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We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

Despite much work on advanced deep learning and generative modeling techniques for tabular data generation and imputation, traditional methods have continued to win on imputation benchmarks. We herein present UnmaskingTrees, a simple method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Calvin McCarter

Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Haozhen Wu

Despite the rise to dominance of deep learning in unstructured data domains, tree-based methods such as Random Forests (RF) and Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) are still the workhorses for handling discriminative tasks on tabular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 João Bravo

Gradient boosted trees and other regression tree models perform well in a wide range of real-world, industrial applications. These tree models (i) offer insight into important prediction features, (ii) effectively manage sparse data, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-19 Alexander Thebelt , Jan Kronqvist , Miten Mistry , Robert M. Lee , Nathan Sudermann-Merx , Ruth Misener

This paper proposes a universal method, Boost Picking, to train supervised classification models mainly by un-labeled data. Boost Picking only adopts two weak classifiers to estimate and correct the error. It is theoretically proved that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Fuqiang Liu , Fukun Bi , Yiding Yang , Liang Chen

Gradient Boosting Machine has proven to be one successful function approximator and has been widely used in a variety of areas. However, since the training procedure of each base learner has to take the sequential order, it is infeasible to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Ji Feng , Yi-Xuan Xu , Yuan Jiang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

In modern computer experiment applications, one often encounters the situation where various models of a physical system are considered, each implemented as a simulator on a computer. An important question in such a setting is determining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-08 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Richard J. Furnstahl , Matthew T. Pratola

One of the most popular ML algorithms, AdaBoost, can be derived from the dual of a relative entropy minimization problem subject to the fact that the positive weights on the examples sum to one. Essentially, harder examples receive higher…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Richard Nock , Ehsan Amid , Manfred K. Warmuth

Gradient boosting is widely popular due to its flexibility and predictive accuracy. However, statistical inference and uncertainty quantification for gradient boosting remain challenging and under-explored. We propose a unified framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Haimo Fang , Kevin Tan , Giles Hooker

A deep-learning-based hybrid strategy for short-term load forecasting is presented. The strategy proposes a novel tree-based ensemble method Warm-start Gradient Tree Boosting (WGTB). Current strategies either ensemble submodels of a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Yuexin Zhang , Jiahong Wang

With the demand for machine learning increasing, so does the demand for tools which make it easier to use. Automated machine learning (AutoML) tools have been developed to address this need, such as the Tree-Based Pipeline Optimization Tool…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-03-13 Pieter Gijsbers , Joaquin Vanschoren , Randal S. Olson

This empirical study is mainly devoted to comparing four tree-based boosting algorithms: mart, abc-mart, robust logitboost, and abc-logitboost, for multi-class classification on a variety of publicly available datasets. Some of those…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-01-08 Ping Li

Class imbalance problem has been a challenging research problem in the fields of machine learning and data mining as most real life datasets are imbalanced. Several existing machine learning algorithms try to maximize the accuracy…

In this paper we tackle the problem of point and probabilistic forecasting by describing a blending methodology of machine learning models that belong to gradient boosted trees and neural networks families. These principles were…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Ioannis Nasios , Konstantinos Vogklis

This paper presents a computationally efficient variant of gradient boosting for multi-class classification and multi-output regression tasks. Standard gradient boosting uses a 1-vs-all strategy for classifications tasks with more than two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Seyedsaman Emami , Gonzalo Martínez-Muñoz

Federated learning, conducive to solving data privacy and security problems, has attracted increasing attention recently. However, the existing federated boosting model sequentially builds a decision tree model with the weak base learner,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Yujin Han , Pan Du , Kai Yang

As an adaptive, interpretable, robust, and accurate meta-algorithm for arbitrary differentiable loss functions, gradient tree boosting is one of the most popular machine learning techniques, though the computational expensiveness severely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Daniel Chao Zhou , Zhongming Jin , Tong Zhang

The concept of boosting emerged from the field of machine learning. The basic idea is to boost the accuracy of a weak classifying tool by combining various instances into a more accurate prediction. This general concept was later adapted to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-19 Andreas Mayr , Harald Binder , Olaf Gefeller , Matthias Schmid

Boosting is a method for finding a highly accurate hypothesis by linearly combining many ``weak" hypotheses, each of which may be only moderately accurate. Thus, boosting is a method for learning an ensemble of classifiers. While boosting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-30 Sai Saketh Rambhatla , Michael Jones , Rama Chellappa