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We study the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) in the multivariate deviated model where the data are generated from the density function $(1-\lambda^{\ast})h_{0}(x)+\lambda^{\ast}f(x|\mu^{\ast}, \Sigma^{\ast})$ in which $h_{0}$ is a known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Dat Do , Huy Nguyen , Khai Nguyen , Nhat Ho

In this work, we revisit the estimation of the model parameters of a Weibull distribution based on iid observations, using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method which does not yield closed expressions of the estimators. Among other…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-22 Buu-Chau Truong , Peter Mphekgwana , Nabendu Pal

We explore the possibility of evaluating flow harmonics by employing the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). For a given finite multiplicity, the MLE simultaneously furnishes estimations for all the parameters of the underlying distribution…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-08-16 Chong Ye , Wei-Liang Qian , Rui-Hong Yue , Yogiro Hama , Takeshi Kodama

Maximum likelihood estimation is a fundamental computational problem in statistics. In this note, we give a bound for the maximum likelihood degree of algebraic statistical models for discrete data. As usual, such models are identified with…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2015-04-20 Nero Budur , Botong Wang

We introduce the package "GraphicalModelsMLE" for computing the maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) of a Gaussian graphical model in the computer algebra system Macaulay2. This package allows the computation of MLEs for the class of…

We consider 1-dimensional location estimation, where we estimate a parameter $\lambda$ from $n$ samples $\lambda + \eta_i$, with each $\eta_i$ drawn i.i.d. from a known distribution $f$. For fixed $f$ the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Shivam Gupta , Jasper C. H. Lee , Eric Price , Paul Valiant

When in a full exponential family the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) does not exist, the MLE may exist in the Barndorff-Nielsen completion of the family. We propose a practical algorithm for finding the MLE in the completion based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-06 Charles J. Geyer

We advocate for a practical Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) approach towards designing loss functions for regression and forecasting, as an alternative to the typical approach of direct empirical risk minimization on a specific target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 Pranjal Awasthi , Abhimanyu Das , Rajat Sen , Ananda Theertha Suresh

We study multivariate Gaussian statistical models whose maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is a rational function of the observed data. We establish a one-to-one correspondence between such models and the solutions to a nonlinear…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Carlos Améndola , Lukas Gustafsson , Kathlén Kohn , Orlando Marigliano , Anna Seigal

A discrete statistical model is a subset of a probability simplex. Its maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is a retraction from that simplex onto the model. We characterize all models for which this retraction is a rational function. This is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Eliana Duarte , Orlando Marigliano , Bernd Sturmfels

The Laplace approximation (LA) has been proposed as a method for approximating the marginal likelihood of statistical models with latent variables. However, the approximate maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) based on the LA are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-21 Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

A key challenge of modern machine learning systems is to achieve Out-of-Distribution (OOD) generalization -- generalizing to target data whose distribution differs from that of source data. Despite its significant importance, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-28 Jiawei Ge , Shange Tang , Jianqing Fan , Cong Ma , Chi Jin

Targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) is a general method for estimating parameters in semiparametric and nonparametric models. Each iteration of TMLE involves fitting a parametric submodel that targets the parameter of interest. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-03 Iván Díaz , Michael Rosenblum

One of the most common methods for statistical inference is the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). The MLE needs to compute the normalization constant in statistical models, and it is often intractable. Using unnormalized statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-26 Takafumi Kanamori , Takashi Takenouchi

We study holonomic gradient decent for maximum likelihood estimation of exponential-polynomial distribution, whose density is the exponential function of a polynomial in the random variable. We first consider the case that the support of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-17 Jumpei Hayakawa , Akimichi Takemura

In certain privacy-sensitive scenarios within fields such as clinical trial simulations, federated learning, and distributed learning, researchers often face the challenge of estimating correlations between variables without access to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Longwen Shang , Min Tsao , Xuekui Zhang

Consider a parametrized family of general hidden Markov models, where both the observed and unobserved components take values in a complete separable metric space. We prove that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson , Ramon van Handel

Distributional regression aims to find the best candidate in a given parametric family of conditional distributions to model a given dataset. As each candidate in the distribution family can be identified by the corresponding distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Gitte Kremling , Gerhard Dikta

Maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) is arguably the most important tool for statisticians, and many methods have been developed to find the MLE. We present a new inequality involving posterior distributions of a latent variable that holds…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

Consider a setting with $N$ independent individuals, each with an unknown parameter, $p_i \in [0, 1]$ drawn from some unknown distribution $P^\star$. After observing the outcomes of $t$ independent Bernoulli trials, i.e., $X_i \sim…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant , Sham M. Kakade