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Probability forecasting is common in the geosciences, the finance sector, and elsewhere. It is sometimes the case that one has multiple probability-forecasts for the same target. How is the information in these multiple forecast systems…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Sarah Higgins , Hailiang Du , Leonard A. Smith

We define a class of probability distributions that we call simplicial mixture models, inspired by simplicial complexes from algebraic topology. The parameters of these distributions represent their topology and we show that it is possible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 James T. Griffin

A composite likelihood is a non-genuine likelihood function that allows to make inference on limited aspects of a model, such as marginal or conditional distributions. Composite likelihoods are not proper likelihoods and need therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-06 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato , Nicola Sartori

Unit-level models for survey data offer many advantages over their area-level counterparts, such as potential for more precise estimates and a natural benchmarking property. However two main challenges occur in this context: accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-18 Paul A. Parker , Scott H. Holan , Ryan Janicki

We construct a "hyperparameter matrix" statistical method for performing the joint analyses of multiple correlated astronomical data sets, in which the weights of data sets are determined by their own statistical properties. This method is…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-05-20 Yin-Zhe Ma , Aaron Berndsen

Model merging provides a cost-effective and data-efficient combination of specialized deep neural networks through parameter integration. This technique leverages expert models across downstream tasks without requiring retraining. Most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Levy Chaves , Eduardo Valle , Sandra Avila

Researchers are often interested in understanding the relationship between a set of covariates and a set of response variables. To achieve this goal, the use of regression analysis, either linear or generalized linear models, is largely…

In the analysis of survey data, sampling weights are needed for consistent estimation of the population. However, the original inverse probability weights from the survey sample design are typically modified to account for non-response, to…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-19 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

Linear mixed models are widely used for clustered data, but their reliance on parametric forms limits flexibility in complex and high-dimensional settings. In contrast, gradient boosting methods achieve high predictive accuracy through…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Mitchell L. Prevett , Francis K. C. Hui , Zhi Yang Tho , A. H. Welsh , Anton H. Westveld

In clinical settings, we often face the challenge of building prediction models based on small observational data sets. For example, such a data set might be from a medical center in a multi-center study. Differences between centers might…

We propose a versatile and computationally efficient estimating equation method for a class of hierarchical multiplicative generalized linear mixed models with additive dispersion components, based on explicit modelling of the covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-18 René Holst , Bent Jørgensen

Two popular approaches for relating correlated measurements of a non-Gaussian response variable to a set of predictors are to fit a marginal model using generalized estimating equations and to fit a generalized linear mixed model by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Jeffrey J. Gory , Peter F. Craigmile , Steven N. MacEachern

Often the rows (cases, objects) of a dataset have weights. For instance, the weight of a case may reflect the number of times it has been observed, or its reliability. For analyzing such data many rowwise weighted techniques are available,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Peter J. Rousseeuw

An informative sampling design leads to the selection of units whose inclusion probabilities are correlated with the response variable of interest. Model inference performed on the resulting observed sample will be biased for the population…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Matthew R. Williams , Terrance D. Savitsky

Clustered data, which arise when observations are nested within groups, are incredibly common in clinical, education, and social science research. Traditionally, a linear mixed model, which includes random effects to account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Kevin McCoy , Zachary Wooten , Katarzyna Tomczak , Christine B. Peterson

Regression models, where the response variable is circular, are common in areas such as biology, geology and meteorology. A typical model assumes that the conditional distribution of the response follows a von-Mises distribution. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Sphiwe B. Skhosana , Najmeh Nakhaei Rad

Finite mixture regression models are useful for modeling the relationship between response and predictors, arising from different subpopulations. In this article, we study high-dimensional predic- tors and high-dimensional response, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Emilie Devijver

The occurrence of atypical circular observations on the torus can badly affect parameter estimation of the multivariate von Mises distribution. This paper addresses the problem of robust fitting of the multivariate von Mises model using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Giulia Bertagnolli , Luca Greco , Claudio Agostinelli

The (relevance) weighted likelihood was introduced to formally embrace a variety of statistical procedures that trade bias for precision. Unlike its classical counterpart, the weighted likelihood combines all relevant information while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Xiaogang Wang , James V. Zidek

The analysis of experimental data with mixed-effects models requires decisions about the specification of the appropriate random-effects structure. Recently, Barr, Levy, Scheepers, and Tily, 2013 recommended fitting `maximal' models with…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-29 Douglas Bates , Reinhold Kliegl , Shravan Vasishth , Harald Baayen