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We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Joonha Park , Edward L. Ionides

We consider the problem of static Bayesian inference for partially observed Levy-process models. We develop a methodology which allows one to infer static parameters and some states of the process, without a bias from the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-01 Hamza Ruzayqat , Ajay Jasra

In this paper, a multiscale approach with partially explicit time discretization is proposed. The idea is to use a partially explicit time scheme, considering a filtration problem in a fractured medium, where the implicit scheme is used for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Djulustan Nikiforov

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

Parameter estimation in multidimensional diffusion models with only one coordinate observed is highly relevant in many biological applications, but a statistically difficult problem. In neuroscience, the membrane potential evolution in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-01 Susanne Ditlevsen , Adeline Samson

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

Object pose estimation from a single view remains a challenging problem. In particular, partial observability, occlusions, and object symmetries eventually result in pose ambiguity. To account for this multimodality, this work proposes…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Christian Möller , Niklas Funk , Jan Peters

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

In this paper, a modification of the conventional approximations to the quasi-maximum likelihood method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from discrete observations. This is based on a convergent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

We present a new antithetic multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for the estimation of expectations with respect to laws of diffusion processes that can be elliptic or hypo-elliptic. In particular, we consider the case where one has to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Yuga Iguchi , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Alexandros Beskos

We study the problem of estimating parameters of the limiting equation of a multiscale diffusion in the case of averaging and homogenization, given data from the corresponding multiscale system. First, we review some recent results that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-18 Anastasia Papavasiliou

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

We introduce a methodology for online estimation of smoothing expectations for a class of additive functionals, in the context of a rich family of diffusion processes (that may include jumps) -- observed at discrete-time instances. We…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-04 Shouto Yonekura , Alexandros Beskos

The distributed filtering problem sequentially estimates a global state variable using observations from a network of local sensors with different measurement models. In this work, we introduce a novel methodology for distributed nonlinear…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Daniel Grange , Ricardo Baptista , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Allen Tannenbaum , Sean Phillips

In this paper, we consider a general partially observed diffusion model with periodic coefficients and with non-degenerate diffusion component. The coefficients of such a model depend on an unknown (static and deterministic) parameter which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Ibrahim Ekren , Sergey Nadtochiy

We propose a novel method for drift estimation of multiscale diffusion processes when a sequence of discrete observations is given. For the Langevin dynamics in a two-scale potential, our approach relies on the eigenvalues and the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Assyr Abdulle , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

In this paper we consider Bayesian parameter inference associated to a class of partially observed stochastic differential equations (SDE) driven by jump processes. Such type of models can be routinely found in applications, of which we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-03 Mohamed Maama , Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani

Mutual information (MI) is one of the most general ways to measure relationships between random variables, but estimating this quantity for complex systems is challenging. Denoising diffusion models have recently set a new bar for density…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Longxuan Yu , Xing Shi , Xianghao Kong , Tong Jia , Greg Ver Steeg

Single-particle traces of the diffusive motion of molecules, cells, or animals are by-now routinely measured, similar to stochastic records of stock prices or weather data. Deciphering the stochastic mechanism behind the recorded dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Henrik Seckler , Janusz Szwabinski , Ralf Metzler

Microscopic processes on surfaces such as adsorption, desorption, diffusion and reaction of interacting particles can be simulated using kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC) algorithms. Even though kMC methods are accurate, they are computationally…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-12-24 Yannis Pantazis , Markos Katsoulakis
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