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In this work we study the ranking algorithm used by F\'ed\'eration Internationale de Football Association (FIFA); we analyze the parameters it currently uses, show the formal probabilistic model from which it can be derived, and optimize…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Leszek Szczecinski , Iris-Ioana Roatis

Over the last few years, there has been a growing interest in the prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes, with particular emphasis placed on this area by the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-17 Roberto Macrì Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli

This study develops a hierarchical Bayesian framework that integrates expert domain knowledge to quantify player-specific effects in expected goals (xG) estimation, addressing a limitation of standard models that treat all players as…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-01 Mikayil Mahmudlu , Oktay Karakuş , Hasan Arkadaş

This paper explores how semantic-space reasoning, traditionally used in computational linguistics, can be extended to tactical decision-making in team sports. Building on the analogy between texts and teams -- where players act as words and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Alessio Di Rubbo , Mattia Neri , Remo Pareschi , Marco Pedroni , Roberto Valtancoli , Paolino Zica

The Shapley value is the prevalent solution for fair division problems in which a payout is to be divided among multiple agents. By adopting a game-theoretic view, the idea of fair division and the Shapley value can also be used in machine…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Guilherme Dean Pelegrina , Patrick Kolpaczki , Eyke Hüllermeier

Cooperative game theory methods, notably Shapley values, have significantly enhanced machine learning (ML) interpretability. However, existing explainable AI (XAI) frameworks mainly attribute average model predictions, overlooking…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Marouane Il Idrissi , Agathe Fernandes Machado , Ewen Gallic , Arthur Charpentier

Missing data is a prevalent issue that can significantly impair model performance and explainability. This paper briefly summarizes the development of the field of missing data with respect to Explainable Artificial Intelligence and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Tuan L. Vo , Thu Nguyen , Luis M. Lopez-Ramos , Hugo L. Hammer , Michael A. Riegler , Pal Halvorsen

The interconnected nature of the economic variables influencing a firm's performance makes the prediction of a company's earning trend a challenging task. Existing methodologies often rely on simplistic models and financial ratios failing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Marco Piazza , Mauro Passacantando , Francesca Magli , Federica Doni , Andrea Amaduzzi , Enza Messina

Although orientation has proven to be a key skill of soccer players in order to succeed in a broad spectrum of plays, body orientation is a yet-little-explored area in sports analytics' research. Despite being an inherently ambiguous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Adrián Martín , Javier Fernández , Carlos Rodríguez , Gloria Haro , Coloma Ballester

In this paper, we describe an approach to rank sport players based on their efficiency. Although is extremely useful to analyze the performance of team games there is no unanimity on the use of a single index to perform such a ranking. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-21 Víctor Blanco , Román Salmerón , Samuel Gómez-Haro

Composing a team of professional players is among the most crucial decisions in association football. Nevertheless, transfer market decisions are often based on myopic objectives and are questionable from a financial point of view. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Giovanni Pantuso , Lars Magnus Hvattum

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

In-game win probability models, which provide a sports team's likelihood of winning at each point in a game based on historical observations, are becoming increasingly popular. In baseball, basketball and American football, they have become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Pieter Robberechts , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

Sports tracking data are the high-resolution spatiotemporal observations of a competitive event. The growing collection of these data in professional sport allows us to address a fundamental problem of modern sport: how to attribute value…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-27 Stephanie Kovalchik , Martin Ingram , Kokum Weeratunga , Cagatay Goncu

This paper presents a novel framework for evaluating players in association football (soccer). Our method uses possession sequences, i.e. sequences of consecutive on-ball actions, for deriving estimates for player strengths. On the surface,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-13 Robert Bajons , Kurt Hornik

In the last years, scientific and industrial research has experienced a growing interest in acquiring large annotated data sets to train artificial intelligence algorithms for tackling problems in different domains. In this context, we have…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Silvio Barra , Salvatore M. Carta , Alessandro Giuliani , Alessia Pisu , Alessandro Sebastian Podda , DanieleRiboni

This paper explores the significant history of professional football and the betting industry, tracing its evolution from clandestine beginnings to a lucrative multi-million-pound enterprise. Initiated by the legalization of gambling in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Purnachandra Mandadapu

The Shapley value is arguably the most central normative solution concept in cooperative game theory. It specifies a unique way in which the reward from cooperation can be "fairly" divided among players. While it has a wide range of real…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-02-14 Sasan Maleki , Long Tran-Thanh , Greg Hines , Talal Rahwan , Alex Rogers

Data valuation is an essential task in a data marketplace. It aims at fairly compensating data owners for their contribution. There is increasing recognition in the machine learning community that the Shapley value -- a foundational…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Zhihua Tian , Jian Liu , Jingyu Li , Xinle Cao , Ruoxi Jia , Jun Kong , Mengdi Liu , Kui Ren

Soccer commentary plays a crucial role in enhancing the soccer game viewing experience for audiences. Previous studies in automatic soccer commentary generation typically adopt an end-to-end method to generate anonymous live text…

Multimedia · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Zeyu Jin , Xiaoyu Qin , Songtao Zhou , Kaifeng Yun , Jia Jia
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