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Penalized spline regression is a popular method for scatterplot smoothing, but there has long been a debate on how to construct confidence intervals for penalized spline fits. Due to the penalty, the fitted smooth curve is a biased estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-06 Ning Dai

In this paper we develop and study adaptive empirical Bayesian smoothing splines. These are smoothing splines with both smoothing parameter and penalty order determined via the empirical Bayes method from the marginal likelihood of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Paulo Serra , Tatyana Krivobokova

Regression splines are largely used to investigate and predict data behavior, attracting the interest of mathematicians for their beautiful numerical properties, and of statisticians for their versatility with respect to the applications.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-09 Rosanna Campagna , Serena Crisci , Gabriele Santin , Gerardo Toraldo , Marco Viola

Despite their widespread use in practice, the asymptotic properties of Bayesian penalized splines have not been investigated so far. We close this gap and study posterior concentration rates for Bayesian penalized splines in a Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Paul Bach , Nadja Klein

Challenging research in various fields has driven a wide range of methodological advances in variable selection for regression models with high-dimensional predictors. In comparison, selection of nonlinear functions in models with additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-03-05 Fabian Scheipl , Thomas Kneib , Ludwig Fahrmeir

Penalized B-splines are routinely used in additive models to describe smooth changes in a response with quantitative covariates. It is typically done through the conditional mean in the exponential family using generalized additive models…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-12 Philippe Lambert

A basis expansion with regularization methods is much appealing to the flexible or robust nonlinear regression models for data with complex structures. When the underlying function has inhomogeneous smoothness, it is well known that…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-02 Daeju Kim , Shuichi Kawano , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

We propose a new approach to mixed-frequency regressions in a high-dimensional environment that resorts to Group Lasso penalization and Bayesian techniques for estimation and inference. In particular, to improve the prediction properties of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-12 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

The extension of the classical Bayesian penalized spline method to inference on vector-valued functions is considered, with an emphasis on characterizing the suitability of the method for general application.We show that the standard…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-03-26 David M. Rogers , Thomas L. Beck

We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Seonghyun Jeong , Taeyoung Park , David A. van Dyk

Bayesian P-splines assume an intrinsic Gaussian Markov random field prior on the spline coefficients, conditional on a precision hyper-parameter $\tau$. Prior elicitation of $\tau$ is difficult. To overcome this issue we aim to building…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-16 Massimo Ventrucci , Håvard Rue

Nonlinear dynamics are ubiquitous in science and engineering applications, but the physics of most complex systems is far from being fully understood. Discovering interpretable governing equations from measurement data can help us…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Luning Sun , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Hao Sun , Jian-Xun Wang

We apply nonparametric Bayesian methods to study the problem of estimating the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. We exhibit a prior on intensities which both leads to a computationally feasible method and enjoys…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-28 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Harry van Zanten

The penalized profile sampler for semiparametric inference is an extension of the profile sampler method (Lee, Kosorok and Fine, 2005) obtained by profiling a penalized log-likelihood. The idea is to base inference on the posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Guang Cheng , Michael R. Kosorok

We consider penalized regression models under a unified framework where the particular method is determined by the form of the penalty term. We propose a fully Bayesian approach that incorporates both sparse and dense settings and show how…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones

Augmenting a smooth cost function with an $\ell_1$ penalty allows analysts to efficiently conduct estimation and variable selection simultaneously in sophisticated models and can be efficiently implemented using proximal gradient methods.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Nathan Wycoff , Lisa O. Singh , Ali Arab , Katharine M. Donato

The P-splines of Eilers and Marx (1996) combine a B-spline basis with a discrete quadratic penalty on the basis coefficients, to produce a reduced rank spline like smoother. P-splines have three properties that make them very popular as…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-10 Simon N. Wood

We propose a novel method to model nonlinear regression problems by adapting the principle of penalization to Partial Least Squares (PLS). Starting with a generalized additive model, we expand the additive component of each variable in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-13 Nicole Kraemer , Anne-Laure Boulesteix , Gerhard Tutz

Regression spline is a useful tool in nonparametric regression. However, finding the optimal knot locations is a known difficult problem. In this article, we introduce the Non-concave Penalized Regression Spline. This proposal method not…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-11 Heng Peng

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu
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