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We explore the problem of learning under selective labels in the context of algorithm-assisted decision making. Selective labels is a pervasive selection bias problem that arises when historical decision making blinds us to the true outcome…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Maria De-Arteaga , Artur Dubrawski , Alexandra Chouldechova

Transductive learning is a supervised machine learning task in which, unlike in traditional inductive learning, the unlabelled data that require labelling are a finite set and are available at training time. Similarly to inductive learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Lorenzo Volpi , Alejandro Moreo , Fabrizio Sebastiani

What sorts of structure might enable a learner to discover classes from unlabeled data? Traditional approaches rely on feature-space similarity and heroic assumptions on the data. In this paper, we introduce unsupervised learning under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Manley Roberts , Pranav Mani , Saurabh Garg , Zachary C. Lipton

Peculiar measurements can be obtained on systems that undergo both pre- and post-selection. We prove a conjecture from [1] on logical Pre- and Post-Selection (PPS) paradoxes for a restricted case. We prove that all of these paradoxes admit…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-23 Ouissal Moumou

Complex contagions describe systems where the probability or rate of contagious transmission is a nonlinear function of the exposure to contagious agents. These models were first studied theoretically but have since been used to capture…

Real-world observational datasets and machine learning have revolutionized data-driven decision-making, yet many models rely on empirical associations that may be misleading due to confounding and subgroup heterogeneity. Simpson's paradox…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Xian Teng , Yu-Ru Lin

Most positive and unlabeled data is subject to selection biases. The labeled examples can, for example, be selected from the positive set because they are easier to obtain or more obviously positive. This paper investigates how learning can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-01 Jessa Bekker , Pieter Robberechts , Jesse Davis

We investigate how Simpson's paradox affects analysis of trends in social data. According to the paradox, the trends observed in data that has been aggregated over an entire population may be different from, and even opposite to, those of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-01-16 Nazanin Alipourfard , Peter G. Fennell , Kristina Lerman

Observational data about human behavior is often heterogeneous, i.e., generated by subgroups within the population under study that vary in size and behavior. Heterogeneity predisposes analysis to Simpson's paradox, whereby the trends…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Kristina Lerman

Neural networks are powered by an implicit bias: a tendency of gradient descent to fit training data in a way that generalizes to unseen data. A recent class of neural network models gaining increasing popularity is structured state space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yonatan Slutzky , Yotam Alexander , Noam Razin , Nadav Cohen

Simpson's paradox, a long-standing statistical phenomenon, describes the reversal of an observed association when data are disaggregated into sub-populations. It has critical implications across statistics, epidemiology, economics, and…

Databases · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yi Yang , Jian Pei , Jun Yang , Jichun Xie

Simpson's paradox and collapsibility are two closely related concepts in the context of data analysis. While the knowledge about the occurrence of Simpson's paradox helps a statistician to draw correct and meaningful conclusions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-19 P. Vellaisamy

We study the open-set label shift problem, where the test data may include a novel class absent from training. This setting is challenging because both the class proportions and the distribution of the novel class are not identifiable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Siyan Liu , Yukun Liu , Qinglong Tian , Pengfei Li , Jing Qin

The robustness of machine learning models can be compromised by spurious correlations between non-causal features in the input data and target labels. A common way to test for such correlations is to train on data where the label is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Akshit Achara , Yovin Yathathugoda , Nick Byrne , Michela Antonelli , Esther Puyol Anton , Alexander Hammers , Andrew P. King

The belief that numbers offer a single, objective description of reality overlooks a crucial truth: data does not speak for itself. Every dataset results from choices-what to measure, how, when, and with whom-which inevitably reflect…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-07-08 Arthur Charpentier

Noisy labels are both inevitable and problematic in machine learning methods, as they negatively impact models' generalization ability by causing overfitting. In the context of learning with noise, the transition matrix plays a crucial role…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Jiahui Li , Tai-Wei Chang , Kun Kuang , Ximing Li , Long Chen , Jun Zhou

The primary objective of this paper is to revisit Simpson's paradox using a statistical misspecification perspective. It is argued that the reversal of statistical associations is sometimes spurious, stemming from invalid probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Aris Spanos

Evidence suggests that networks trained on large datasets generalize well not solely because of the numerous training examples, but also class diversity which encourages learning of enriched features. This raises the question of whether…

Complementary-label learning is a weakly supervised learning problem in which each training example is associated with one or multiple complementary labels indicating the classes to which it does not belong. Existing consistent approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Wei Wang , Takashi Ishida , Yu-Jie Zhang , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

In this paper, we study the classification problem in which we have access to easily obtainable surrogate for true labels, namely complementary labels, which specify classes that observations do \textbf{not} belong to. Let $Y$ and $\bar{Y}$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-09 Xiyu Yu , Tongliang Liu , Mingming Gong , Dacheng Tao
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