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In classical Hawkes process, the baseline intensity and triggering kernel are assumed to be a constant and parametric function respectively, which limits the model flexibility. To generalize it, we present a fully Bayesian nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Xuhui Fan , Yang Wang , Arcot Sowmya , Fang Chen

This paper establishes a functional law of large numbers and a functional central limit theorem for marked Hawkes point measures and their corresponding shot noise processes. We prove that the normalized random measure can be approximated…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Ulrich Horst , Wei Xu

In the present article, we analyse the behaviour of a new family of Kantorovich type sampling operators $(K_w^{\varphi}f)_{w>0}.$ First, we give a Voronovskaya type theorem for these Kantorovich generalized sampling series and a…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-09-12 A. Sathish Kumar , P. Devaraj

We give estimates for the first two moments of arithmetical sequences in progressions. Instead of using the standard approximation, we work with a generalization of Vaughan's major arcs approximation which is similar to that appearing in…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Régis de la Bretèche , Daniel Fiorilli

This work contributes to the theory and applications of Hawkes processes. We introduce and examine a new class of Hawkes processes that we call generalized Hawkes processes, and their special subclass -- the generalized multivariate Hawkes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Mariusz Nieweglowski

An extension of the Hawkes model where the productivity is variable is considered. In particular, the case is considered where each point may have its own productivity and a simple analytic formula is derived for the maximum likelihood…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-20 Frederic Paik Schoenberg

Hawkes Processes are a type of point process for modeling self-excitation, i.e., when the occurrence of an event makes future events more likely to occur. The corresponding self-triggering function of this type of process may be inferred…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-01 Rafael Lima , Jaesik Choi

Tur\'an type inequalities for modified Bessel functions of the first kind are used to deduce some sharp lower and upper bounds for the asymptotic order parameter of the stochastic Kuramoto model. Moreover, approximation from the Lagrange…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2017-07-14 István Mező , Árpád Baricz

In this paper we propose an overview of the recent academic literature devoted to the applications of Hawkes processes in finance. Hawkes processes constitute a particular class of multivariate point processes that has become very popular…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 Emmanuel Bacry , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-François Muzy

This work proposes a universal and adaptive second-order method for minimizing second-order smooth, convex functions. Our algorithm achieves $O(\sigma / \sqrt{T})$ convergence when the oracle feedback is stochastic with variance $\sigma^2$,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Kimon Antonakopoulos , Ali Kavis , Volkan Cevher

We give functional laws of large numbers for a class of marked Hawkes processes and marked compound Hawkes processes with a general mark space. Our results provide some complement to those presented previously in the literature. As an…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Mariusz iewȩgłowski , Anatoliy Swishchuk

The paper is mainly devoted to systematic developments and applications of geometric aspects of second-order variational analysis that are revolved around the concept of parabolic regularity of sets. This concept has been known in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-17 Ashkan Mohammadi , Boris S. Mordukhovich , M. Ebrahim Sarabi

We define a new model using a Hawkes process as a subordinator in a standard Brownian motion. We demonstrate that this Hawkes subordinated Brownian motion or more succinctly, variance-Hawkes process can be fit to 2018 and 2019 natural gas…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-14 Joshua McGillivray , Anatoliy Swishchuk

We obtain necessary and sufficient conditions for the regular variation of the variance of partial sums of functionals of discrete and continuous-time stationary Markov processes with normal transition operators. We also construct a class…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-13 George Deligiannidis , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

We propose nonparametric estimators for the second-order central moments of possibly anisotropic spherical random fields, within a functional data analysis context. We consider a measurement framework where each random field among an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Alessia Caponera , Julien Fageot , Matthieu Simeoni , Victor M. Panaretos

The Hawkes process is a self-exciting sample point process. It has wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. With the development of storage technology, data-driven models are attracting…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties. Hawkes process has been widely applied in finance, neuroscience, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties. Hawkes process has been widely applied in finance, neuroscience, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-05 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be a long memory linear process in which the coefficients are regularly varying and innovations are independent and identically distributed and belong to the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Hui Liu , Yudan Xiong , Fangjun Xu

Hawkes process (HP) is a point process with a conditionally dependent intensity function. This paper defines the tempered fractional Hawkes process (TFHP) by time-changing the HP with an inverse tempered stable subordinator. We obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-17 Neha Gupta , Aditya Maheshwari