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We consider a risk-averse stochastic capacity planning problem under uncertain demand in each period. Using a scenario tree representation of the uncertainty, we formulate a multistage stochastic integer program to adjust the capacity…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Xian Yu , Siqian Shen

The ability to perform accurate prognosis of patients is crucial for proactive clinical decision making, informed resource management and personalised care. Existing outcome prediction models suffer from a low recall of infrequent positive…

This paper investigates the optimal locations and capacities of hospital expansion facilities under uncertain future patient demands, considering both spatial and temporal correlations. We propose a novel two-stage distributionally robust…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Aliaa Alnaggar , Faiza Farrukh

Predictive modeling and time-pattern analysis are increasingly critical in this swiftly shifting retail environment to improve operational efficiency and informed decision-making. This paper reports a comprehensive application of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Sri Darshan M , Jaisachin B , NithinRaj N

Extensive bedside monitoring in Intensive Care Units (ICUs) has resulted in complex temporal data regarding patient physiology, which presents an upscale context for clinical data analysis. In the other hand, identifying the time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Manel Mili , Asma Kerkeni , Asma Ben Abdallah , Mohamed Hedi Bedoui

Quantifying a patient's health status provides clinicians with insight into patient risk, and the ability to better triage and manage resources. Early Warning Scores (EWS) are widely deployed to measure overall health status, and risk of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Thea Barnes , Enrico Werner , Jeffrey N. Clark , Raul Santos-Rodriguez

Over the past several years, across the globe, there has been an increase in people seeking care in emergency departments (EDs). ED resources, including nurse staffing, are strained by such increases in patient volume. Accurate forecasting…

Worldwide, many millions of people die suddenly and unexpectedly each year, either with or without a prior history of cardiovascular disease. Such events are sparse (once in a lifetime), many victims will not have had prior investigations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Yola Jones , Fani Deligianni , Jeff Dalton , Pierpaolo Pellicori , John G F Cleland

This study addresses the challenges of symptom evolution complexity and insufficient temporal dependency modeling in Parkinson's disease progression prediction. It proposes a unified prediction framework that integrates structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Jiacheng Hu , Bo Zhang , Ting Xu , Haifeng Yang , Min Gao

This study reveals the important role of prevention care and medication adherence in reducing hospitalizations. By using a structured dataset of 1,171 patients, four machine learning models Logistic Regression, Gradient Boosting, Random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Yixin Zhang , Yisong Chen

Effective hospital capacity management is pivotal for enhancing patient care quality, operational efficiency, and healthcare system resilience, notably during demand spikes like those seen in the COVID-19 pandemic. However, devising optimal…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-04-01 Felix Parker , Fardin Ganjkhanloo , Diego A. Martínez , Kimia Ghobadi

Using data from cardiovascular surgery patients with long and highly variable post-surgical lengths of stay (LOS), we develop a modeling framework to reduce recovery unit congestion. We estimate the LOS and its probability distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Yuan Shi , Saied Mahdian , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Andrew Y. Shin , David Scheinker

Background Predicting mortality and resource utilization from electronic health records (EHRs) is challenging yet crucial for optimizing patient outcomes and managing costs in intensive care unit (ICU). Existing approaches predominantly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Yucheng Ruan , Xiang Lan , Daniel J. Tan , Hairil Rizal Abdullah , Mengling Feng

As populations age, the rise of multimorbidity poses a significant healthcare challenge. However, our ability to quantitatively forecast the progression of multimorbidity remains limited. Leveraging a nationwide dataset comprising…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-29 Katharina Ledebur , Alexandra Kautzky-Willer , Stefan Thurner , Peter Klimek

Overdose related to prescription opioids have reached an epidemic level in the US, creating an unprecedented national crisis. This has been exacerbated partly due to the lack of tools for physicians to help predict the risk of whether a…

For hospitals, realistic forecasting of bed demand during impending epidemics of infectious diseases is essential to avoid being overwhelmed by a potential sudden increase in the number of admitted patients. Short-term forecasting can aid…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-24 Angelo D'Ambrosio , Raisa Kociurzynski , Alexis Papathanassopoulos , Fabian Bürkin , Hajo Grundmann , Tjibbe Donker

Period-prevalent cohorts are often used for their cost-saving potential in epidemiological studies of survival outcomes. Under this design, prevalent patients allow for evaluations of long-term survival outcomes without the need for long…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Nicholas Hartman

In healthcare, patient risk stratification models are often learned using time-series data extracted from electronic health records. When extracting data for a clinical prediction task, several formulations exist, depending on how one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Eli Sherman , Hitinder Gurm , Ulysses Balis , Scott Owens , Jenna Wiens

This article presents the results of a data science study conducted at a container terminal, aimed at reducing unproductive container moves through the prediction of service requirements and container dwell times. We develop and evaluate…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Elena Villalobos , Adolfo De Unánue T. , Fernanda Sobrino , David Aké , Stephany Cisneros , Jorge Lecona , Alejandra Matadamaz

Clinical predictive algorithms are increasingly being used to form the basis for optimal treatment policies--that is, to enable interventions to be targeted to the patients who will presumably benefit most. Despite taking advantage of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-21 Ben J. Marafino , Alejandro Schuler , Vincent X. Liu , Gabriel J. Escobar , Mike Baiocchi