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Scenario reduction algorithms can be an effective means to provide a tractable description of the uncertainty in optimal control problems. However, they might significantly compromise the performance of the controlled system. In this paper,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Francesco Cordiano , Bart De Schutter

We formulate a method to co-optimize power system capacity planning decisions and policy investments that shape electricity load patterns. To this end, we leverage a gradient-based solution technique that enables the efficient solution of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 Robert Mieth

Buildings are essential components of power grids, and their energy performance directly affects overall power system operation. This paper presents a novel stochastic optimization framework for building energy management systems, aiming to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-12 Hossein Nourollahi Hokmabad , Tala Hemmati Shahsavar , Pedro P. Vergara , Oleksandr Husev , Juri Belikov

In this paper, we develop a distributionally robust chance-constrained formulation of the Optimal Power Flow problem (OPF) whereby the system operator can leverage contextual information. For this purpose, we exploit an ambiguity set based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-09 Dhaval Dalal , Anamitra Pal , Philip Augustin

In this paper, we propose a novel scenario forecasts approach which can be applied to a broad range of power system operations (e.g., wind, solar, load) over various forecasts horizons and prediction intervals. This approach is model-free…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-21 Yize Chen , Xiyu Wang , Baosen Zhang

This letter proposes a data-driven sparse polynomial chaos expansion-based surrogate model for the stochastic economic dispatch problem considering uncertainty from wind power. The proposed method can provide accurate estimations for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-20 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , Yunhe Hou , François Bouffard

Worldwide commitments to net zero greenhouse emissions have accelerated investments in renewable energy resources. The requirements for operating and planning power systems are becoming stringent because of the need to take into account the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-21 Aiusha Sangadiev , Alvaro Gonzalez-Castellanos , David Pozo

Scenario generation is the construction of a discrete random vector to represent parameters of uncertain values in a stochastic program. Most approaches to scenario generation are distribution-driven, that is, they attempt to construct a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Jamie Fairbrother , Amanda Turner , Stein Wallace

We present an optimization-based method to plan the motion of an autonomous robot under the uncertainties associated with dynamic obstacles, such as humans. Our method bounds the marginal risk of collisions at each point in time by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-03-24 O. de Groot , B. Brito , L. Ferranti , D. Gavrila , J. Alonso-Mora

In the context of the rising share of new energy generation, accurately generating new energy output scenarios is crucial for day-ahead power system scheduling. Deep learning-based scenario generation methods can address this need, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Changgang Wang , Wei Liu , Yu Cao , Dong Liang , Yang Li , Jingshan Mo

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic economic model predictive control (SEMPC) that minimizes average economic cost while satisfying an empirical expected shortfall (EES) constraint to manage risk. A new scenario-based problem…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-31 Alireza Arastou , Algo Carè , Ye Wang , Marco Campi , Erik Weyer

Reliable operation in power systems is becoming more difficult as the penetration of random renewable resources increases. In particular, operators face the risk of not scheduling enough traditional generators in the times when renewable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Junjie Qin , Baosen Zhang , Ram Rajagopal

Chance-constrained optimization is a suitable modeling framework for safety-critical applications where violating constraints is nearly unacceptable. The scenario approach is a popular solution method for these problems, due to its…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Jaeseok Choi , Anand Deo , Constantino Lagoa , Anirudh Subramanyam

We study linear policy approximations for the risk-conscious operation of an industrial energy system with uncertain wind power, significant and variable electricity demand, and high thermal output, as found in a modern foundry. The system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Johannes Nicklaus , Lea Brass , Gunnar Schubert

In this paper, we consider a chance-constrained formulation of the optimal power flow problem to handle uncertainties resulting from renewable generation and load variability. We propose a tuning method that iterates between solving an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-28 Ashley M. Hou , Line A. Roald

Two-stage stochastic programs (2SPs) are important tools for making decisions under uncertainty. Decision-makers use contextual information to generate a set of scenarios to represent the true conditional distribution. However, the number…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-11 David Islip , Roy H. Kwon , Sanghyeon Bae , Woo Chang Kim

The scenario-based optimization approach (`scenario approach') provides an intuitive way of approximating the solution to chance-constrained optimization programs, based on finding the optimal solution under a finite number of sampled…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Georg Schildbach , Lorenzo Fagiano , Manfred Morari

Wind power is playing an increasingly important role in electricity markets. However, it's inherent variability and uncertainty cause operational challenges and costs as more operating reserves are needed to maintain system reliability.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Yishen Wang , Zhi Zhou , Cong Liu , Audun Botterud

The economic dispatch of wind power units is quite different from that in conventional thermal units, since the adopted model should take into consideration the intermittency nature of wind speed as well. Therefore, this paper uses a model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-09-08 Mohamed Abuella , Constantine J. Hatziadoniu