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This paper presents a data-driven receding horizon control framework for discrete-time linear systems that guarantees robust performance in the presence of bounded disturbances. Unlike the majority of existing data-driven predictive control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Jian Zheng , Sahand Kiani , Mario Sznaier , Constantino Lagoa

In this work, we propose an event-triggered moving horizon estimation (ET-MHE) scheme for the remote state estimation of general nonlinear systems. In the presented method, whenever an event is triggered, a single measurement is transmitted…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Isabelle Krauss , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

We present a novel methodology based on filtered data and moving averages for estimating effective dynamics from observations of multiscale systems. We show in a semi-parametric framework of the Langevin type that our approach is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Giacomo Garegnani , Andrea Zanoni

We present an algorithm, based on the Differential Dynamic Programming framework, to handle trajectory optimization problems in which the horizon is determined online rather than fixed a priori. This algorithm exhibits exact one-step…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Kyle Stachowicz , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Estimating and reacting to external disturbances is of fundamental importance for robust control of quadrotors. Existing estimators typically require significant tuning or training with a large amount of data, including the ground truth, to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Bingheng Wang , Zhengtian Ma , Shupeng Lai , Lin Zhao , Tong Heng Lee

Identifying and calibrating quantitative dynamical models for physical quantum systems is important for a variety of applications. Here we present a closed-loop Bayesian learning algorithm for estimating multiple unknown parameters in a…

A new approach to design of nonlinear observers (state estimators) is proposed. The main idea is to (i) construct a convex set of dynamical systems which are contracting observers for a particular system, and (ii) optimize over this set for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Ian R. Manchester

Sample-efficient exploration is crucial not only for discovering rewarding experiences but also for adapting to environment changes in a task-agnostic fashion. A principled treatment of the problem of optimal input synthesis for system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-10 Matthias Schultheis , Boris Belousov , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

The paper presents a machine learning approach to design digital interfaces that can dynamically adapt to different users and usage strategies. The algorithm uses Bayesian statistics to model users' browsing behavior, focusing on their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Eric Petit , Denis Chêne

We propose a new method in indefinite-horizon settings for estimating optimal dynamic treatment regimes for time-to-event outcomes. This method allows patients to have different numbers of treatment stages and is constructed using…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-31 Jane She , Matthew Egberg , Michael R. Kosorok

This paper proposes a receding horizon active learning and control problem for dynamical systems in which Gaussian Processes (GPs) are utilized to model the system dynamics. The active learning objective in the optimization problem is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-13 Viet-Anh Le , Truong X. Nghiem

Many real-world problems are usually computationally costly and the objective functions evolve over time. Data-driven, a.k.a. surrogate-assisted, evolutionary optimization has been recognized as an effective approach for tackling expensive…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Ke Li , Renzhi Chen , Xin Yao

In this work the issue of Bayesian inference for stationary data is addressed. Therefor a parametrization of a statistically suitable subspace of the the shift-ergodic probability measures on a Cartesian product of some finite state space…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Fritz Moritz von Rohrscheidt

Bayesian optimization has shown to be a fundamental global optimization algorithm in many applications: ranging from automatic machine learning, robotics, reinforcement learning, experimental design, simulations, etc. The most popular and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-09 Ruben Martinez-Cantin

We address the problem of estimating the inputs of a dynamical system from measurements of the system's outputs. To this end, we introduce a novel estimation algorithm that explicitly trades off bias and variance to optimally reduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Sebastian Curi , Kfir Y. Levy , Andreas Krause

Experimental calibration of dynamic thermal models is required for model predictive control and characterization of building energy performance. In these applications, the uncertainty assessment of the parameter estimates is decisive; this…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-25 L. Raillon , Christian Ghiaus

In this paper, we propose a suboptimal moving horizon estimator for nonlinear systems. For the stability analysis we transfer the "feasibility-implies-stability/robustness" paradigm from model predictive control to the context of moving…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-13 Julian D. Schiller , Sven Knüfer , Matthias A. Müller

Iterative trajectory optimization techniques for non-linear dynamical systems are among the most powerful and sample-efficient methods of model-based reinforcement learning and approximate optimal control. By leveraging time-variant local…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-01 Onur Celik , Hany Abdulsamad , Jan Peters

Learning dynamics governing physical and spatiotemporal processes is a challenging problem, especially in scenarios where states are partially measured. In this work, we tackle the problem of learning dynamics governing these systems when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Paul Ghanem , Ahmet Demirkaya , Tales Imbiriba , Alireza Ramezani , Zachary Danziger , Deniz Erdogmus

In this paper, we develop novel accuracy and performance guarantees for optimal state estimation of general nonlinear systems (in particular, moving horizon estimation, MHE). Our results rely on a turnpike property of the optimal state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Julian D. Schiller , Lars Grüne , and Matthias A. Müller