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Conditional diffusion models provide a natural framework for probabilistic prediction of dynamical systems and have been successfully applied to fluid dynamics and weather prediction. However, in many settings, the available information at…

Since the discovery of solar cycle related with magnetic field in 1908, deep seated oscillatory dynamo has been studied extensively. However, there are still open questions on the solar dynamo, e.g., asymmetric conversion between…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-10-16 Biping Gong

Rieger et al (1984) reported observations of a 154 day periodicity in flares during solar cycle 21. This paper discusses the observations in the light of a simple empirical planetary model of sunspot emergence. The planetary model predicts…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-11-15 Ian Edmonds

Gil-Alana et al. (Physica A: 396, 42-50, 2014) compared the sunspot number record and the temperature record and found that they differ: the sunspot number record is characterized by a dominant 11-year cycle while the temperature record…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-07-30 Nicola Scafetta

Our understanding of stellar dynamos has largely been driven by the phenomena we have observed of our own Sun. Yet, as we amass longer-term datasets for an increasing number of stars, it is clear that there is a wide variety of stellar…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-30 Maria A. Weber

Data from three solar observatories, Learmonth, Holloman, and San Vito, are used to study the variations in the average number of sunspots per sunspot group. It is found that the different types of sunspot groups and the number of sunspots…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-06 K. Georgieva , A. Kilcik , Yu. Nagovitsyn , B. Kirov

The increasing interest in understanding stellar magnetic activity cycles is a strong motivation for the development of parameterized starspot models which can be constrained observationally. In this work we develop an empirical tool for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-08-05 A. R. G. Santos , M. S. Cunha , P. P. Avelino , T. L. Campante

The subject of this paper is the existence and stability of solar cycles with duration in the range of 20-250 years. Five type of data series are used: 1) The Zurich series (1749-2009), the mean annual International sunspot number Ri; 2)…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-07-27 B. Komitov , S. Sello , P. Duchlev , M. Dechev , K. Penev , K. Koleva

We study the behaviour of the van der Pol oscillator when either its damping parameter $\mu$ or its nonlinearity parameter $\xi$ is subject to additive or multiplicative random noise. Assuming various power law exponents for the relation…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-04-15 M. Nagy , K. Petrovay

In a recent article by Scafetta, 2010, the author investigates whether or not the decadal and multi-decadal climate oscillations have an astronomical origin. In particular, the author note that several global surface temperature records,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-20 S. Sello

Although sunspots have been systematically observed on the Sun's surface over the last four centuries, their magnetic properties have been revealed and documented only since the early 1900s. Sunspots typically appear in pairs of opposite…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-09-25 Soumitra Hazra , Dibyendu Nandy

We present the results of numerical experiments to assess degeneracies in lightcurve models of starspots. Using synthetic lightcurves generated with the Cheetah starspot modeling code, we explore the extent to which photometric light curves…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-12 Lucianne M. Walkowicz , Gibor S. Basri , Jeff A. Valenti

The solar magnetic activity cycle has an amplitude that varies within a wide but limited range of values. This implies that there are nonlinear mechanisms that prevent runaway solutions. The purpose of this paper is to propose observable…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-02 Jie Jiang

Power spectra of solar activity based on historical records of sunspot numbers and on cosmogenic isotopes show peaks with enhanced power apart from the dominant 11-year solar cycle, such as the 90-year Gleissberg cycle or the 210-year de…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-08 Robert Cameron , Manfred Schuessler

Digitized images of full disk CaK spectroheliograms from two solar observatories were used to study cycle variation of ephemeral regions (ERs) over ten solar cycles 14-23. We calculate monthly averaged unsigned latitude of ERs and compare…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-10-20 Andrey G. Tlatov , Alexei A. Pevtsov

Sunspot number (SSN) is an important - albeit nuanced - parameter that can be used as an indirect measure of solar activity. Predictions of upcoming active intervals, including the peak and timing of solar maximum can have important…

Space Physics · Physics 2023-05-31 Pete Riley

In our solar system massive outer planets dominate in terms of both mass and angular momentum, but few such planets are among the more than 4000 currently confirmed exoplanets, and none of these have accurately determined densities. Here I…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-02-14 Derek Buzasi

The latitudinal location of the sunspot zones in each hemisphere is determined by calculating the centroid position of sunspot areas for each solar rotation from May 1874 to June 2011. When these centroid positions are plotted and analyzed…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 D. H. Hathaway

Activity-related variations in the solar oscillation properties have been known for 30 years. However, the relative importance of the different contributions to the observed variations is not yet fully understood. Our goal is to estimate…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-24 A. R. G. Santos , M. S. Cunha , P. P. Avelino , W. J. Chaplin , T. L. Campante

Asteroseismological determinations of stellar ages have shown that old main-sequence dwarfs do not obey gyrochronology. Their rotation is slow compared to young stars but faster than gyrochronology predicts. This can be explained by the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-13 Leonid Kitchatinov , Alexander Nepomnyashchikh