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Hawkes process is a simple point process that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience, social networks,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Xuefeng Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

We give sufficient conditions ensuring that a $\psi$-mixing property holds for the sequence of empirical CDFs associated to a conjugate process.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-10 Eduardo Horta , Flavio Ziegelmann

In this paper we study the almost sure conditional central limit theorem in its functional form for a class of random variables satisfying a projective criterion. Applications to strongly mixing processes and non irreducible Markov chains…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-07 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad

We prove a functional central limit theorem for integrals $\int_W f(X(t))\, dt$, where $(X(t))_{t\in\mathbb{R}^d}$ is a stationary mixing random field and the stochastic process is indexed by the function $f$, as the integration domain $W$…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Jürgen Kampf , Evgeny Spodarev

For a strictly stationary sequence of nonnegative regularly varying random variables $(X_{n})$ we study functional weak convergence of partial maxima processes $M_{n}(t) = \bigvee_{i=1}^{\lfloor nt \rfloor}X_{i},\,t \in [0,1]$ in the space…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Danijel Krizmanić

In this paper, we provide upper bounds on the d2 distance between a large class of functionals of a multivariate compound Hawkes process and a given Gaussian vector. This is proven using Malliavin's calculus defined on an underlying Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-17 Mahmoud Khabou

We investigate the convergence in distribution of sequential empirical processes of dependent data indexed by a class of functions F. Our technique is suitable for processes that satisfy a multiple mixing condition on a space of functions…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-26 Herold Dehling , Olivier Durieu , Marco Tusche

The superposition of temporal point processes has been studied for many years, although the usefulness of such models for practical applications has not be fully developed. We investigate superposed Hawkes process as an important class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Hongteng Xu , Dixin Luo , Xu Chen , Lawrence Carin

Given a collection of entities (or nodes) in a network and our intermittent observations of activities from each entity, an important problem is to learn the hidden edges depicting directional relationships among these entities. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-01 Triet M Le

This paper deals with Poisson processes on an arbitrary measurable space. Using a direct approach, we derive formulae for moments and cumulants of a vector of multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals with respect to the compensated Poisson process.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Guenter Last , Mathew D. Penrose , Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

Existence and stability properties are studied for Hawkes process, i.e. point process $S$ that has long-memory and intensity $r(t)=\lambda \big(g_0(t)+ \sum_{\tau<t, \tau \in S} h(t-\tau) \big)$. The approach to Hawkes process presented in…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-17 Dmytro Karabash

Lacunary function systems of type $(f(M_nx))_{n\geq 1}$ for periodic functions $f$ and sequences of fast-growing matrices $(M_n)_{n\geq 1}$ exhibit many properties of independent random variables like satisfying the Central Limit Theorem or…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Thomas Löbbe

Stationary determinantal point processes are proved to be Brillinger mixing. This property is an important step towards asymptotic statistics for these processes. As an important example, a central limit theorem for a wide class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-24 Christophe Ange Napoléon Biscio , Frédéric Lavancier

We study a multivariate Hawkes process as a model for time-continuous relational event networks. The model does not assume the network to be known, it includes covariates, and it allows for both common drivers, parameters common to all the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Alexander Kreiss , Enno Mammen , Wolfgang Polonik

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We establish the central limit theorem for linear processes with dependent innovations including martingales and mixingale type of assumptions as defined in McLeish [Ann. Probab. 5 (1977) 616--621] and motivated by Gordin [Soviet Math.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

In this paper we propose an overview of the recent academic literature devoted to the applications of Hawkes processes in finance. Hawkes processes constitute a particular class of multivariate point processes that has become very popular…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 Emmanuel Bacry , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-François Muzy

This paper establishes a functional law of large numbers and a functional central limit theorem for marked Hawkes point measures and their corresponding shot noise processes. We prove that the normalized random measure can be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu

We provide a functional central limit theorem for a broad class of smooth functions for possibly noncausal multivariate linear processes with time-varying coefficients. Since the limiting processes depend on unknown quantities, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Carina Beering , Anne Leucht

In this paper we establish spatial central limit theorems for a large class of supercritical branching Markov processes with general spatial-dependent branching mechanisms. These are generalizations of the spatial central limit theorems…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Y. -X. Ren , R. Song , R. Zhang