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Applying probability-related knowledge to accurately explore and exploit the inherent uncertainty of wind power output is one of the key issues that need to be solved urgently in the development of smart grid. This letter develops an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-19 Libao Shi , Yang Pan , Yixin Ni

Gaussian process (GP) models have received increasing attention in recent years due to their superb prediction accuracy and modeling flexibility. To address the computational burdens of GP models for large-scale datasets, distributed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Haoyuan Chen , Rui Tuo

Recent advancements in data-driven aeroelasticity have been driven by the wealth of data available in the wind engineering practice, especially in modeling aerodynamic forces. Despite progress, challenges persist in addressing free-stream…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-08-14 Igor Kavrakov , Guido Morgenthal , Allan McRobie

Optimizing wheat variety selection for high performance in different environmental conditions is critical for reliable food production and stable incomes for growers. We employ a statistical machine learning framework utilizing Gaussian…

This article investigates the optimization of yaw control inputs of a nine-turbine wind farm. The wind farm is simulated using the high-fidelity simulator SOWFA. The optimization is performed with a modifier adaptation scheme based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-30 Leif Erik Andersson , Bart Doekemeijer , Daan van der Hoek , Jan-Willem van Wingerden , Lars Imsland

One of the primary science objectives of Parker Solar Probe (PSP) is to determine the structures and dynamics of the plasma and magnetic fields at the sources of the solar wind. However, establishing the connection between {\it in situ}…

With the increasing amount of available data from simulations and experiments, research for the development of data-driven models for wind-farm power prediction has increased significantly. While the data-driven models can successfully…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-04-06 Navid Zehtabiyan-Rezaie , Alexandros Iosifidis , Mahdi Abkar

The Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) has attracted extensive attention for modeling complex nonlinear dynamical systems. However, the existing GPSSM employs separate Gaussian processes (GPs) for each latent state dimension,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Zhidi Lin , Juan Maroñas , Ying Li , Feng Yin , Sergios Theodoridis

Atmospheric retrievals are essential tools for interpreting exoplanet transmission and eclipse spectra, enabling quantitative constraints on the chemical composition, aerosol properties, and thermal structure of planetary atmospheres. The…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-19 Yoav Rotman , Luis Welbanks , Michael R. Line , Peter McGill , Michael Radica , Matthew C. Nixon

Chance-constrained optimization (CCO) has been widely used for uncertainty management in power system operation. With the prevalence of wind energy, it becomes possible to consider the wind curtailment as a dispatch variable in CCO.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-06 Xingyu Lei , Zhifang Yang , Junbo Zhao , Juan Yu

Geostationary satellites collect high-resolution weather data comprising a series of images which can be used to estimate wind speed and direction at different altitudes. The Derived Motion Winds (DMW) Algorithm is commonly used to process…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-13 Indranil Sahoo , Joseph Guinness , Brian J. Reich

Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), a prominent meteorological research area, is pivotal in providing timely localized weather predictions. Despite the progress existing models have made in the overall accuracy of the GSWF, executing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Songru Yang , Zili Liu , Zhenwei Shi , Zhengxia Zou

Learning dynamical models from data is not only fundamental but also holds great promise for advancing principle discovery, time-series prediction, and controller design. Among various approaches, Gaussian Process State-Space Models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Haipeng Chen , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong , Xu Huang

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are expressive models for capturing signal statistics and expressing prediction uncertainty. As a result, the robotics community has gathered interest in leveraging these methods for inference, planning, and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Francesco Crocetti , Jeffrey Mao , Alessandro Saviolo , Gabriele Costante , Giuseppe Loianno

Wind power plays an increasingly significant role in achieving the 2050 Net Zero Strategy. Despite its rapid growth, its inherent variability presents challenges in forecasting. Accurately forecasting wind power generation is one key demand…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-13 Tao Shen , Jethro Browell , Daniela Castro-Camilo

The application of reliable structural health monitoring (SHM) technologies to operational wind turbine blades is a challenging task, due to the uncertain nature of the environments they operate in. In this paper, a novel SHM methodology,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Kartik Chandrasekhar , Nevena Stevanovic , Elizabeth J. Cross , Nikolaos Dervilis , Keith Worden

The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

We examine an analytic variational inference scheme for the Gaussian Process State Space Model (GPSSM) - a probabilistic model for system identification and time-series modelling. Our approach performs variational inference over both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Alessandro Davide Ialongo , Mark van der Wilk , Carl Edward Rasmussen

The integration of renewable energy sources (RES) into power grids presents significant challenges due to their intrinsic stochasticity and uncertainty, necessitating the development of new techniques for reliable and efficient forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 Hanyu Zhang , Reza Zandehshahvar , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

The growth of wind generation capacities in the past decades has shown that wind energy can contribute to the energy transition in many parts of the world. Being highly variable and complex to model, the quantification of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Alina Walch , Nahid Mohajeri , Jean-Louis Scartezzini , Mikhail Kanevski