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Data assimilation plays a key role in large-scale atmospheric weather forecasting, where the state of the physical system is estimated from model outputs and observations, and is then used as initial condition to produce accurate future…
Accurate and high-resolution precipitation nowcasting from radar echo sequences is crucial for disaster mitigation and economic planning, yet it remains a significant challenge. Key difficulties include modeling complex multi-scale…
Accurate and computationally-viable representations of clouds and turbulence are a long-standing challenge for climate model development. Traditional parameterizations that crudely but efficiently approximate these processes are a leading…
Machine-learning-based parameterizations (i.e. representation of sub-grid processes) of global climate models or turbulent simulations have recently been proposed as a powerful alternative to physical, but empirical, representations,…
A fundamental challenge in numerical weather prediction is to efficiently produce high-resolution forecasts. A common solution is applying downscaling methods, which include dynamical downscaling and statistical downscaling, to the outputs…
Persistent systematic errors in Earth system models (ESMs) arise from difficulties in representing the full diversity of subgrid, multiscale atmospheric convection and turbulence. Machine learning (ML) parameterizations trained on short…
Atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) extracted from satellite imagery are the only wind observations with good global coverage. They are important features for feeding numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Several Bayesian models have…
Weather forecasting offers an ideal testbed for artificial intelligence (AI) to learn complex, multi-scale physical systems. Traditional numerical weather prediction remains computationally costly for frequent regional updates, as…
Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…
Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are crucial components of the hydrological cycle and often produce flash floods. Given their impact, it is crucial to understand how they will change under a warming climate. This study uses a satellite-…
Continuous physical domains are important for scientific investigations of dynamical processes in the atmosphere. However, missing data arising from operational constraints and adverse environmental conditions pose significant challenges to…
Egypt faced heavy rainfall starting from 26th October 2016 which caused flooding in Upper Egypt and Red Sea Coast especially the city of Ras Gharib. In this work, Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model was used with one domain of…
We develop a framework for on-the-fly machine learned force field (MLFF) molecular dynamics (MD) simulations of warm dense matter (WDM). In particular, we employ an MLFF scheme based on the kernel method and Bayesian linear regression, with…
Post-processing typically takes the outputs of a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model and applies linear statistical techniques to produce improve localized forecasts, by including additional observations, or determining systematic…
For manufacturing of aerospace composites, several parts may be processed simultaneously using convective heating in an autoclave. Due to uncertainties including tool placement, convective Boundary Conditions (BCs) vary in each run. As a…
Landslide susceptibility prediction has always been an important and challenging content. However, there are some uncertain problems to be solved in susceptibility modeling, such as the error of landslide samples and the complex nonlinear…
Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…
In the real world, long sequence time-series forecasting (LSTF) is needed in many cases, such as power consumption prediction and air quality prediction.Multi-dimensional long time series model has more strict requirements on the model,…
General circulation models (GCMs) typically have a grid size of 25--200 km. Parametrizations are used to represent diabatic processes such as radiative transfer and cloud microphysics and account for sub-grid-scale motions and variability.…
Machine learning (ML) methods have become popular for parameter inference in cosmology, although their reliance on specific training data can cause difficulties when applied across different data sets. By reproducing and testing networks…