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With extreme weather events becoming more common, the risk posed by surface water flooding is ever increasing. In this work we propose a model, and associated Bayesian inference scheme, for generating probabilistic (high-resolution…

In public health applications, spatial data collected are often recorded at different spatial scales and over different correlated variables. Spatial change of support is a key inferential problem in these applications and have become…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Shijie Zhou , Jonathan R. Bradley

Automated sensing instruments on satellites and aircraft have enabled the collection of massive amounts of high-resolution observations of spatial fields over large spatial regions. If these datasets can be efficiently exploited, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-08 Matthias Katzfuss

Super-resolving the coarse outputs of global climate simulations, termed downscaling, is crucial in making political and social decisions on systems requiring long-term climate change projections. Existing fast super-resolution techniques,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-18 Norihiro Oyama , Noriko N. Ishizaki , Satoshi Koide , Hiroaki Yoshida

Numerical weather forecasts can exhibit systematic errors due to simplifying model assumptions and computational approximations. Statistical postprocessing is a statistical approach to correcting such biases. A statistical postprocessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Stefan Siegert , Ben Hooper , Joshua Lovegrove , Tyler Thomson , Birgir Hrafnkelsson

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

A critical decision process in data acquisition for mineral and energy resource exploration is how to efficiently combine a variety of sensor types and to minimize total cost. We propose a probabilistic framework for multi-objective…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-10-13 Sebastian Haan , Fabio Ramos , Dietmar Müller

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and related technologies have generated substantial interest among statisticians with regard to scalable methodologies for analyzing large spatial datasets. A variety of scalable spatial process models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-10 Sudipto Banerjee

Optimal experimental design is a classic topic in statistics, with many well-studied problems, applications, and solutions. The design problem we study is the placement of sensors to monitor spatiotemporal processes, explicitly accounting…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Daniel Waxman , Fernando Llorente , Katia Lamer , Petar M. Djurić

Motivated by the Extreme Value Analysis 2021 (EVA 2021) data challenge we propose a method based on statistics and machine learning for the spatial prediction of extreme wildfire frequencies and sizes. This method is tailored to handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-04 Daniela Cisneros , Yan Gong , Rishikesh Yadav , Arnab Hazra , Raphael Huser

Motivated by a large ground-level ozone dataset, we propose a new computationally efficient additive approximate Gaussian process. The proposed method incorporates a computational-complexity-reduction method and a separable covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-10 Pulong Ma , Bledar A. Konomi , Emily L. Kang

Geolocation error in spaceborne sampling light detection and ranging (LiDAR) measurements of forest structure can compromise forest attribute estimates and degrade integration with georeferenced field measurements or other remotely sensed…

This paper proposes a new Bayesian strategy for the smooth estimation of altimetric parameters. The altimetric signal is assumed to be corrupted by a thermal and speckle noise distributed according to an independent and non identically…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-20 Abderrahim Halimi , Corinne Mailhes , Jean-Yves Tourneret , Hichem Snoussi

Spatial misalignment arises when datasets are aggregated or collected at different spatial scales, leading to information loss. We develop a Bayesian disaggregation framework that links misaligned data to a continuous-domain model through…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Man Ho Suen , Mark Naylor , Finn Lindgren

The complex and computationally expensive nature of landscape evolution models pose significant challenges in the inference and optimisation of unknown parameters. Bayesian inference provides a methodology for estimation and uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Rohitash Chandra , Danial Azam , Arpit Kapoor , R. Dietmar Müller

Spatial concurrent linear models, in which the model coefficients are spatial processes varying at a local level, are flexible and useful tools for analyzing spatial data. One approach places stationary Gaussian process priors on the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-03 Zuofeng Shang , Murray K. Clayton

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

In areal unit data with missing or suppressed data, it desirable to create models that are able to predict observations that are not available. Traditional statistical methods achieve this through Bayesian hierarchical models that can…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Cara MacBride , Vinny Davies , Duncan Lee

This study presents a Bayesian hierarchical model for analyzing spatially correlated functional data and handling irregularly spaced observations. The model uses Bernstein polynomial (BP) bases combined with autoregressive random effects,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Alvaro Alexander Burbano Moreno , Ronaldo Dias

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner