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We develop a framework for Gaussian processes regression constrained by boundary value problems. The framework may be applied to infer the solution of a well-posed boundary value problem with a known second-order differential operator and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Laura Swiler

In this paper we investigate price and Greeks computation of a Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) Variable Annuity (VA) when both stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate are considered together in the Heston Hull-White…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-23 Ludovic Goudenège , Andrea Molent , Antonino Zanette

The estimation of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) plays a pivotal role in intelligent manufacturing systems and Industry 4.0 technologies. While recent advancements have improved RUL prediction, many models still face interpretability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Tian Niu , Zijun Xu , Heng Luo , Ziqing Zhou

Accurately predicting when and where ambulance call-outs occur can reduce response times and ensure the patient receives urgent care sooner. Here we present a novel method for ambulance demand prediction using Gaussian process regression…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Seth Nabarro , Tristan Fletcher , John Shawe-Taylor

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

We propose an efficient and easy-to-implement gradient-enhanced least squares Monte Carlo method for computing price and Greeks (i.e., derivatives of the price function) of high-dimensional American options. It employs the sparse Hermite…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-01 Jiefei Yang , Guanglian Li

Exact Gaussian Process (GP) regression has O(N^3) runtime for data size N, making it intractable for large N. Many algorithms for improving GP scaling approximate the covariance with lower rank matrices. Other work has exploited structure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-24 Elad Gilboa , Yunus Saatçi , John P. Cunningham

Gaussian process regression (GPR) model is a popular nonparametric regression model. In GPR, features of the regression function such as varying degrees of smoothness and periodicities are modeled through combining various covarinace…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Jaehoan Kim , Jaeyong Lee

We introduce a new approach for the numerical pricing of American options. The main idea is to choose a finite number of suitable excessive functions (randomly) and to find the smallest majorant of the gain function in the span of these…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-17 Sören Christensen

Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful but computationally expensive machine learning models, requiring an estimate of the kernel covariance matrix for every prediction. In large and complex domains, such as graphs, sets, or images, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Alessandro Tibo , Thomas Dyhre Nielsen

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are powerful non-parametric Bayesian regression models that allow exact posterior inference, but exhibit high computational and memory costs. In order to improve scalability of GPs, approximate posterior inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Martin Trapp , Robert Peharz , Franz Pernkopf , Carl E. Rasmussen

In this article, we evaluate the performance of a data-driven background estimate method based on Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). A realistic background spectrum from a search conducted by CMS is considered, where a large sub-region…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-08-20 Jackson Barr , Bingxuan Liu

We introduce a variational Bayesian neural network where the parameters are governed via a probability distribution on random matrices. Specifically, we employ a matrix variate Gaussian \cite{gupta1999matrix} parameter posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-24 Christos Louizos , Max Welling

We present a novel approach for fully non-stationary Gaussian process regression (GPR), where all three key parameters -- noise variance, signal variance and lengthscale -- can be simultaneously input-dependent. We develop gradient-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-19 Markus Heinonen , Henrik Mannerström , Juho Rousu , Samuel Kaski , Harri Lähdesmäki

We introduce a scalable Gaussian process (GP) framework with deep product kernels for data-driven learning of parametrized spatio-temporal fields over fixed or parameter-dependent domains. The proposed framework learns a continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Srinath Dama , Prasanth B. Nair

We propose a deep Recurrent neural network (RNN) framework for computing prices and deltas of American options in high dimensions. Our proposed framework uses two deep RNNs, where one network learns the price and the other learns the delta…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-20 Andrew Na , Justin Wan

We develop an exact and scalable algorithm for one-dimensional Gaussian process regression with Mat\'ern correlations whose smoothness parameter $\nu$ is a half-integer. The proposed algorithm only requires $\mathcal{O}(\nu^3 n)$ operations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-11 Haoyuan Chen , Liang Ding , Rui Tuo

Gaussian processes (GPs) with derivatives are useful in many applications, including Bayesian optimization, implicit surface reconstruction, and terrain reconstruction. Fitting a GP to function values and derivatives at $n$ points in $d$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 David Eriksson , Kun Dong , Eric Hans Lee , David Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Optimization of product and system characteristics is required in many fields, including design and control. Bayesian optimization (BO) is often used when there are high observing costs, because BO theoretically guarantees an upper bound on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yasunori Taguchi , Hiro Gangi

Multi-parameter regression (MPR) modelling refers to the approach whereby covariates are allowed to enter the model through multiple distributional parameters simultaneously. This is in contrast to the standard approaches where covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-03 Fatima-Zahra Jaouimaa , Il Do Ha , Kevin Burke