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Pertaining to Agent-based Computational Economics (ACE), this work presents two models for the rise and downfall of speculative bubbles through an exchange price fixing based on double auction mechanisms. The first model is based on a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-08-16 Yann Semet , Sylvain Gelly , Marc Schoenauer , Michèle Sebag

We describe a simple model for speculative trading based on adaptive behavior of economic agents.The adaptive behavior is expressed through a feedback mechanism for changing agents' stock-to-bond ratios, depending on the past performance of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-26 Misha Perepelitsa

This paper introduces an agent-based artificial financial market in which heterogeneous agents trade one single asset through a realistic trading mechanism for price formation. Agents are initially endowed with a finite amount of cash and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Marco Raberto , Silvano Cincotti , Sergio M. Focardi , Michele Marchesi

We describe a new model to simulate the dynamic interactions between market price and the decisions of two different kind of traders. They possess spatial mobility allowing to group together to form coalitions. Each coalition follows a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Filippo Castiglione

Proving the existence of speculative financial bubbles even a posteriori has proven exceedingly difficult so anticipating a speculative bubble ex ante would at first seem an impossible task. Still as illustrated by the recent turmoil in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Magda Roszczynska , Andrzej Nowak , Daniel Kamieniarz , Sorin Solomon , Jorgen Vitting Andersen

The aim of this paper is to propose a heterogeneous agent model of stock markets that develop complicated endogenous price fluctuations. We find occurrences of non-stationary chaos, or speculative bubble, are caused by the heterogeneity of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

This paper presents an agent-based artificial cryptocurrency market in which heterogeneous agents buy or sell cryptocurrencies, in particular Bitcoins. In this market, there are two typologies of agents, Random Traders and Chartists, which…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-26 Luisanna Cocco , Giulio Concas , Michele Marchesi

We present an experimental and simulated model of a multi-agent stock market driven by a double auction order matching mechanism. Studying the effect of cumulative information on the performance of traders, we find a non monotonic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas , Juergen Huber , Michael Kirchler

We present results on simulations of a stock market with heterogeneous, cumulative information setup. We find a non-monotonic behaviour of traders' returns as a function of their information level. Particularly, the average informed agents…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Bence Toth , Enrico Scalas

We propose a three-state microscopic opinion formation model for the purpose of simulating the dynamics of financial markets. In order to mimic the heterogeneous composition of the mass of investors in a market, the agent-based model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-14 Bernardo J. Zubillaga , André L. M. Vilela , Chao Wang , Kenric P. Nelson , H. Eugene Stanley

A speculative agent with Prospect Theory preference chooses the optimal time to purchase and then to sell an indivisible risky asset to maximize the expected utility of the round-trip profit net of transaction costs. The optimization…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-26 Alex S. L. Tse , Harry Zheng

We present an agent based model of a single asset financial market that is capable of replicating several non-trivial statistical properties observed in real financial markets, generically referred to as stylized facts. While previous…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-12 Roberto Mota Navarro , Hernán Larralde Ridaura

This paper outlines an agent-based model of a simple financial market in which a single asset is available for trade by three different types of traders. The model was first introduced in the PhD thesis of one of the authors, see reference…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-17 Elena Green , Daniel M. Heffernan

A prototype model of stock market is introduced and studied numerically. In this self-organized system, we consider only the interaction among traders without external influences. Agents trade according to their own strategy, to accumulate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-30 G. Caldarelli , M. Marsili , Y. -C. Zhang

In speculative markets, risk-free profit opportunities are eliminated by traders exploiting them. Markets are therefore often described as "informationally efficient", rapidly removing predictable price changes, and leaving only residual…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-08 Felix Patzelt , Klaus R. Pawelzik

We propose a simple market model where agents trade different types of products with each other by using money, relying only on local information. Value fluctuations of single products, combined with the condition of maximum profit in…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-24 Raul Donangelo , Alex Hansen , Kim Sneppen , Sergio R. Souza

We present an interacting-agent model of speculative activity explaining bubbles and crashes in stock markets. We describe stock markets through an infinite-range Ising model to formulate the tendency of traders getting influenced by the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Taisei Kaizoji

Exploring complex adaptive financial trading environments through multi-agent based simulation methods presents an innovative approach within the realm of quantitative finance. Despite the dominance of multi-agent reinforcement learning…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-07 Alicia Vidler , Toby Walsh

We propose a frustrated and disordered many-body model of a stockmarket in which independent adaptive traders can trade a stock subject to the economic law of supply and demand. We show that the typical scaling properties and the correlated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabio Franci , Lorenzo Matassini

As a typical representation of complex networks studied relatively thoroughly, financial market presents some special details, such as its nonconservation and opinions spreading. In this model, agents congregate to form some clusters, which…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Jie Wang , Chun-Xia Yang , Pei-Ling Zhou , Ying-Di Jin , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang
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