , Pascal Noble , Olivier Roustant , Éric Savin

We present a scalable Bayesian framework for the analysis of confocal fluorescence spectroscopy data, addressing key limitations in traditional fluorescence correlation spectroscopy methods. Our framework captures molecular motion,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Daniel McBride , Ioannis Sgouralis

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used as surrogate models for complicated functions in scientific and engineering applications. In many cases, prior knowledge about the function to be approximated, such as monotonicity, is available and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Chao Zhang , Jasper M. Everink , Jakob Sauer Jørgensen

Bayesian inverse problems highly rely on efficient and effective inference methods for uncertainty quantification (UQ). Infinite-dimensional MCMC algorithms, directly defined on function spaces, are robust under refinement of physical…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Shiwei Lan

Bayesian learning in undirected graphical models|computing posterior distributions over parameters and predictive quantities is exceptionally difficult. We conjecture that for general undirected models, there are no tractable MCMC (Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Iain Murray , Zoubin Ghahramani

Sampling from hierarchical Bayesian models is often difficult for MCMC methods, because of the strong correlations between the model parameters and the hyperparameters. Recent Riemannian manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC) methods have…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-17 Yichuan Zhang , Charles Sutton

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a well-established family of algorithms primarily used in Bayesian statistics to sample from a target distribution when direct sampling is challenging. Existing work on Bayesian decision trees uses MCMC.…

Computation · Statistics 2023-01-24 Efthyvoulos Drousiotis , Paul G. Spirakis , Simon Maskell

A Kernel Adaptive Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is introduced, for the purpose of sampling from a target distribution with strongly nonlinear support. The algorithm embeds the trajectory of the Markov chain into a reproducing kernel Hilbert…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-16 Dino Sejdinovic , Heiko Strathmann , Maria Lomeli Garcia , Christophe Andrieu , Arthur Gretton

Many inference problems involve inferring the number $N$ of components in some region, along with their properties $\{\mathbf{x}_i\}_{i=1}^N$, from a dataset $\mathcal{D}$. A common statistical example is finite mixture modelling. In the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-01-15 Brendon J. Brewer

In this paper we present an extension of population-based Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to the trans-dimensional case. One of the main challenges in MCMC-based inference is that of simulating from high and trans-dimensional target…

Computation · Statistics 2007-11-02 Ajay Jasra , David A. Stephens , Chris C. Holmes

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful algorithm to sample latent variables from Bayesian models. The advent of probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) frees users from writing inference algorithms and lets users focus on modeling.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Jinlin Lai , Javier Burroni , Hui Guan , Daniel Sheldon

Varying coefficient models (VCMs) are widely used for estimating nonlinear regression functions for functional data. Their Bayesian variants using Gaussian process priors on the functional coefficients, however, have received limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-01 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Cheng Li , Terrance D. Savitsky , Sanvesh Srivastava