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Uncertainty quantification is crucial in time series prediction, and quantile regression offers a valuable mechanism for uncertainty quantification which is useful for extreme value forecasting. Although deep learning models have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Jimmy Cheung , Smruthi Rangarajan , Amelia Maddocks , Xizhe Chen , Rohitash Chandra

In this article, we introduce a novel deep learning hybrid model that integrates attention Transformer and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) architectures to improve the accuracy of cryptocurrency price predictions. By combining the Transformer's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Esam Mahdi , C. Martin-Barreiro , X. Cabezas

In order to further overcome the difficulties of the existing models in dealing with the non-stationary and nonlinear characteristics of high-frequency financial time series data, especially its weak generalization ability, this paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-08 Qi Tang , Tongmei Fan , Ruchen Shi , Jingyan Huang , Yidan Ma

Introduction: The paper addresses the challenging problem of predicting the short-term realized volatility of the Bitcoin price using order flow information. The inherent stochastic nature and anti-persistence of price pose difficulties in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-21 Artem Lensky , Mingyu Hao

Binary options trading is often marketed as a field where predictive models can generate consistent profits. However, the inherent randomness and stochastic nature of binary options make price movements highly unpredictable, posing…

A comparative analysis of deep learning models and traditional statistical methods for stock price prediction uses data from the Nigerian stock exchange. Historical data, including daily prices and trading volumes, are employed to implement…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Opeyemi Sheu Alamu , Md Kamrul Siam

A deep learning network was used to predict future blood glucose levels, as this can permit diabetes patients to take action before imminent hyperglycaemia and hypoglycaemia. A sequential model with one long-short-term memory (LSTM) layer,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Qingnan Sun , Marko V. Jankovic , Lia Bally , Stavroula G. Mougiakakou

Predicting future stock prices and their movement patterns is a complex problem. Hence, building a portfolio of capital assets using the predicted prices to achieve the optimization between its return and risk is an even more difficult…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-24 Jaydip Sen , Abhishek Dutta , Sidra Mehtab

Multi-step stock index forecasting is vital in finance for informed decision-making. Current forecasting methods on this task frequently produce unsatisfactory results due to the inherent data randomness and instability, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Cheng Zhang , Nilam Nur Amir Sjarif , Roslina Ibrahim

In this work, we apply machine learning techniques to historical stock prices to forecast future prices. To achieve this, we use recursive approaches that are appropriate for handling time series data. In particular, we apply a linear…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-08 Ogulcan E. Orsel , Sasha S. Yamada

Stock price prediction is important for value investments in the stock market. In particular, short-term prediction that exploits financial news articles is promising in recent years. In this paper, we propose a novel deep neural network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-24 Xinyi Li , Yinchuan Li , Hongyang Yang , Liuqing Yang , Xiao-Yang Liu

The Bitcoin Lightning Network is a Layer 2 payment protocol that addresses Bitcoin's scalability by facilitating quick and cost effective transactions through payment channels. This research explores the feasibility of using machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Vincent Davis , Emanuele Rossi , Vikash Singh

In order to make good investment decisions, it is vitally important for an investor to know how to make good analysis of financial time series. Within this context, studies on the forecast of the values and trends of stock prices have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Gabriel de Oliveira Guedes Nogueira , Marcel Otoboni de Lima

As the complexity and dynamism of financial markets continue to grow, traditional financial risk prediction methods increasingly struggle to handle large datasets and intricate behavior patterns. This paper explores the feasibility and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Haowei Yang , Zhan Cheng , Zhaoyang Zhang , Yuanshuai Luo , Shuaishuai Huang , Ao Xiang

The dramatic adoption of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the USA has revolutionized the financial landscape and provided unprecedented investment and transaction efficiency opportunities. The prime objective of this research project…

Stock market forecasting is a classic problem that has been thoroughly investigated using machine learning and artificial neural network based tools and techniques. Interesting aspects of this problem include its time reliance as well as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Raihan Tanvir , Md Tanvir Rouf Shawon , Md. Golam Rabiul Alam

Artificial intelligence (AI) has demonstrated remarkable success across various applications. In light of this trend, the field of automated trading has developed a keen interest in leveraging AI techniques to forecast the future prices of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Dieu-Donne Fangnon , Armandine Sorel Kouyim Meli , Verlon Roel Mbingui , Phanie Dianelle Negho , Regis Konan Marcel Djaha , Lema Logamou Seknewna

The present study aims to establish the model of the cryptocurrency price trend based on financial theory using the LSTM model with multiple combinations between the window length and the predicting horizons, the random walk model is also…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-11 Yifan Yao , Lina Wang

In recent years, deep learning techniques have outperformed traditional models in many machine learning tasks. Deep neural networks have successfully been applied to address time series forecasting problems, which is a very important topic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Pedro Lara-Benítez , Manuel Carranza-García , José C. Riquelme

According to the advent of cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, many investments and businesses are now conducted online through cryptocurrencies. Among them, Bitcoin uses blockchain technology to make transactions secure, transparent, traceable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Milad Asadpour , Alireza Rezaee , Farshid Hajati
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