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Through case studies, we demonstrate how multiverse analysis can strengthen the robustness and transparency of computational social science findings against alternative methodological decisions. We conduct multiverse analyses of three…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-05-20 Maximilian Linde , Jun Sun , Paul Balluff , Danica Radovanović , Chung-hong Chan

Early efforts on leveraging self-supervised learning (SSL) to improve machine learning (ML) fairness has proven promising. However, such an approach has yet to be explored within a multimodal context. Prior work has shown that, within a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Jiaee Cheong , Abtin Mogharabin , Paul Liang , Hatice Gunes , Sinan Kalkan

We use randomness as a measure to assess the impact of evoked pain on brain networks. Randomness is defined here as the intrinsic correlations that exist between different brain regions when the brain is in a task-free state. We use fMRI…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-04 Gurpreet S. Matharoo , Javeria A. Hashmi

Deep neural networks have seen enormous success in various real-world applications. Beyond their predictions as point estimates, increasing attention has been focused on quantifying the uncertainty of their predictions. In this review, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Chengyu Dong

Multivariate data that combine binary, categorical, count and continuous outcomes are common in the social and health sciences. We propose a semiparametric Bayesian latent variable model for multivariate data of arbitrary type that does not…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-14 Jonathan Gruhl , Elena A. Erosheva , Paul K. Crane

A stochastic model of short-term verbal memory is proposed, in which the psychological state of the subject is encoded as the instantaneous position of a particle diffusing over a semantic graph with a probabilistic structure. The model is…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-03-22 Francesco Fumarola

Despite the power of deep neural networks for a wide range of tasks, an overconfident prediction issue has limited their practical use in many safety-critical applications. Many recent works have been proposed to mitigate this issue, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Jooyoung Moon , Jihyo Kim , Younghak Shin , Sangheum Hwang

Recent model-free reinforcement learning algorithms have proposed incorporating learned dynamics models as a source of additional data with the intention of reducing sample complexity. Such methods hold the promise of incorporating imagined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Vladimir Feinberg , Alvin Wan , Ion Stoica , Michael I. Jordan , Joseph E. Gonzalez , Sergey Levine

In an interesting recent work, Kuzborskij and Szepesv\'ari derived a confidence bound for functions of independent random variables, which is based on an inequality that relates concentration to squared perturbations of the chosen function.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Omar Rivasplata

Prognostic models in survival analysis are aimed at understanding the relationship between patients' covariates and the distribution of survival time. Traditionally, semi-parametric models, such as the Cox model, have been assumed. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-06 Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic

It is proposed to investigate the onset of a disease D, based on several risk factors., with a specific interest in Alzheimer occurrence. For that purpose, two classes of techniques are available, whose properties are quite different in…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-18 C. Huber

Accurate simulation of complex physical systems enables the development, testing, and certification of control strategies before they are deployed into the real systems. As simulators become more advanced, the analytical tractability of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Lucas Barcelos , Rafael Oliveira , Rafael Possas , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

Data analysis and machine learning have become an integrative part of the modern scientific methodology, offering automated procedures for the prediction of a phenomenon based on past observations, unraveling underlying patterns in data and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-04 Gilles Louppe

Fluctuation relations allow for the computation of equilibrium properties, like free energy, from an ensemble of non-equilibrium dynamics simulations. Computing them for quantum systems, however, can be difficult, as performing dynamic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-07 Lindsay Bassman , Katherine Klymko , Diyi Liu , Norman M. Tubman , Wibe A. de Jong

Random utility theory models an agent's preferences on alternatives by drawing a real-valued score on each alternative (typically independently) from a parameterized distribution, and then ranking the alternatives according to scores. A…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2012-11-13 Hossein Azari Soufiani , David C. Parkes , Lirong Xia

In this paper, we aim to introduce the concept of the Ouroboros space and the complimentary concept of the Ouroboros function by using the Ouroboros equation [1] as our starting point. We start with a few univariate definitions, and then…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Nathan Thomas Provost

Variance in predictions across different trained models is a significant, under-explored source of error in fair binary classification. In practice, the variance on some data examples is so large that decisions can be effectively arbitrary.…

New social and economic activities massively exploit big data and machine learning algorithms to do inference on people's lives. Applications include automatic curricula evaluation, wage determination, and risk assessment for credits and…

We present a novel intelligent tutoring system which builds upon well-established hypotheses in educational psychology and incorporates them inside of a scalable software architecture. Specifically, we build upon the known benefits of…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Bhairav Mehta , Adithya Ramanathan

The likelihood ratio is a crucial quantity for statistical inference in science that enables hypothesis testing, construction of confidence intervals, reweighting of distributions, and more. Many modern scientific applications, however,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-12-11 Shahzar Rizvi , Mariel Pettee , Benjamin Nachman