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This paper introduces a Monte Carlo method for maximum likelihood inference in the context of discretely observed diffusion processes. The method gives unbiased and a.s.\@ continuous estimators of the likelihood function for a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Alexandros Beskos , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

Much of the theory of estimation for exponential family models, which include exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) as a special case, is well-established and maximum likelihood estimates in particular enjoy many desirable…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-07 Christian S. Schmid , David R. Hunter

Temporal Point Processes (TPP) with partial likelihoods involving a latent structure often entail an intractable marginalization, thus making inference hard. We propose a novel approach to Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) involving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Amrith Setlur , Barnabás Póczós

Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is a widely used iterative algorithm for computing (local) maximum likelihood estimate (MLE). It can be used in an extensive range of problems, including the clustering of data based on the Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-28 Pierre Houdouin , Esa Ollila , Frederic Pascal

We give a thorough description of the asymptotic property of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the skewness parameter of a Skew Brownian Motion (SBM). Thanks to recent results on the Central Limit Theorem of the rate of convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

This paper considers the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the joint distribution function of an interval censored survival time and a continuous mark variable. We provide a new explicit formula for the MLE in this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-12 Marloes H. Maathuis , Jon A. Wellner

While the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator under regularity conditions is long established, this paper derives explicit bounds for the bounded Wasserstein distance between the distribution of the maximum likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Andreas Anastasiou , Gesine Reinert

We consider the identification of large-scale linear and stable dynamic systems whose outputs may be the result of many correlated inputs. Hence, severe ill-conditioning may affect the estimation problem. This is a scenario often arising…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Wenqi Cao , Gianluigi Pillonetto

The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is pivotal in statistical inference, yet its application is often hindered by the absence of closed-form solutions for many models. This poses challenges in real-time computation scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-16 Pedro L. Ramos , Eduardo Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Francisco Louzada

We employ a parameter-free distribution estimation framework where estimators are random distributions and utilize the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence as a loss function. Wu and Vos [J. Statist. Plann. Inference 142 (2012) 1525-1536] show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Paul Vos , Qiang Wu

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

We consider maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixture of uniform distributions. We prove that maximum likelihood estimator is strongly consistent, if the scale parameters of the component uniform distributions are restricted from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kentaro Tanaka , Akimichi Takemura

Large graphs are sometimes studied through their degree sequences (power law or regular graphs). We study graphs that are uniformly chosen with a given degree sequence. Under mild conditions, it is shown that sequences of such graphs have…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Sourav Chatterjee , Persi Diaconis , Allan Sly

Modern data sets in various domains often include units that were sampled non-randomly from the population and have a latent correlation structure. Here we investigate a common form of this setting, where every unit is associated with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Omer Weissbrod , Shachar Kaufman , David Golan , Saharon Rosset

The correlated binomial (CB) distribution was proposed by Luce\~no (Computational Statistics $\&$ Data Analysis, 20, 1995, 511-520) as an alternative to the binomial distribution for the analysis of the data in the presence of correlations…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-25 Andrea Bennett , Min Wang

We develop a general framework for proving rigorous guarantees on the performance of the EM algorithm and a variant known as gradient EM. Our analysis is divided into two parts: a treatment of these algorithms at the population level (in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Martin J. Wainwright , Bin Yu

Relational models generalize log-linear models to arbitrary discrete sample spaces by specifying effects associated with any subsets of their cells. A relational model may include an overall effect, pertaining to every cell after a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-17 Anna Klimova , Tamás Rudas

The MLE (Maximum Likelihood Estimate) for a multinomial model is proportional to the data. We call such estimate an eigenestimate and the relationship of it to the data as the eigenstructure. When the multinomial model is generalized to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-03 Fanghu Dong

We study the maximum likelihood (ML) degree of linear concentration models in algebraic statistics. We relate it to an intersection problem on the variety of complete quadrics. This allows us to provide an explicit, basic, albeit of high…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Mateusz Michałek , Leonid Monin , Jarosław Wiśniewski

Under label shift, the label distribution p(y) might change but the class-conditional distributions p(x|y) do not. There are two dominant approaches for estimating the label marginal. BBSE, a moment-matching approach based on confusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-20 Saurabh Garg , Yifan Wu , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Zachary C. Lipton