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Physics-based simulations and learning-based models are vital for complex robotics tasks like deformable object manipulation and liquid handling. However, these models often struggle with accuracy due to epistemic uncertainty or the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Marco Faroni , Carlo Odesco , Andrea Zanchettin , Paolo Rocco

As instruction-tuned large language models (LLMs) evolve, aligning pretrained foundation models presents increasing challenges. Existing alignment strategies, which typically leverage diverse and high-quality data sources, often overlook…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Yikun Wang , Rui Zheng , Liang Ding , Qi Zhang , Dahua Lin , Dacheng Tao

Bayesian optimization is a popular tool for data-efficient optimization of expensive objective functions. In real-life applications like engineering design, the designer often wants to take multiple objectives as well as input uncertainty…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-28 J. Qing , I. Couckuyt , T. Dhaene

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems accelerate medical workflows and improve diagnostic accuracy in healthcare, serving as second-opinion systems. However, the unpredictability of AI errors poses a significant challenge, particularly in…

Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

In this work, we propose a hyperparameter optimization method named \emph{HyperTime} to find hyperparameters robust to potential temporal distribution shifts in the unseen test data. Our work is motivated by an important observation that it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Shaokun Zhang , Yiran Wu , Zhonghua Zheng , Qingyun Wu , Chi Wang

We study methods for estimating model uncertainty for neural networks (NNs) in regression. To isolate the effect of model uncertainty, we focus on a noiseless setting with scarce training data. We introduce five important desiderata…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Jakob Heiss , Jakob Weissteiner , Hanna Wutte , Sven Seuken , Josef Teichmann

Chance constrained program where one seeks to minimize an objective over decisions which satisfy randomly disturbed constraints with a given probability is computationally intractable. This paper proposes an approximate approach to address…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-23 Xun Shen , Jiancang Zhuang , Xingguo Zhang

Several different uncertain inference systems (UISs) have been developed for representing uncertainty in rule-based expert systems. Some of these, such as Mycin's Certainty Factors, Prospector, and Bayes' Networks were designed as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Ben P. Wise , Max Henrion

Active search, in applications like environment monitoring or disaster response missions, involves autonomous agents detecting targets in a search space using decision making algorithms that adapt to the history of their observations.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Arundhati Banerjee , Ramina Ghods , Jeff Schneider

In real-world problems, uncertainties (e.g., errors in the measurement, precision errors) often lead to poor performance of numerical algorithms when not explicitly taken into account. This is also the case for control problems, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Carlos Ignacio Hernández Castellanos , Sina Ober-Blöbaum , Sebastian Peitz

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for ensuring the safety and reliability of these models. Traditional UQ methods rely on specifying a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Abhineet Agarwal , Michael Xiao , Rebecca Barter , Omer Ronen , Boyu Fan , Bin Yu

This work is dedicated to the study of how uncertainty estimation of the human motion prediction can be embedded into constrained optimization techniques, such as Model Predictive Control (MPC) for the social robot navigation. We propose…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-19 Timur Akhtyamov , Aleksandr Kashirin , Aleksey Postnikov , Gonzalo Ferrer

Existing approaches of prescriptive analytics -- where inputs of an optimization model can be predicted by leveraging covariates in a machine learning model -- often attempt to optimize the mean value of an uncertain objective. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Dimitris Bertsimas , Benjamin Boucher

[Context] The use of defect prediction models, such as classifiers, can support testing resource allocations by using data of the previous releases of the same project for predicting which software components are likely to be defective. A…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-08-03 Davide Falessi , Jacky Huang , Likhita Narayana , Jennifer Fong Thai , Burak Turhan

This study compares the inherent intuitiveness or usability of the most prominent methods for managing uncertainty in expert systems, including those of EMYCIN, PROSPECTOR, Dempster-Shafer theory, fuzzy set theory, simplified probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 David S. Vaughan , Bruce M. Perrin , Robert M. Yadrick

In real-time systems, priorities assigned to real-time tasks determine the order of task executions, by relying on an underlying task scheduling policy. Assigning optimal priority values to tasks is critical to allow the tasks to complete…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Jaekwon Lee , Seung Yeob Shin , Shiva Nejati , Lionel C. Briand

Mixed-Criticality (MC) systems consolidate multiple functionalities with different criticalities onto a single hardware platform. Such systems improve the overall resource utilization while guaranteeing resources to critical tasks. In this…

Operating Systems · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Saravanan Ramanathan , Arvind Easwaran

Many engineering and scientific workflows rely on expensive black-box evaluations, requiring sequential decisions that must both improve task performance and reduce uncertainty. Bayesian optimization (BO) and Bayesian experimental design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Yingke Li , Anjali Parashar , Enlu Zhou , Chuchu Fan

We consider robust optimization problems, where the goal is to optimize an unknown objective function against the worst-case realization of an uncertain parameter. For this setting, we design a novel sample-efficient algorithm GP-MRO, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Pier Giuseppe Sessa , Ilija Bogunovic , Maryam Kamgarpour , Andreas Krause
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