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Climate projections have uncertainties related to components of the climate system and their interactions. A typical approach to quantifying these uncertainties is to use climate models to create ensembles of repeated simulations under…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-29 Graham Clyne , Guillaume Couairon , Guillaume Gastineau , Claire Monteleoni , Anastase Charantonis

Neural networks (NNs) can achieved high performance in various fields such as computer vision, and natural language processing. However, deploying NNs in resource-constrained safety-critical systems has challenges due to uncertainty in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Soyed Tuhin Ahmed

The efficient placement of wind turbines relies on accurate local wind speed forecasts. Climate projections provide valuable insight into long-term wind speed conditions, yet their spatial data resolution is typically insufficient for…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-12 Luca Schmidt , Nicole Ludwig

The accelerating pace of climate change introduces profound non-stationarities that challenge the ability of Machine Learning based climate emulators to generalize beyond their training distributions. While these emulators offer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Maria Conchita Agana Navarro , Geng Li , Theo Wolf , Maria Perez-Ortiz

Persistent systematic errors in Earth system models (ESMs) arise from difficulties in representing the full diversity of subgrid, multiscale atmospheric convection and turbulence. Machine learning (ML) parameterizations trained on short…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-18 Helge Heuer , Tom Beucler , Mierk Schwabe , Julien Savre , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

Numerical models based on physics represent the state-of-the-art in earth system modeling and comprise our best tools for generating insights and predictions. Despite rapid growth in computational power, the perceived need for higher model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Kate Duffy , Thomas Vandal , Weile Wang , Ramakrishna Nemani , Auroop R. Ganguly

Deep Reinforcement Learning has proved to be able to solve many control tasks in different fields, but the behavior of these systems is not always as expected when deployed in real-world scenarios. This is mainly due to the lack of domain…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-29 Alessandro Paolo Capasso , Giulio Bacchiani , Alberto Broggi

The accurate representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is crucial for reliable projections of the ecological and socioeconomic impacts in response to anthropogenic global warming. The complex cross-scale interactions of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-29 Philipp Hess , Stefan Lange , Christof Schötz , Niklas Boers

High-impact climate damages are often driven by compounding climate conditions. For example, elevated heat stress conditions can arise from a combination of high humidity and temperature. To explore future changes in compounding hazards…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-09 Shruti Nath , Julie Carreau , Kai Kornhuber , Peter Pfleiderer , Carl-Friedrich Schleussner , Philippe Naveau

Deep learning on climatic data holds potential for macroecological applications. However, its adoption remains limited among scientists outside the deep learning community due to storage, compute, and technical expertise barriers. To…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Johannes Dollinger , Damien Robert , Elena Plekhanova , Lukas Drees , Jan Dirk Wegner

Machine learning approaches to spatiotemporal physical systems have primarily focused on next-frame prediction, with the goal of learning an accurate emulator for the system's evolution in time. However, these emulators are computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Helen Qu , Rudy Morel , Michael McCabe , Alberto Bietti , François Lanusse , Shirley Ho , Yann LeCun

Deep reinforcement learning has recently seen huge success across multiple areas in the robotics domain. Owing to the limitations of gathering real-world data, i.e., sample inefficiency and the cost of collecting it, simulation environments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-09 Wenshuai Zhao , Jorge Peña Queralta , Tomi Westerlund

Over the past decade, deep learning (DL) has led to significant advancements in various fields of artificial intelligence, including machine translation (MT). These advancements would not be possible without the ever-growing volumes of data…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Dimitar Shterionov , Eva Vanmassenhove

Machine Learning has become a pervasive tool in climate science applications. However, current models fail to address nonstationarity induced by anthropogenic alterations in greenhouse emissions and do not routinely quantify the uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Simon Dräger , Maike Sonnewald

Data-driven models are central to scientific discovery. In efforts to achieve state-of-the-art model accuracy, researchers are employing increasingly complex machine learning algorithms that often outperform simple regressions in…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-12-21 Eric S. Muckley , James E. Saal , Bryce Meredig , Christopher S. Roper , John H. Martin

Global gridded crop models (GGCMs) are crucial to project the impacts of climate change on agricultural productivity and assess associated risks for food security. Despite decades of development, state-of-the-art GGCMs retain substantial…

Can a scientific simulation system be physically consistent, interpretable by design, and scalable across regimes--all at once? Despite decades of progress, this trifecta remains elusive. Classical methods like Kinetic Monte Carlo ensure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Qi Li , Kun Li , Haozhi Han , Honghui Shang , Xinfu He , Yunquan Zhang , Hong An , Ting Cao , Mao Yang

Due to the rapidly changing climate, the frequency and severity of extreme weather is expected to increase over the coming decades. As fully-resolved climate simulations remain computationally intractable, policy makers must rely on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-29 Benedikt Barthel Sorensen , Alexis Charalampopoulos , Shixuan Zhang , Bryce Harrop , Ruby Leung , Themistoklis Sapsis

Radiative transfer calculations in weather and climate models are notoriously complex and computationally intensive, which poses significant challenges. Traditional methods, while accurate, can be prohibitively slow, necessitating the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Erick Fredj , Iggy Segev Gal , Noam Lavi , Shahar Belkar , Mark Wasserman , Ding Zhaohui , Yann Delorme

Understanding the dynamics and evolution of climate change and associated uncertainties is key for designing robust policy actions. Computer models are key tools in this scientific effort, which have now reached a high level of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Matteo Fontana , Massimo Tavoni , Simone Vantini