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It is well known that martingale transport plans between marginals $\mu\neq\nu$ are never given by Monge maps -- with the understanding that the map is over the first marginal $\mu$, or forward in time. Here, we change the perspective, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-03 Marcel Nutz , Ruodu Wang , Zhenyuan Zhang

Many normalizing flow architectures impose regularity constraints, yet their distributional approximation properties are not fully characterized. We study the expressivity of bi-Lipschitz normalizing flows through the lens of score-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Meira Iske , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

We consider the problem of estimating the optimal transport map between two probability distributions, $P$ and $Q$ in $\mathbb R^d$, on the basis of i.i.d. samples. All existing statistical analyses of this problem require the assumption…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-26 Aram-Alexandre Pooladian , Vincent Divol , Jonathan Niles-Weed

Conformal prediction provides a distribution-free framework for uncertainty quantification via prediction sets with exact finite-sample coverage. In low dimensions these sets are easy to interpret, but in high-dimensional or structured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Trevor Harris

Safe trajectory planning in complex environments must balance stringent collision avoidance with real-time efficiency, which is a long-standing challenge in robotics. In this work, we present a diffusion-based trajectory planning framework…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Wule Mao , Zhouheng Li , Yunhao Luo , Yilun Du , Lei Xie

We propose a novel density based numerical method for uncertainty propagation under certain partial differential equation dynamics. The main idea is to translate them into objects that we call cellular probabilistic automata and to evolve…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-02-06 Dominic Kohler , Johannes Müller , Utz Wever

Self-driving vehicles plan around both static and dynamic objects, applying predictive models of behavior to estimate future locations of the objects in the environment. However, future behavior is inherently uncertain, and models of motion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Ajay Jain , Sergio Casas , Renjie Liao , Yuwen Xiong , Song Feng , Sean Segal , Raquel Urtasun

Diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have emerged as a promising technique in generative modeling. The success of DPMs relies on two ingredients: time reversal of diffusion processes and score matching. In view of possibly unguaranteed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Wenpin Tang , Hanyang Zhao

Homogenization method is used to analyse the equivalent behavior of transient flow of a passive solute through highly heterogeneous porous media. The flow is governed by a coupled system which includes an elliptic equation and a linear…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Brahim Amaziane , Alain Bourgeat , Mladen Jurak

Let $\pi_{0}$ and $\pi_{1}$ be two distributions on the Borel space $(\mathbb{R}^{d},\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^{d}))$. Any measurable function $T:\mathbb{R}^{d}\rightarrow\mathbb{R}^{d}$ such that $Y=T(X)\sim\pi_{1}$ if $X\sim\pi_{0}$ is…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-22 Jeremy Heng , Arnaud Doucet , Yvo Pokern

Single-molecule localization microscopy allows practitioners to locate and track labeled molecules in biological systems. When extracting diffusion coefficients from the resulting trajectories, it is common practice to perform a linear fit…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-06-19 Jakob Tómas Bullerjahn , Gerhard Hummer

We study diffusion processes and stochastic flows which are time-changed random perturbations of a deterministic flow on a manifold. Using non-symmetric Dirichlet forms and their convergence in a sense close to the Mosco-convergence, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Florent Barret , Olivier Raimond

Motivated by the need for accurate traffic flow prediction in transportation management, we propose a functional data method to analyze traffic flow patterns and predict future traffic flow. In this study we approach the problem by sampling…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Jeng-Min Chiou

Understanding the geometry of learned distributions is fundamental to improving and interpreting diffusion models, yet systematic tools for exploring their landscape remain limited. Standard latent-space interpolations fail to respect the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Elio Moreau , Florentin Coeurdoux , Grégoire Ferre , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

In this paper we outline methodology to efficiently simulate (jump) diffusion bridge sample paths without discretisation error. We achieve this by considering the simulation of conditioned (jump) diffusion bridge sample paths in light of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-13 Murray Pollock

Optimal transport has found numerous applications across data science, many of which require differentiating the optimal transport map with respect to the underlying probability densities in the Fr\'echet sense. In this work, we show that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Alberto González-Sanz , Shunan Sheng

In this paper, a modification of the conventional approximations to the quasi-maximum likelihood method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from discrete observations. This is based on a convergent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

In a recent paper, the authors proposed a general methodology for probabilistic learning on manifolds. The method was used to generate numerical samples that are statistically consistent with an existing dataset construed as a realization…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-30 C. Soizea , R. Ghanem , C. Safta , X. Huan , Z. P. Vane , J. Oefelein , G. Lacaz , H. N. Najm , Q. Tang , X. Chen

Predicting future states or actions of a given system remains a fundamental, yet unsolved challenge of intelligence, especially in the scope of complex and non-deterministic scenarios, such as modeling behavior of humans. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Maciej Zięba , Marcin Przewięźlikowski , Marek Śmieja , Jacek Tabor , Tomasz Trzcinski , Przemysław Spurek

We consider here probabilistic models of transportation flows. The main goal of this introduction is rather not to present various techniques for problem solving but to present some intuition to invent adequate and natural models having…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-24 V. A. Malyshev , A. A. Zamyatin