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Epidemic processes are common out-of-equilibrium phenomena of broad interdisciplinary interest. Recently, dynamic message-passing (DMP) has been proposed as an efficient algorithm for simulating epidemic models on networks, and in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-30 Munik Shrestha , Samuel V. Scarpino , Cristopher Moore

While epidemiological modeling is pivotal for informing public health strategies, a fundamental trade-off limits its predictive fidelity: exact stochastic simulations are often computationally intractable for large-scale systems, whereas…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-09 Cheng Ye , Zi-Song Shen , Pan Zhang

Spreading models capture key dynamics on networks, such as cascading failures in economic systems, (mis)information diffusion, and pathogen transmission. Here, we focus on design intervention problems -- for example, designing optimal…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Erik Weis , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Jean-Gabriel Young

Predicting stochastic spreading processes on complex networks is critical in epidemic control, opinion propagation, and viral marketing. We focus on the problem of inferring the time-dependent marginal probabilities of states for each node…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-02-15 Fei Gao , Yan Zhang , Jiang Zhang

Source detection is crucial for capturing the dynamics of real-world infectious diseases and informing effective containment strategies. Most existing approaches to source detection focus on conventional pairwise networks, whereas recent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-04 Qiao Ke , Naoki Masuda , Zhen Jin , Chuang Liu , Xiu-Xiu Zhan

Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

The understanding of epidemics on networks has greatly benefited from the recent application of message-passing approaches, which allow to derive exact results for irreversible spreading (i.e. diseases with permanent acquired immunity) in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-12-05 Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

Message passing (MP) is a computational technique used to find approximate solutions to a variety of problems defined on networks. MP approximations are generally accurate in locally tree-like networks but require corrections to maintain…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-09-27 George T. Cantwell , Alec Kirkley , Filippo Radicchi

Epidemics on complex networks is a widely investigated topic in the last few years, mainly due to the last pandemic events. Usually, real contact networks are dynamic, hence much effort has been invested in studying epidemics on evolving…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-18 Hillel Sanhedrai , Shlomo Havlin

Researchers have developed several theoretical methods for predicting epidemic thresholds, including the mean-field like (MFL) method, the quenched mean-field (QMF) method, and the dynamical message passing (DMP) method. When these methods…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-26 Wei Wang , Quan-Hui Liu , Lin-Feng Zhong , Ming Tang , Hui Gao , H. Eugene Stanley

Using the notion of effective distance proposed by Brockmann and Helbing, complex spatiotemporal processes of epidemic spreading can be reduced to circular wave propagation patterns with well-defined wavefronts. This hidden homogeneity of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-13 Yifan Chen , Yu Zhou , Ross Murch , Tadashi Nakano

Neural message passing is a basic feature extraction unit for graph-structured data considering neighboring node features in network propagation from one layer to the next. We model such process by an interacting particle system with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Yuelin Wang , Kai Yi , Xinliang Liu , Yu Guang Wang , Shi Jin

The interaction among spreading processes on a complex network is a nontrivial phenomenon of great importance. It has recently been realized that cooperative effects among infective diseases can give rise to qualitative changes in the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-25 Byungjoon Min , Claudio Castellano

Message-passing theories have proved to be invaluable tools in studying percolation, non-recurrent epidemics and similar dynamical processes on real-world networks. At the heart of the message-passing method is the nonbacktracking matrix…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-25 G. Timár , R. A. da Costa , S. N. Dorogovtsev , J. F. F. Mendes

The role of waning immunity in basic epidemic models on networks has been undervalued while being noticeable fundamental for real epidemic outbreaks. One central question is which mean-field approach is more accurate in describing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-05 José Carlos M. Silva , Diogo H. Silva , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Silvio C. Ferreira

Approximate message passing (AMP) algorithms are iterative methods for signal recovery in noisy linear systems. In some scenarios, AMP algorithms need to operate within a distributed network. To address this challenge, the distributed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-26 Jun Lu , Lei Liu , Shunqi Huang , Ning Wei , Xiaoming Chen

Characterizing the distribution of high-dimensional statistical estimators is a challenging task, due to the breakdown of classical asymptotic theory in high dimension. This paper makes progress towards this by developing non-asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Gen Li , Yuting Wei

In this paper we offer a solution to a long-standing problem in the study of networks. Message passing is a fundamental technique for calculations on networks and graphs. The first versions of the method appeared in the 1930s and over the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-12-10 George T. Cantwell , M. E. J. Newman

We propose regularized approximate message passing (RAMP), a low-complexity algorithm for discrete signal detection in overloaded multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) systems where the number of transmit antennas exceeds the number of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Shreesal Shrestha , Getuar Rexhepi , Kuranage Roche Rayan Ranasinghe , Hyeon Seok Rou , Giuseppe Thadeu Freitas de Abreu

Understanding the dynamics of computer virus (malware, worm) in cyberspace is an important problem that has attracted a fair amount of attention. Early investigations for this purpose adapted biological epidemic models, and thus inherited…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-25 Shouhuai Xu , Wenlian Lu , Li Xu
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