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Time series graphical models have recently received considerable attention for characterizing (conditional) dependence structures in multivariate time series. In many applications, the multivariate series exhibit variable-partitioned…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Qin Fang , Xinghao Qiao , Zihan Wang

Deep learning has significantly advanced time series forecasting through its powerful capacity to capture sequence relationships. However, training these models with the Mean Square Error (MSE) loss often results in over-smooth predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Dongyue Chen , Emadeldeen Eldele , Qinghua Hu

Graphs are a commonly used construct for representing relationships between elements in complex high dimensional datasets. Many real-world phenomenon are dynamic in nature, meaning that any graph used to represent them is inherently…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Stephen Bonner , John Brennan , Ibad Kureshi , Georgios Theodoropoulos , Andrew Stephen McGough , Boguslaw Obara

This article proposes methods to model nonstationary temporal graph processes. This corresponds to modelling the observation of edge variables (relationships between objects) indicating interactions between pairs of nodes (or objects)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-07 Maria Suveges , Sofia C. Olhede

Hypergraph offers a framework to depict the multilateral relationships in real-world complex data. Predicting higher-order relationships, i.e hyperedge, becomes a fundamental problem for the full understanding of complicated interactions.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Changlin Wan , Muhan Zhang , Wei Hao , Sha Cao , Pan Li , Chi Zhang

Timely detected anomalies in the chemical technological processes, as well as the earliest detection of the cause of the fault, significantly reduce the production cost in the industrial factories. Data on the state of the technological…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Alexander Kovalenko , Vitaliy Pozdnyakov , Ilya Makarov

The significant increase in world population and urbanisation has brought several important challenges, in particular regarding the sustainability, maintenance and planning of urban mobility. At the same time, the exponential increase of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 João Rico , José Barateiro , Arlindo Oliveira

Time-series is ubiquitous across applications, such as transportation, finance and healthcare. Time-series is often influenced by external factors, especially in the form of asynchronous events, making forecasting difficult. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Jihai Zhang , Junchi Yan , Yaohui Jin , Yunhao Zhang , Yanjie Duan , Guangjian Tian

Irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) are characterized by irregular time intervals within variables and unaligned observations across variables, posing challenges in learning temporal and variable dependencies. Many existing IMTS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Boyuan Li , Yicheng Luo , Zhen Liu , Junhao Zheng , Jianming Lv , Qianli Ma

We extend the decomposition approach for learning Bayesian networks (BNs) proposed by (Xie et. al.) to learning multivariate regression chain graphs (MVR CGs), which include BNs as a special case. The same advantages of this decomposition…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-02-26 Mohammad Ali Javidian , Marco Valtorta

Risk prediction, as a typical time series modeling problem, is usually achieved by learning trends in markers or historical behavior from sequence data, and has been widely applied in healthcare and finance. In recent years, deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Youru Li , Zhenfeng Zhu , Xiaobo Guo , Shaoshuai Li , Yuchen Yang , Yao Zhao

Cyber-physical systems often consist of entities that interact with each other over time. Meanwhile, as part of the continued digitization of industrial processes, various sensor technologies are deployed that enable us to record…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-03 Razvan-Gabriel Cirstea , Darius-Valer Micu , Gabriel-Marcel Muresan , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is an essential problem in many fields. Accurate forecasting results can effectively help decision-making. To date, many MTS forecasting methods have been proposed and widely applied. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Yida Huang , Jie Feng , Yueyang Wang

Modeling temporal multimodal data poses significant challenges in classification tasks, particularly in capturing long-range temporal dependencies and intricate cross-modal interactions. Audiovisual data, as a representative example, is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Feng Xu , Hui Wang , Yuting Huang , Danwei Zhang , Zizhu Fan

With the advancement of sensing technology, multivariate time series classification (MTSC) has recently received considerable attention. Existing deep learning-based MTSC techniques, which mostly rely on convolutional or recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Yueyang Wang , Yida Huang , Anni Ren , Zhongbin Xu , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang

Representation learning models for graphs are a successful family of techniques that project nodes into feature spaces that can be exploited by other machine learning algorithms. Since many real-world networks are inherently dynamic, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Simone Piaggesi , André Panisson

This study presents a hierarchical mining framework for high-dimensional imbalanced data, leveraging a depth graph model to address the inherent performance limitations of conventional approaches in handling complex, high-dimensional data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Yijiashun Qi , Quanchao Lu , Shiyu Dou , Xiaoxuan Sun , Muqing Li , Yankaiqi Li

Existing Graph Neural Network (GNN) methods that learn inductive unsupervised graph representations focus on learning node and edge representations by predicting observed edges in the graph. Although such approaches have shown advances in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Leonardo Cotta , Carlos H. C. Teixeira , Ananthram Swami , Bruno Ribeiro

We present a novel methodology for modeling and forecasting multivariate realized volatilities using customized graph neural networks to incorporate spillover effects across stocks. The proposed model offers the benefits of incorporating…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-04 Chao Zhang , Xingyue Pu , Mihai Cucuringu , Xiaowen Dong

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have achieved tremendous success on multiple graph-based learning tasks by fusing network structure and node features. Modern GNN models are built upon iterative aggregation of neighbor's/proximity features by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Susheel Suresh , Vinith Budde , Jennifer Neville , Pan Li , Jianzhu Ma