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This study introduces a statistical mechanics framework to analyze the territorial distribution of the Resident Foreign Population across Italian municipalities. The observed percentages of foreign residents are treated as the reference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Pierpaolo Massoli

Understanding urban growth is one with understanding how society evolves to satisfy the needs of its individuals in sharing a common space and adapting to the territory. We propose here a quantitative analysis of the historical development…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 Alessandro Fiasconaro , Emanuele Strano , Vincenzo Nicosia , Sergio Porta , Vito Latora

In 2012 the world's population exceeded 7 billion, and since 2008 the number of individuals living in urban areas has surpassed that of rural areas. This is the result of an overall increase of life expectancy in many countries that has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-14 Filippo Simini , Charlotte James

Urbanization has been the dominant demographic trend in the entire world, during the last half century. Rural to urban migration, international migration, and the re-classification or expansion of existing city boundaries have been among…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-12-19 Philippe Blanchard , Dimitri Volchenkov

Analysis of the urban population fraction data for sixteen populous countries over the last fifty years reveals a universal increase in urbanization, exhibiting four qualitatively distinct temporal patterns: (i) continuously accelerating…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-06 Neeraj Pandey , Abhineet Agarwal , Raju Roychowdhury , Karmeshu , Parth Pratim Pandey

We show here that population growth, resolved at the county level, is spatially heterogeneous both among and within the U.S. metropolitan statistical areas. Our analysis of data for over 3,100 U.S. counties reveals that annual population…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-11 Sandro M. Reia , P. Suresh C. Rao , Marc Barthelemy , Satish V. Ukkusuri

Population decline is projected to become widespread in Europe, with the continental population set to reverse its longstanding trajectory of growth within the next five years. This represents unfamiliar demographic territory. Despite this,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-11 Niall Newsham , Francisco Rowe

This paper studies the evolution of economic activities using a continuous time-space aggregation-diffusion model, which encompasses competing effects of agglomeration and congestion. To bring the model to the real data, a novel…

General Economics · Economics 2024-07-31 Davide Fiaschi , Angela Parenti , Cristiano Ricci

Quantifying the spatial organization of human settlements is fundamental to understanding the complexity of urban systems. However, the quantitative patterns of the distribution of villages, towns, and cities that lie between random and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-06 Lei Dong

We study a stochastic model of urban growth generating spatial distributions of population densities at an intermediate mesoscopic scale. The model is based on the antagonist interplay between the two opposite abstract processes of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-21 Juste Raimbault

The availability of affordable and high-quality childcare services has become a significant concern in recent years. Such services can facilitate the balance between work and family life, increasing participation in the workforce and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-17 Andreella Angela , Aliverti Emanuele , Caldura Federico , Campostrini Stefano

We study the structure of the network representing the interurban commuting traffic of the Sardinia region, Italy, which amounts to 375 municipalities and 1,600,000 inhabitants. We use a weighted network representation where vertices…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-04-02 Andrea De Montis , Marc Barthelemy , Alessandro Chessa , Alessandro Vespignani

Spatial distribution of the human population is distinctly heterogeneous, e.g. showing significant difference in the population density between urban and rural areas. In the historical perspective, i.e. on the timescale of centuries, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-08-30 Anna Zincenko , Sergei Petrovskii , Vitaly Volpert

Human settlements on Earth are scattered in a multitude of shapes, sizes and spatial arrangements. These patterns are often not random but a result of complex geographical, cultural, economic and historical processes that have profound…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-03 Emanuele Strano , Filippo Simini , Marco De Nadai , Thomas Esch , Mattia Marconcini

Using anonymized mobility data from Facebook users and publicly available information on the Italian population, we model the circulation of people in Italy before and during the early phase of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic (COVID-19). We perform…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-09 Jules Morand , Shoichi Yip , Yannis Velegrakis , Gianluca Lattanzi , Raffaello Potestio , Luca Tubiana

Understanding demographic and migrational patterns constitutes a great challenge. Millions of individual decisions, motivated by economic, political, demographic, rational, and/or emotional reasons underlie the high complexity of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-12-09 A. Hernando , R. Hernando , A. Plastino

This study presents a novel demographics informed deep learning framework designed to forecast urban spatial transformations by jointly modeling geographic satellite imagery, socio-demographics, and travel behavior dynamics. The proposed…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Eugene Kofi Okrah Denteh , Andrews Danyo , Joshua Kofi Asamoah , Blessing Agyei Kyem , Armstrong Aboah

This study investigates the relationship between environmental sustainability policies and tourism flows across Italian provinces using a Spatial Durbin Error Model (SDEM) within a gravity framework. By incorporating both public and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-07 Riccardo Gianluigi Serio , Diego Giuliani , Maria Michela Dickson , Giuseppe Espa

Understanding collective mobility patterns is crucial to plan the restart of production and economic activities, which are currently put in stand-by to fight the diffusion of the epidemics. In this report, we use mobile phone data to infer…

Understanding the morphology of an urban system is an important step toward unveiling the dynamical processes of its growth and development. At the foundation of every urban system, transportation system is undeniably a crucial component in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-23 Hoai Nguyen Huynh , Evgeny Makarov , Erika Fille Legara , Christopher Monterola , Lock Yue Chew
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