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Large collections of time series data are often organized into hierarchies with different levels of aggregation; examples include product and geographical groupings. Probabilistic coherent forecasting is tasked to produce forecasts…

Mixtures of linear mixed models are widely used for modelling longitudinal data for which observation times differ between subjects. In typical applications, temporal trends are described using a basis expansion, with basis coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein , David J. Nott

The topic of deep learning has seen a surge of interest in recent years both within and outside of the field of Statistics. Deep models leverage both nonlinearity and interaction effects to provide superior predictions in many cases when…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan

Forecast combination and model averaging have become popular tools in forecasting and prediction, both of which combine a set of candidate estimates with certain weights and are often shown to outperform single estimates. A data-driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-31 Jiahui Zou , Andrey Vasnev , Wendun Wang , Xinyu Zhang

This paper proposes a penalized composite likelihood method for model selection in colored graphical Gaussian models. The method provides a sparse and symmetry-constrained estimator of the precision matrix, and thus conducts model selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-06 Qiong Li , Xiaoying Sun , Nanwei Wang

Due to the significant delay and cost associated with experimental tests, a model based evaluation of concrete compressive strength is of high value, both for the purpose of strength prediction as well as the mixture optimization. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Seyed Arman Taghizadeh Motlagh , Mehran Naghizadehrokni

We wish to estimate conditional density using Gaussian Mixture Regression model with logistic weights and means depending on the covariate. We aim at selecting the number of components of this model as well as the other parameters by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Lucie Montuelle , Erwan Le Pennec , Serge Cohen

A general framework for dealing with both linear regression and clustering problems is described. It includes Gaussian clusterwise linear regression analysis with random covariates and cluster analysis via Gaussian mixture models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Giuliano Galimberti , Annamaria Manisi , Gabriele Soffritti

Clustered data is ubiquitous in a variety of scientific fields. In this paper, we propose a flexible and interpretable modeling approach, called grouped heterogenous mixture modeling, for clustered data, which models cluster-wise…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-10 Shonosuke Sugasawa

Symbolic data analysis has been proposed as a technique for summarising large and complex datasets into a much smaller and tractable number of distributions -- such as random rectangles or histograms -- each describing a portion of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-23 Thomas Whitaker , Boris Beranger , Scott A. Sisson

Matching a nonprobability sample to a probability sample is one strategy both for selecting the nonprobability units and for weighting them. This approach has been employed in the past to select subsamples of persons from a large panel of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-03 Zhan Liu , Richard Valliant

The mixture models have become widely used in clustering, given its probabilistic framework in which its based, however, for modern databases that are characterized by their large size, these models behave disappointingly in setting out the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-01 Abdelghafour Talibi , Boujemâa Achchab , Rafik Lasri

Throughout the life sciences we routinely seek to interpret measurements and observations using parameterised mechanistic mathematical models. A fundamental and often overlooked choice in this approach involves relating the solution of a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-10 Ryan J. Murphy , Oliver J. Maclaren , Matthew J. Simpson

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

We introduce finite mixtures of Ising models as a novel approach to study multivariate patterns of associations of binary variables. Our proposed models combine the strengths of Ising models and multivariate Bernoulli mixture models. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-02 Zhen Miao , Yen-Chi Chen , Adrian Dobra

Gibbs random fields play an important role in statistics, for example the autologistic model is commonly used to model the spatial distribution of binary variables defined on a lattice. However they are complicated to work with due to an…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-25 Nial Friel

Logistic regression is the most commonly used method for constructing predictive models for binary responses. One significant drawback to this approach, however, is that the asymptotes of the logistic response function are fixed at 0 and 1,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Anthony Almudevar , Jacob Almudevar

Two-phase sampling designs are frequently employed in epidemiological studies and large-scale health surveys. In such designs, certain variables are exclusively collected within a second-phase random subsample of the initial first-phase…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-25 Lingxiao Wang

We propose to learn latent graphical models when data have mixed variables and missing values. This model could be used for further data analysis, including regression, classification, ranking etc. It also could be used for imputing missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-17 Xiao Li , Jinzhu Jia , Yuan Yao

Networked datasets can be enriched by different types of information about individual nodes or edges. However, most existing methods for analyzing such datasets struggle to handle the complexity of heterogeneous data, often requiring…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Martina Contisciani , Marius Hobbhahn , Eleanor A. Power , Philipp Hennig , Caterina De Bacco