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Many important problems require modelling large-scale spatio-temporal datasets, with one prevalent example being weather forecasting. Recently, transformer-based approaches have shown great promise in a range of weather forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-11 Matthew Ashman , Cristiana Diaconu , Eric Langezaal , Adrian Weller , Richard E. Turner

Neural ordinary differential equations are an attractive option for modelling temporal dynamics. However, a fundamental issue is that the solution to an ordinary differential equation is determined by its initial condition, and there is no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Patrick Kidger , James Morrill , James Foster , Terry Lyons

Time series forecasting, which aims to predict future values based on historical data, has garnered significant attention due to its broad range of applications. However, real-world time series often exhibit complex non-uniform distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Yanru Sun , Zongxia Xie , Emadeldeen Eldele , Dongyue Chen , Qinghua Hu , Min Wu

Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

Seasonal time series exhibit intricate long-term dependencies, posing a significant challenge for accurate future prediction. This paper introduces the Multi-scale Seasonal Decomposition Model (MSSD) for seasonal time-series forecasting.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Yining Pang , Chenghan Li

We present Latent Diffeomorphic Dynamic Mode Decomposition (LDDMD), a new data reduction approach for the analysis of non-linear systems that combines the interpretability of Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) with the predictive power of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Willem Diepeveen , Jon Schwenk , Andrea Bertozzi

The intersection of machine learning and dynamical systems has generated considerable interest recently. Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) represent a rich overlap between these fields. In this paper, we develop a continuous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Maria Oprea , Mark Walth , Robert Stephany , Gabriella Torres Nothaft , Arnaldo Rodriguez-Gonzalez , William Clark

Neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) treat computation of intermediate feature vectors as trajectories of ordinary differential equation parameterized by a neural network. In this paper, we propose a novel model, delay…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Srinivas Anumasa , P. K. Srijith

Multivariate time-series forecasting holds immense value across diverse applications, requiring methods to effectively capture complex temporal and inter-variable dynamics. A key challenge lies in uncovering the intrinsic patterns that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Liang Yu , Lai Tu , Xiang Bai

Long-term forecasting presents unique challenges due to the time and memory complexity of handling long sequences. Existing methods, which rely on sliding windows to process long sequences, struggle to effectively capture long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Junwoo Park , Daehoon Gwak , Jaegul Choo , Edward Choi

While tumor dynamic modeling has been widely applied to support the development of oncology drugs, there remains a need to increase predictivity, enable personalized therapy, and improve decision-making. We propose the use of Tumor Dynamic…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Mark Laurie , James Lu

Recent advancements in long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) have primarily focused on capturing cross-time and cross-variate (channel) dependencies within historical data. However, a critical aspect often overlooked by many existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Chaolv Zeng , Yuan Tian , Guanjie Zheng , Yunjun Gao

The intricate nature of time series data analysis benefits greatly from the distinct advantages offered by time and frequency domain representations. While the time domain is superior in representing local dependencies, particularly in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Hengyu Ye , Jiadong Chen , Shijin Gong , Fuxin Jiang , Tieying Zhang , Jianjun Chen , Xiaofeng Gao

Irregularly sampled time series forecasting, characterized by non-uniform intervals, is prevalent in practical applications. However, previous research have been focused on regular time series forecasting, typically relying on transformer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Byunghyun Kim , Jae-Gil Lee

Multivariate time series is prevalent in many scientific and industrial domains. Modeling multivariate signals is challenging due to their long-range temporal dependencies and intricate interactions--both direct and indirect. To confront…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Juhyeon Kim , Hyungeun Lee , Seungwon Yu , Ung Hwang , Wooyul Jung , Miseon Park , Kijung Yoon

Predicting scene dynamics from visual observations is challenging. Existing methods capture dynamics only within observed boundaries failing to extrapolate far beyond the training sequence. Node-RF (Neural ODE-based NeRF) overcomes this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Hiran Sarkar , Liming Kuang , Yordanka Velikova , Benjamin Busam

Long-term traffic flow forecasting plays a crucial role in intelligent transportation as it allows traffic managers to adjust their decisions in advance. However, the problem is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations and complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Shigang Chen

Understanding the robustness of deep learning models for multivariate long-term time series forecasting (M-LTSF) remains challenging, as evaluations typically rely on real-world datasets with unknown noise properties. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Nick Janssen , Melanie Schaller , Bodo Rosenhahn

Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-26 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Gabriele Abbati , Stephen Roberts

Time series forecasting is a crucial component of many important applications, ranging from forecasting the stock markets to energy load prediction. The high-dimensionality, velocity and variety of the data collected in these applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Nikolaos Passalis , Anastasios Tefas , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis
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