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Many common estimators in machine learning and causal inference are linear smoothers, where the prediction is a weighted average of the training outcomes. Some estimators, such as ordinary least squares and kernel ridge regression, allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 David Arbour , Harsh Parikh , Bijan Niknam , Elizabeth Stuart , Kara Rudolph , Avi Feller

An open problem in machine learning is whether flat minima generalize better and how to compute such minima efficiently. This is a very challenging problem. As a first step towards understanding this question we formalize it as an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-13 Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

Structural matrix-variate observations routinely arise in diverse fields such as multi-layer network analysis and brain image clustering. While data of this type have been extensively investigated with fruitful outcomes being delivered, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Zhongyuan Lyu , Dong Xia

This paper studies the estimation of low-rank Markov chains from empirical trajectories. We propose a non-convex estimator based on rank-constrained likelihood maximization. Statistical upper bounds are provided for the Kullback-Leiber…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-20 Xudong Li , Mengdi Wang , Anru Zhang

We consider the problem of linear fitting of noisy data in the case of broad (say $\alpha$-stable) distributions of random impacts ("noise"), which can lack even the first moment. This situation, common in statistical physics of small…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Eugene B. Postnikov , Igor M. Sokolov

Linear regression is a fundamental building block of statistical data analysis. It amounts to estimating the parameters of a linear model that maps input features to corresponding outputs. In the classical setting where the precision of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-16 Nicolas Gast , Stratis Ioannidis , Patrick Loiseau , Benjamin Roussillon

A Two-Stage approach enables researchers to make optimal non-linear predictions via Generalized Ridge Regression using models that contain two or more x-predictor variables and make only realistic minimal assumptions. The optimal regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-11 Robert L. Obenchain

In this paper, we consider the estimation of a low Tucker rank tensor from a number of noisy linear measurements. The general problem covers many specific examples arising from applications, including tensor regression, tensor completion,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-11 Yuetian Luo , Anru R. Zhang

In this paper we consider the trace regression model where $n$ entries or linear combinations of entries of an unknown $m_1\times m_2$ matrix $A_0$ corrupted by noise are observed. We establish for the nuclear-norm penalized estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-26 Karim Lounici

This paper studies the problem of recursively estimating the weighted adjacency matrix of a network out of a temporal sequence of binary-valued observations. The observation sequence is generated from nonlinear networked dynamics in which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-06 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

Among the major difficulties that one may encounter when estimating parameters in a nonlinear regression model are the nonuniqueness of the estimator, its instability with respect to small perturbations of the observations and the presence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Andrej Pázman , Luc Pronzato

We study parameter estimation and asymptotic inference for sparse nonlinear regression. More specifically, we assume the data are given by $y = f( x^\top \beta^* ) + \epsilon$, where $f$ is nonlinear. To recover $\beta^*$, we propose an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-17 Zhuoran Yang , Zhaoran Wang , Han Liu , Yonina C. Eldar , Tong Zhang

We consider the problem of estimating the mean $f$ of a Gaussian vector $Y$ with independent components of common unknown variance $\sigma^{2}$. Our estimation procedure is based on estimator selection. More precisely, we start with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-24 Yannick Baraud , Christophe Giraud , Sylvie Huet

This paper establishes optimal convergence rates for estimation of structured covariance operators of Gaussian processes. We study banded operators with kernels that decay rapidly off-the-diagonal and $L^q$-sparse operators with an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Omar Al-Ghattas , Jiaheng Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

We consider the problem of recovering an unknown matching between a set of $n$ randomly placed points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and random perturbations of these points. This can be seen as a model for particle tracking and more generally, entity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Lucas da Rocha Schwengber , Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira

We consider the problem of distributedly estimating Gaussian processes in multi-agent frameworks. Each agent collects few measurements and aims to collaboratively reconstruct a common estimate based on all data. Agents are assumed with…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-05-11 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Luca Schenato , Damiano Varagnolo

Gaussian Process Regression is a well-known machine learning technique for which several quantum algorithms have been proposed. We show here that in a wide range of scenarios these algorithms show no exponential speedup. We achieve this by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-04 Dominic Lowe , M. S. Kim , Roberto Bondesan

For linear and Gaussian state space models parametrized by $\theta_0 \in \Theta \subset \mathbb{R}^r, r \geq 1$ corresponding to the vector of parameters of the model, the Kalman filter gives exactly the solution for the optimal filtering…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-04-04 Salima El Kolei

We propose new model selection criteria based on generalized ridge estimators dominating the maximum likelihood estimator under the squared risk and the Kullback-Leibler risk in multivariate linear regression. Our model selection criteria…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Yuichi Mori , Taiji Suzuki

Univariate and multivariate general linear regression models, subject to linear inequality constraints, arise in many scientific applications. The linear inequality restrictions on model parameters are often available from phenomenological…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Solmaz Seifollahi , Kaniav Kamary , Hossein Bevrani