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Mathematical models of infectious diseases, which are in principle analytically tractable, use two general approaches. The first approach, generally known as compartmental modeling, addresses the time evolution of disease propagation at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-16 Pierre-André Noël , Bahman Davoudi , Robert C. Brunham , Louis J. Dubé , Babak Pourbohloul

The failure of a system can result from the simultaneous effects of multiple causes, where assigning a specific cause may be inappropriate or unavailable. Examples include contributing causes of death in epidemiology and the aetiology of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-13 Kai Wang , Yuqin Mu , Shenyi Zhang , Zhengjun Zhang , Chengxiu Ling

We present a general prediction scheme of failure times based on updating continuously with time the probability for failure of the global system, conditioned on the information revealed on the pre-existing idiosyncratic realization of the…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Sornette , J. V. Andersen

The Weibull function is widely used to describe skew distributions observed in nature. However, the origin of this ubiquity is not always obvious to explain. In the present paper, we consider the well-known Galton-Watson branching process…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-27 Junghyo Jo , Jean-Yves Fortin , M. Y. Choi

A reasonable segment of reliability theory is perpetrated to the study of failure rates, their properties, connections and applications. The present study focused on failure rate distributions and their shape properties. Failure rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-22 Anakha K K , V M Chacko

We consider the problem of inferring the functional connectivity of a large-scale computer network from sparse time series of events emitted by its nodes. We do so under the following three domain-specific constraints: (a) non-stationarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-13 Antoine Messager , George Parisis , Istvan Z Kiss , Robert Harper , Phil Tee , Luc Berthouze

The problem of reliability of a large distributed system is analyzed via a new mathematical model. A typical framework is a system where a set of files are duplicated on several data servers. When one of these servers breaks down, all…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-05 Reza Aghajani , Philippe Robert , Wen Sun

In this paper, we compare the lifetimes of two series and two parallel systems stochastically where the lifetime of each component follows location-scale (LS) family of distributions. The comparison is carried out under two scenarios: one,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-03 Amarjit Kundu , Shovan Chowdhury

Components in many real-world complex systems depend on each other for the resources required for survival, and may die of a shortage. These patterns of dependencies often take the form of a complex network whose structure potentially…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-04 Madhusudan Ingale , Snehal M. Shekatkar

A key objective of the smart grid is to improve reliability of utility services to end users. This requires strengthening resilience of distribution networks that lie at the edge of the grid. However, distribution networks are exposed to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Yun Wei , Chuanyi Ji , Floyd Galvan , Stephen Couvillon , George Orellana , James Momoh

A time-dependent global fiber-bundle model of fracture with continuous damage is formulated in terms of a set of coupled non-linear differential equations. A first integral of this set is analytically obtained. The time evolution of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. Moral , Y. Moreno , J. B. Gomez , A. F. Pacheco

The first step in statistical reliability studies of coherent systems is the estimation of the reliability of each system component. For the cases of parallel and series systems the literature is abundant. It seems that the present paper is…

Considered a pair of random lifetimes whose dependence is described by a Time Transformed Exponential model, we provide analytical expressions for the distribution of their sum. These expressions are obtained by using a representation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-13 Jorge Navarro , Franco Pellerey , Julio Mulero

This paper deals with asymptotic expressions of the Mean Time To Failure (MTTF) and higher moments for large, recursive, and non-repairable systems in the context of two-terminal reliability. Our aim is to extend the well-known results of…

Performance · Computer Science 2008-07-04 Christian Tanguy

Models of dynamic networks --- networks that evolve over time --- have manifold applications. We develop a discrete-time generative model for social network evolution that inherits the richness and flexibility of the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Pavel N. Krivitsky , Mark S. Handcock

How self-organized networks develop, mature and degenerate is a key question for sociotechnical, cyberphysical and biological systems with potential applications from tackling violent extremism through to neurological diseases. So far, it…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-05 M. Zheng , Z. Cao , Y. Vorobyeva , P. Manrique , C. Song , N. F. Johnson

We investigate the failure mechanisms of load sharing complex systems. The system is composed of multiple nodes or components whose failures are determined based on the interaction of their respective strengths and loads (or capacity and…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-02-03 Shahnewaz Siddique , Vitali Volovoi

In this paper a new lifetime distribution which is obtained by compounding Lindley and geometric distributions, named Lindley-geometric (LG) distribution, is introduced. Several properties of the new distribution such as density, failure…

Computation · Statistics 2012-04-20 Hojjatollah Zakerzadeh , Eisa Mahmoudi

This paper addresses the problem of distributed detection in fixed and switching networks. A network of agents observe partially informative signals about the unknown state of the world. Hence, they collaborate with each other to identify…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-01-01 Shahin Shahrampour , Alexander Rakhlin , Ali Jadbabaie

This work considers stochastic comparisons of lifetimes of series and parallel systems with dependent and heterogeneous components having lifetimes following the proportional odds (PO) model. The joint distribution of component lifetimes is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Arindam Panja , Pradip Kundu , Biswabrata Pradhan