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Stock return forecasting is a major component of numerous finance applications. Predicted stock returns can be incorporated into portfolio trading algorithms to make informed buy or sell decisions which can optimize returns. In such…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Zimeng Lyu , Amulya Saxena , Rohaan Nadeem , Hao Zhang , Travis Desell

Recent literature implements machine learning techniques to assess corporate credit rating based on financial statement reports. In this work, we analyze the performance of four neural network architectures (MLP, CNN, CNN2D, LSTM) in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-06 Parisa Golbayani , Dan Wang , Ionut Florescu

Financial forecasting is a difficult task due to the intrinsic complexity of the financial system. In the present paper we relate our experience using neural nets as financial time series forecast method. In particular we show that a neural…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Filippo Castiglione

Share valuations are known to adjust to new information entering the market, such as regulatory disclosures. We study whether the language of such news items can improve short-term and especially long-term (24 months) forecasts of stock…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-27 Stefan Feuerriegel , Julius Gordon

Long-term investors, different from short-term traders, focus on examining the underlying forces that affect the well-being of a company. They rely on fundamental analysis which attempts to measure the intrinsic value an equity.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-05-14 Jessie Sun

This paper will analyze and implement a time series dynamic neural network to predict daily closing stock prices. Neural networks possess unsurpassed abilities in identifying underlying patterns in chaotic, non-linear, and seemingly random…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-23 David Noel

Nowadays, organizations collect vast quantities of sensitive information in `Enterprise Resource Planning' (ERP) systems, such as accounting relevant transactions, customer master data, or strategic sales price information. The leakage of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Marco Schreyer , Chistian Schulze , Damian Borth

Identification and verification of molecular properties such as side effects is one of the most important and time-consuming steps in the process of molecule synthesis. For example, failure to identify side effects before submission to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-12 Collin Beaudoin , Koustubh Phalak , Swaroop Ghosh

In this work we use Recurrent Neural Networks and Multilayer Perceptrons to predict NYSE, NASDAQ and AMEX stock prices from historical data. We experiment with different architectures and compare data normalization techniques. Then, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-30 Kerda Varaku

Neural networks, with the capability to provide efficient predictive models, have been widely used in medical, financial, and other fields, bringing great convenience to our lives. However, the high accuracy of the model requires a large…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Zhengqiang Ge , Zhipeng Zhou , Dong Guo , Qiang Li

We present a neural network for predicting purchasing intent in an Ecommerce setting. Our main contribution is to address the significant investment in feature engineering that is usually associated with state-of-the-art methods such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Humphrey Sheil , Omer Rana , Ronan Reilly

Time series forecasting is difficult. It is difficult even for recurrent neural networks with their inherent ability to learn sequentiality. This article presents a recurrent neural network based time series forecasting framework covering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Gábor Petneházi

The application of deep learning techniques for predicting stock market prices is a prominent and widely researched topic in the field of data science. To effectively predict market trends, it is essential to utilize a diversified dataset.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-18 Yuhui Jin

Corporate distress models typically only employ the numerical financial variables in the firms' annual reports. We develop a model that employs the unstructured textual data in the reports as well, namely the auditors' reports and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Rastin Matin , Casper Hansen , Christian Hansen , Pia Mølgaard

Recurrent neural networks are capable of learning the dynamics of an unknown nonlinear system purely from input-output measurements. However, the resulting models do not provide any stability guarantees on the input-output mapping. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Daniel Frank , Decky Aspandi Latif , Michael Muehlebach , Benjamin Unger , Steffen Staab

Increasingly sophisticated mathematical modelling processes from Machine Learning are being used to analyse complex data. However, the performance and explainability of these models within practical critical systems requires a rigorous and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Xingyu Zhao , Alec Banks , James Sharp , Valentin Robu , David Flynn , Michael Fisher , Xiaowei Huang

Traditional approaches to estimating beta in finance often involve rigid assumptions and fail to adequately capture beta dynamics, limiting their effectiveness in use cases like hedging. To address these limitations, we have developed a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-29 Yuxin Liu , Jimin Lin , Achintya Gopal

Stock market is often important as it represents the ownership claims on businesses. Without sufficient stocks, a company cannot perform well in finance. Predicting a stock market performance of a company is nearly hard because every time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-25 Aadhitya A , Rajapriya R , Vineetha R S , Anurag M Bagde

Although companies are exhorted to provide more information to the financial community, it is evident that they choose different paths based upon their strategic emphasis and competitive environments. Our investigation explores the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-11 Rajiv Kashyap , Mohamed Menisy , Peter Caiazzo , Jim Samuel

We forecast the full conditional distribution of macroeconomic outcomes by systematically integrating three key principles: using high-dimensional data with appropriate regularization, adopting rigorous out-of-sample validation procedures,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-14 Ta-Chung Chi , Ting-Han Fan , Raffaele M. Ghigliazza , Domenico Giannone , Zixuan , Wang