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Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

One of the key elements of probabilistic seismic risk assessment studies is the fragility curve, which represents the conditional probability of failure of a mechanical structure for a given scalar measure derived from seismic ground…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-17 Antoine Van Biesbroeck , Clement Gauchy , Cyril Feau , Josselin Garnier

The parton momentum density distributions in the proton are determined from a next-to-leading order QCD analysis of structure functions measured at HERA and by fixed target experiments. Also included are data on the difference of the up and…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-09-13 M. Botje

We derive rates of contraction of posterior distributions on nonparametric models resulting from sieve priors. The aim of the paper is to provide general conditions to get posterior rates when the parameter space has a general structure,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-03 Julyan Arbel , Ghislaine Gayraud , Judith Rousseau

The number of gluons in the hadron wave function is discrete, and their formation in the chain of small $x$ evolution occurs over discrete rapidity intervals of $\Delta y \simeq 1/\as$. We therefore consider the evolution as a discrete…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-01-25 Dmitri Kharzeev , Kirill Tuchin

Current methods for learning graphical models with latent variables and a fixed structure estimate optimal values for the model parameters. Whereas this approach usually produces overfitting and suboptimal generalization performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Hagai Attias

We calculate the cross section of beauty production in electron-proton deep inelastic scattering at HERA collider in the framework of the kt-factorization approach. The unintegrated gluon distributions in a proton are obtained from the full…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-03-23 A. V. Lipatov , N. P. Zotov

We recently derived explicit solutions of the leading-order Dokshitzer-Gribov-Lipatov-Altarelli-Parisi (DGLAP) equations for the $Q^2$ evolution of the singlet structure function $F_s(x,Q^2)$ and the gluon distribution $G(x,Q^2)$ using very…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-05-30 Martin M. Block , Loyal Durand , Phuoc Ha , Douglas W. McKay

Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

We apply the Bayesian model selection method (based on the Bayes factor) to optimize $\sqrt{s_\mathrm{NN}}$-dependence in the phenomenological parameters of the (3+1)-dimensional hybrid framework for describing relativistic heavy-ion…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-03-02 Syed Afrid Jahan , Hendrik Roch , Chun Shen

The study of heavy-ion collisions presents a challenge to both theoretical and experimental nuclear physics. Due to the extremely short lifetime and small size of the collision system, disentangling information provided by experimental…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-08-27 Derek Everett

Prediction is a central task of statistics and machine learning, yet many inferential settings provide only partial information, typically in the form of moment constraints or estimating equations. We develop a finite, fully Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Nicholas G. Polson , Daniel Zantedeschi

In this paper, we describe a general method for constructing the posterior distribution of an option price. Our framework takes as inputs the prior distributions of the parameters of the stochastic process followed by the underlying, as…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-12-02 Henryk Gzyl , Enrique ter Horst , Samuel Malone

Inferring the value of a property of a large stochastic system is a difficult task when the number of samples is insufficient to reliably estimate the probability distribution. The Bayesian estimator of the property of interest requires the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-26 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

We consider Bayesian shrinkage predictions for the Normal regression problem under the frequentist Kullback-Leibler risk function. Firstly, we consider the multivariate Normal model with an unknown mean and a known covariance. While the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kei Kobayashi , Fumiyasu Komaki

We study the rate of Bayesian consistency for hierarchical priors consisting of prior weights on a model index set and a prior on a density model for each choice of model index. Ghosal, Lember and Van der Vaart [2] have obtained general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-09-23 Yang Xing

The forward scattering amplitude of a small dipole at high energies is given in the mean field approximation by the Balitsky-Kovchegov (BK) evolution equation. It requires an initial condition $N(r; x_0)$ describing the scattering of a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-06-27 Adrian Dumitru , Heikki Mäntysaari , Risto Paatelainen

It is demonstrated that the global properties of the rapidity gap events at HERA can be understood based on electron-gluon scattering and a non-perturbative mechanism of colour neutralization. Using the measured inclusive structure function…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 W. Buchmuller , A. Hebecker

In various industrial contexts, estimating the distribution of unobserved random vectors Xi from some noisy indirect observations H(Xi) + Ui is required. If the relation between Xi and the quantity H(Xi), measured with the error Ui, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Shuai Fu , Mathieu Couplet , Nicolas Bousquet

Bayesian computational strategies for inference can be inefficient in approximating the posterior distribution in models that exhibit some form of periodicity. This is because the probability mass of the marginal posterior distribution of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Javier Lopez-Santiago , Luca Martino , Joaquin Miguez , Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar
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