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Containment of epidemic outbreaks entails great societal and economic costs. Cost-effective containment strategies rely on efficiently identifying infected individuals, making the best possible use of the available testing resources.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-01 Laura Natali , Saga Helgadottir , Onofrio M. Marago , Giovanni Volpe

Modelling epidemics via classical population-based models suffers from shortcomings that so-called individual-based models are able to overcome, as they are able to take heterogeneity features into account, such as super-spreaders, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-16 C. Courtès , E. Franck , K. Lutz , L. Navoret , Y. Privat

Epidemiological models increasingly rely on self-reported behavioral data such as vaccination status, mask usage, and social distancing adherence to forecast disease transmission and assess the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Yiqi Su , Christo Kurisummoottil Thomas , Walid Saad , Bud Mishra , Naren Ramakrishnan

A crucial aspect of managing a public health crisis is to effectively balance prevention and mitigation strategies, while taking their socio-economic impact into account. In particular, determining the influence of different…

Traditional epidemic detection algorithms make decisions using only local information. We propose a novel approach that explicitly models spatial information fusion from several metapopulations. Our method also takes into account…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-15 Michael Ludkovski , Katherine Shatskikh

Epidemic prediction is of practical significance in public health, enabling early intervention, resource allocation, and strategic planning. However, privacy concerns often hinder the sharing of health data among institutions, limiting the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Chengpeng Fu , Tong Li , Hao Chen , Wen Du , Zhidong He

The use of collaborative and decentralized machine learning techniques such as federated learning have the potential to enable the development and deployment of clinical risk predictions models in low-resource settings without requiring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Stephen R. Pfohl , Andrew M. Dai , Katherine Heller

As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only strategies and resources, but also public adherence. Individual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-20 José L. Herrera , Lauren Ancel Meyers

In this paper, we propose a global digital platform to avoid and combat epidemics by providing relevant real-time information to support selective lockdowns. It leverages the pervasiveness of wireless connectivity while being trustworthy…

Infectious disease outbreaks can have a disruptive impact on public health and societal processes. As decision making in the context of epidemic mitigation is hard, reinforcement learning provides a methodology to automatically learn…

Epidemiological models are an important tool in coping with epidemics, as they offer a forecast, even if often simplistic, of the behavior of the disease in the population. This allows responsible health agencies to organize themselves and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-03 Eliza Maria Ferreira , Ricardo Edem Ferreira , Chiara Mocenni

Augmenting classical epidemiological models with information from the social sciences helps unveil the interplay between contagion dynamics and social responses. However, multidisciplinary integration of social analysis and epidemiological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-29 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

Simulating the spread of infectious diseases in human communities is critical for predicting the trajectory of an epidemic and verifying various policies to control the devastating impacts of the outbreak. Many existing simulators are based…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-22 Arash Mehrjou , Ashkan Soleymani , Amin Abyaneh , Samir Bhatt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Stefan Bauer

Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

In this research, we develop a framework to analyze the interaction between the economy and the Covid-19 pandemic using an extension of SIR epidemic model. At the outset, we assume there are two health related investments including general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Zachariah Sinkala , Vajira Manathunga , Bichaka Fayissa

Consider learning a policy purely on the basis of demonstrated behavior -- that is, with no access to reinforcement signals, no knowledge of transition dynamics, and no further interaction with the environment. This *strictly batch…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-15 Daniel Jarrett , Ioana Bica , Mihaela van der Schaar

Intensive Care Units usually carry patients with a serious risk of mortality. Recent research has shown the ability of Machine Learning to indicate the patients' mortality risk and point physicians toward individuals with a heightened need…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Korbinian Randl , Núria Lladós Armengol , Lena Mondrejevski , Ioanna Miliou

Efficient testing and vaccination protocols are critical aspects of epidemic management. To study the optimal allocation of limited testing and vaccination resources in a heterogeneous contact network of interacting susceptible, recovered,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Mingtao Xia , Lucas Böttcher , Tom Chou

During an epidemic, the information available to individuals in the society deeply influences their belief of the epidemic spread, and consequently the preventive measures they take to stay safe from the infection. In this paper, we develop…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-26 Shraddha Pathak , Ankur A. Kulkarni

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…