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When probabilistic classifiers are trained and calibrated, the so-called grouping loss component of the calibration loss can easily be overlooked. Grouping loss refers to the gap between observable information and information actually…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-26 Dirk Tasche

A set of probabilistic predictions is well calibrated if the events that are predicted to occur with probability p do in fact occur about p fraction of the time. Well calibrated predictions are particularly important when machine learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-14 Mahdi Pakdaman Naeini , Gregory F. Cooper , Milos Hauskrecht

Current traditional methods for LiDAR-camera extrinsics estimation depend on offline targets and human efforts, while learning-based approaches resort to iterative refinement for calibration results, posing constraints on their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Shuang Xu , Sifan Zhou , Zhi Tian , Jizhou Ma , Qiong Nie , Xiangxiang Chu

While the performance of machine learning systems has experienced significant improvement in recent years, relatively little attention has been paid to the fundamental question: to what extent can we improve our models? This paper provides…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Ryota Ushio , Takashi Ishida , Masashi Sugiyama

Continual Learning (CL) focuses on maximizing the predictive performance of a model across a non-stationary stream of data. Unfortunately, CL models tend to forget previous knowledge, thus often underperforming when compared with an offline…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Lanpei Li , Elia Piccoli , Andrea Cossu , Davide Bacciu , Vincenzo Lomonaco

Iterative regularization is a classic idea in regularization theory, that has recently become popular in machine learning. On the one hand, it allows to design efficient algorithms controlling at the same time numerical and statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vassilis Apidopoulos , Tomaso Poggio , Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa

Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

In this work, we aim to calibrate the score outputs of an estimator for the binary classification problem by finding an 'optimal' mapping to class probabilities, where the 'optimal' mapping is in the sense that minimizes the classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

Being cautious is crucial for enhancing the trustworthiness of machine learning systems integrated into decision-making pipelines. Although calibrated probabilities help in optimal decision-making, perfect calibration remains unattainable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Mari-Liis Allikivi , Joonas Järve , Meelis Kull

A much studied issue is the extent to which the confidence scores provided by machine learning algorithms are calibrated to ground truth probabilities. Our starting point is that calibration is seemingly incompatible with class weighting, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Andrew Caplin , Daniel Martin , Philip Marx

Reliable usage of object detectors require them to be calibrated -- a crucial problem that requires careful attention. Recent approaches towards this involve (1) designing new loss functions to obtain calibrated detectors by training them…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Selim Kuzucu , Kemal Oksuz , Jonathan Sadeghi , Puneet K. Dokania

Binary classification involves predicting the label of an instance based on whether the model score for the positive class exceeds a threshold chosen based on the application requirements (e.g., maximizing recall for a precision bound).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Gundeep Arora , Srujana Merugu , Anoop Saladi , Rajeev Rastogi

Contrastive Language-Image Pretraining (CLIP) has achieved remarkable success in cross-modal tasks such as zero-shot image classification and text-image retrieval by effectively aligning visual and textual representations. However, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Yingrui Ji , Xi Xiao , Gaofei Chen , Hao Xu , Chenrui Ma , Lijing Zhu , Aokun Liang , Jiansheng Chen

Model overconfidence and poor calibration are common in machine learning and difficult to account for when applying standard empirical risk minimization. In this work, we propose a novel method to alleviate these problems that we call…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Lukas Muttenthaler , Robert A. Vandermeulen , Qiuyi Zhang , Thomas Unterthiner , Klaus-Robert Müller

Most binary classifiers work by processing the input to produce a scalar response and comparing it to a threshold value. The various measures of classifier performance assume, explicitly or implicitly, probability distributions $P_s$ and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Luma Omar , Ioannis Ivrissimtzis

Classifier calibration does not always go hand in hand with the classifier's ability to separate the classes. There are applications where good classifier calibration, i.e. the ability to produce accurate probability estimates, is more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Tuomo Alasalmi , Jaakko Suutala , Heli Koskimäki , Juha Röning

Model calibration aims to align confidence with prediction correctness. The Cross-Entropy (CE) loss is widely used for calibrator training, which enforces the model to increase confidence on the ground truth class. However, we find the CE…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Yuchi Liu , Lei Wang , Yuli Zou , James Zou , Liang Zheng

Multimodal machine learning has achieved remarkable progress in a wide range of scenarios. However, the reliability of multimodal learning remains largely unexplored. In this paper, through extensive empirical studies, we identify current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Huan Ma. Qingyang Zhang , Changqing Zhang , Bingzhe Wu , Huazhu Fu , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Qinghua Hu

Post-hoc recalibration methods are widely used to ensure that classifiers provide faithful probability estimates. We argue that parametric recalibration functions based on logistic regression can be motivated from a simple theoretical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Eugène Berta , David Holzmüller , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

Probabilistic models must be well calibrated to support reliable decision-making. While calibration in single-output regression is well studied, defining and achieving multivariate calibration in multi-output regression remains considerably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Naomi Desobry , Elnura Zhalieva , Souhaib Ben Taieb
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