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We study provably correct and efficient instantiations of Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) inference in the context of formal operational semantics of Probabilistic Programs (PPs). We focus on universal PPs featuring sampling from arbitrary…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Michele Boreale , Luisa Collodi

We study critera for a pair $ (\{ X_n \} $, $ \{ Y_n \}) $ of approximating processes which guarantee closeness of moments by generalizing known results for the special case that $ Y_n = Y $ for all $n$ and $ X_n $ converges to $Y$ in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

This paper introduces a general method to approximate the convolution of an arbitrary program with a Gaussian kernel. This process has the effect of smoothing out a program. Our compiler framework models intermediate values in the program…

Graphics · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Yuting Yang , Connelly Barnes

Non-Gaussian Component Analysis (NGCA) is the statistical task of finding a non-Gaussian direction in a high-dimensional dataset. Specifically, given i.i.d.\ samples from a distribution $P^A_{v}$ on $\mathbb{R}^n$ that behaves like a known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Ilias Diakonikolas , Sushrut Karmalkar , Shuo Pang , Aaron Potechin

Context: Two-point correlation functions are used throughout cosmology as a measure for the statistics of random fields. When used in Bayesian parameter estimation, their likelihood function is usually replaced by a Gaussian approximation.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-10-07 David Keitel , Peter Schneider

The points of a moment variety are the vectors of all moments up to some order of a family of probability distributions. We study this variety for mixtures of Gaussians. Following up on Pearson's classical work from 1894, we apply current…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2017-04-06 Carlos Améndola , Jean-Charles Faugère , Bernd Sturmfels

Diffusion models can generate a variety of high-quality images by modeling complex data distributions. Trained diffusion models can also be very effective image priors for solving inverse problems. Most of the existing diffusion-based…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-01 Nebiyou Yismaw , Ulugbek S. Kamilov , M. Salman Asif

The method of moments is a classical statistical technique for density estimation that solves a system of moment equations to estimate the parameters of an unknown distribution. A fundamental question critical to understanding…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-12 Julia Lindberg , Carlos Améndola , Jose Israel Rodriguez

We introduce SMProbLog, a generalization of the probabilistic logic programming language ProbLog. A ProbLog program defines a distribution over logic programs by specifying for each clause the probability that it belongs to a randomly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Pietro Totis , Angelika Kimmig , Luc De Raedt

Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a principled probabilistic model over functions, but exact inference is restricted to the linear-Gaussian regime. We establish an explicit equivalence between GPs and a class of linear diffusion models,…

The field of statistical relational learning aims at unifying logic and probability to reason and learn from data. Perhaps the most successful paradigm in the field is probabilistic logic programming: the enabling of stochastic primitives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-20 Stefanie Speichert , Vaishak Belle

Probabilistic graphical models are widely used to model complex systems under uncertainty. Traditionally, Gaussian directed graphical models are applied for analysis of large networks with continuous variables as they can provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Victoria Volodina , Nikki Sonenberg , Peter Challenor , Jim Q. Smith

Stochastic inference on Lie groups plays a key role in state estimation problems such as; inertial navigation, visual inertial odometry, pose estimation in virtual reality, etc. A key problem is fusing independent concentrated Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-26 Yixiao Ge , Pieter van Goor , Robert Mahony

Gaussian process models are commonly used as emulators for computer experiments. However, developing a Gaussian process emulator can be computationally prohibitive when the number of experimental samples is even moderately large. Local…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Chih-Li Sung , Robert B. Gramacy , Benjamin Haaland

Some scenarios require the computation of a predictive distribution of a new value evaluated on an objective function conditioned on previous observations. We are interested on using a model that makes valid assumptions on the objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-21 Lucia Asencio-Martín , Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán

We introduce an approach to quickly and accurately approximate the cumulative distribution function of multivariate Gaussian distributions arising from spatial Gaussian processes. This approximation is trivially parallelizable and simple to…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-31 Mauricio Nascimento , Benjamin A. Shaby

We derive a Gaussian approximation result for the maximum of a sum of high-dimensional random vectors. Specifically, we establish conditions under which the distribution of the maximum is approximated by that of the maximum of a sum of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

Master equations are common descriptions of mesoscopic systems. Analytical solutions to these equations can rarely be obtained. We here derive an analytical approximation of the time-dependent probability distribution of the master equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-05 Philipp Thomas , Ramon Grima

We discuss the statistical properties of a recently introduced unbiased stochastic approximation to the score equations for maximum likelihood calculation for Gaussian processes. Under certain conditions, including bounded condition number…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-11 Michael L. Stein , Jie Chen , Mihai Anitescu

We present two data-driven methods for estimating reachable sets with probabilistic guarantees. Both methods make use of a probabilistic formulation allowing for a formal definition of a data-driven reachable set approximation that is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 Alex Devonport , Murat Arcak
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