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Motivated by recently emerging problems in machine learning and statistics, we propose data models which relax the familiar i.i.d. assumption. In essence, we seek to understand what it means for data to come from a set of probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Christian Fröhlich , Robert C. Williamson

We propose two classes of dynamic versions of the classical Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph: one in which the transition rates are governed by an external regime process, and one in which the transition rates are periodically resampled. For both…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-17 M. Mandjes , N. J. Starreveld , R. Bekker , P. Spreij

This review article provides an overview of recent work in the modeling and analysis of recurrent events arising in engineering, reliability, public health, biomedicine and other areas. Recurrent event modeling possesses unique facets…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-08-03 Edsel A. Peña

Mathematical models of the real world are simplified representations of complex systems. A caveat to using mathematical models is that predicted causal effects and conditional independences may not be robust under model extensions, limiting…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Tineke Blom , Joris M. Mooij

We provide an axiomatic foundation for the representation of num\'{e}raire-invariant preferences of economic agents acting in a financial market. In a static environment, the simple axioms turn out to be equivalent to the following choice…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-09 Constantinos Kardaras

The exploration of complex physical or technological processes usually requires exploiting available information from different sources: (i) physical laws often represented as a family of parameter dependent partial differential equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Ron DeVore

In longitudinal studies, subjects may be lost to follow-up, or miss some of the planned visits, leading to incomplete response sequences. When the probability of non-response, conditional on the available covariates and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-10 Alessandra Spagnoli , Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfò

The interplay between missing data and model uncertainty -- two classic statistical problems -- leads to primary questions that we formally address from an objective Bayesian perspective. For the general regression problem, we discuss the…

Stochastic kinetic models are often used to describe complex biological processes. Typically these models are analytically intractable and have unknown parameters which need to be estimated from observed data. Ideally we would have…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-13 Richard J. Boys , Holly F. Ainsworth , Colin S. Gillespie

We present a simple model for describing the dynamics of the interaction between a homogeneous population or society, and the natural resources and reserves that the society needs for its survival. The model is formulated in terms of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-22 Basil Grammaticos , Ralph Willox , Junkichi Satsuma

In spite of the large amount of existing neural models in the literature, there is a lack of a systematic review of the possible effect of choosing different initial conditions on the dynamic evolution of neural systems. In this short…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-24 Pedro A. Valdes-Hernandez , Thomas Knoesche

We propose an extension of the classical $\Lambda$-Fleming-Viot model to intrinsically varying population sizes. During events, instead of replacing a proportion of the population, a random mass dies and a, possibly different, random mass…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-13 Julian Kern , Bastian Wiederhold

Models of complex networks often incorporate node-intrinsic properties abstracted as hidden variables. The probability of connections in the network is then a function of these variables. Real-world networks evolve over time, and many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-19 Harrison Hartle , Fragkiskos Papadopoulos , Dmitri Krioukov

The article discusses a generalization of model of economic growth with constant pace, which takes into account the effects of dynamic memory. Memory means that endogenous or exogenous variable at a given time depends not only on their…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-04 Valentina V. Tarasova , Vasily E. Tarasov

We revisit a model for time-varying linear regression that assumes the unknown parameters evolve according to a linear dynamical system. Counterintuitively, we show that when the underlying dynamics are stable the parameters of this model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Ali Jadbabaie , Horia Mania , Devavrat Shah , Suvrit Sra

In order to investigate the evolutionary process of many deterministic Dynamical systems with unfixed parameter, a set of dynamical models with parameter changing continuously and the accumulation of this change might be large is introduced…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 H. P. Fang

This paper proposes a framework in which agents are constrained to use simple models to forecast economic variables and characterizes the resulting biases. It considers agents who can only entertain state-space models with no more than d…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-10 Pooya Molavi

Opinion Dynamics models can be, for most of them, divided between discrete and continuous. They are used in different circumstances and the relationship between them is not clear. Here we will explore the relationship between a model where…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-10-29 André C. R. Martins

In this paper, we introduce a data-driven modeling approach for dynamics problems with latent variables. The state-space of the proposed model includes artificial latent variables, in addition to observed variables that can be fitted to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Yushuang Luo , Xiantao Li , Wenrui Hao

In solving a system of $n$ linear equations in $d$ variables $Ax=b$, the condition number of the $n,d$ matrix $A$ measures how much errors in the data $b$ affect the solution $x$. Estimates of this type are important in many inverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Tomaso Poggio , Gil Kur , Andrzej Banburski
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