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Permutation tests date back nearly a century to Fisher's randomized experiments, and remain an immensely popular statistical tool, used for testing hypotheses of independence between variables and other common inferential questions. Much of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-05 Aaditya Ramdas , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We consider the structural change in a class of discrete valued time series that the conditional distribution follows a one-parameter exponential family. We propose a change-point test based on the maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

This paper derives the asymptotic distribution of variance weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics for conditional moment inequality models for the case of a one dimensional covariate. The asymptotic distribution depends on the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-02 Timothy B. Armstrong

The widely claimed replicability crisis in science may lead to revised standards of significance. The customary frequentist confidence intervals, calibrated through hypothetical repetitions of the experiment that is supposed to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Luigi Pace , Alessandra Salvan

Non-parametric Mann-Kendall tests for autocorrelated data rely on the assumption that the distribution of the normalized Mann-Kendall tau is Gaussian. While this assumption holds asymptotically for stationary autoregressive processes of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Tristan Gamot , Nils Thibeau--Sutre , Tom J. M. Van Dooren

There is a substantial literature on testing for the equality of the cumulative incidence functions associated with one specific cause in a competing risks setting across several populations against specific or all alternatives. In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Hammou El Barmi , Subhash Kochar , Hari Mukerjee

This paper studies large sample properties of a Bayesian approach to inference about slope parameters $\gamma$ in linear regression models with a structural break. In contrast to the conventional approach to inference about $\gamma$ that…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-15 Kenichi Shimizu

In this paper we propose a new approach for sequential monitoring of a parameter of a $d$-dimensional time series, which can be estimated by approximately linear functionals of the empirical distribution function. We consider a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Holger Dette , Josua Gösmann

We establish higher-order nonasymptotic expansions for a difference between probability distributions of sums of i.i.d. random vectors in a Euclidean space. The derived bounds are uniform over two classes of sets: the set of all Euclidean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Mayya Zhilova

We present nonasymptotic concentration inequalities for sums of independent and identically distributed random variables that yield asymptotic strong Gaussian approximations of Koml\'os, Major, and Tusn\'ady (KMT) [1975,1976]. The constants…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Ian Waudby-Smith , Martin Larsson , Aaditya Ramdas

In observational studies with time-to-event outcomes, the g-formula can be used to estimate a treatment effect in the presence of confounding factors. However, the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding stochastic process is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Jasmin Rühl , Sarah Friedrich

Moment matching is an easy-to-implement and usually effective method to reduce variance of Monte Carlo simulation estimates. On the other hand, there is no guarantee that moment matching will always reduce simulation variance for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Xuan Liu

In this paper, we develop a general approach to proving global and local uniform limit theorems for the Horvitz-Thompson empirical process arising from complex sampling designs. Global theorems such as Glivenko-Cantelli and Donsker…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Qiyang Han , Jon A. Wellner

This paper studies simultaneous inference of conditional distributions in nonlinear time series from a sieve M-regression perspective. Existing literature on sieve M-regression has primarily focused on pointwise asymptotics, leaving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Tianpai Luo , Zhou Zhou

Randomization tests rely on simple data transformations and possess an appealing robustness property. In addition to being finite-sample valid if the data distribution is invariant under the transformation, these tests can be asymptotically…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Panos Toulis

Symmetry plays a central role in the sciences, machine learning, and statistics. While statistical tests for the presence of distributional invariance with respect to groups have a long history, tests for conditional symmetry in the form of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Kenny Chiu , Alex Sharp , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

Subsampling and block-based bootstrap methods have been used in a wide range of inference problems for time series. To accommodate the dependence, these resampling methods involve a bandwidth parameter, such as subsampling window width and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Xiaofeng Shao , Dimitris N. Politis

We explore some properties of the conditional distribution of an i.i.d. sample under large exceedances of its sum. Thresholds for the asymptotic independance of the summands are observed, in contrast with the classical case when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-14 Maeva Biret , Michel Broniatowski , Zangsheng Cao

The purpose of this article is to present a general method to find limiting laws for some renormalized statistics on random permutations. The model considered here is Ewens sampling model, which generalizes uniform random permutations. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-28 Valentin Féray

In this paper, we obtain general representations for the joint distributions and copulas of arbitrary dependent random variables absolutely continuous with respect to the product of given one-dimensional marginal distributions. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Victor H. de la Peña , Rustam Ibragimov , Shaturgun Sharakhmetov
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