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Scientists continue to develop increasingly complex mechanistic models to reflect their knowledge more realistically. Statistical inference using these models can be challenging since the corresponding likelihood function is often…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-07 Joshua J Bon , David J Warne , David J Nott , Christopher Drovandi

Estimation of population size using incomplete lists (also called the capture-recapture problem) has a long history across many biological and social sciences. For example, human rights and other groups often construct partial and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Manjari Das , Edward H. Kennedy , Nicholas P. Jewell

We present a method for identification of models with good predictive performances in the family of Bayesian log-linear mixed models with Dirichlet process random effects. Such a problem arises in many different applications; here we…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-17 Cinzia Carota , Maurizio Filippone , Silvia Polettini

Unlike parametric regression, machine learning (ML) methods do not generally require precise knowledge of the true data generating mechanisms. As such, numerous authors have advocated for ML methods to estimate causal effects.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-15 Ashley I Naimi , Alan E Mishler , Edward H Kennedy

In optimization problems, the quality of a candidate solution can be characterized by the optimality gap. For most stochastic optimization problems, this gap must be statistically estimated. We show that for risk-averse problems, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-05 E. Ruben van Beesten , Nick W. Koning , David P. Morton

The difficulty and expense of obtaining large-scale human responses make Large Language Models (LLMs) an attractive alternative and a promising proxy for human behavior. However, prior work shows that LLMs often produce homogeneous outputs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Manh Hung Nguyen , Sebastian Tschiatschek , Adish Singla

In the context of a species sampling problem we discuss a non-parametric maximum likelihood estimator for the underlying probability mass function. The estimator is known in the computer science literature as the high profile estimator. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Dragi Anevski , Richard D. Gill , Stefan Zohren

Network diffusion models are applicable to many socioeconomic interactions, yet network interaction is hard to observe or measure. Whenever the diffusion process is unobserved, the number of possible realizations of the latent matrix that…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-06 L. S. Sanna Stephan

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava

Misclassification of binary responses, if ignored, may severely bias the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) of regression parameters. For such data, a binary regression model incorporating misclassification probabilities is extensively…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Arindam Chatterjee , Tathagata Bandyopadhyay , Sumanta Adhya

We introduce a generic estimator for the false discovery rate of any model selection procedure, in common statistical modeling settings including the Gaussian linear model, Gaussian graphical model, and model-X setting. We prove that our…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Yixiang Luo , William Fithian , Lihua Lei

Anomaly detection in large populations is a challenging but highly relevant problem. The problem is essentially a multi-hypothesis problem, with a hypothesis for every division of the systems into normal and anomal systems. The number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-24 Henrik Ohlsson , Tianshi Chen , Sina Khoshfetrat Pakazad , Lennart Ljung , S. Shankar Sastry

Despite empirical risk minimization (ERM) is widely applied in the machine learning community, its performance is limited on data with spurious correlation or subpopulation that is introduced by hidden attributes. Existing literature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Hongyu Shen , Zhizhen Zhao

This paper presents theoretical results on combining non-probability and probability survey samples through mass imputation, an approach originally proposed by Rivers (2007) as sample matching without rigorous theoretical justification.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Jae Kwang Kim , Seho Park , Yilin Chen , Changbao Wu

We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for $n$ observations is estimated from a random subset of $m$ observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-31 Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Mattias Villani , Minh-Ngoc Tran

With the growing availability of large-scale biomedical data, it is often time-consuming or infeasible to directly perform traditional statistical analysis with relatively limited computing resources at hand. We propose a fast subsampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-18 Haixiang Zhang , Lulu Zuo , HaiYing Wang , Liuquan Sun

Maximum pseudolikelihood (MPL) estimators are useful alternatives to maximum likelihood (ML) estimators when likelihood functions are more difficult to manipulate than their marginal and conditional components. Furthermore, MPL estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-30 Hien D. Nguyen

Estimating the number of signals embedded in noise is a fundamental problem in array signal processing. The classic RMT estimator based on random matrix theory (RMT) tends to under-estimate the number of signals as it does not consider the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Huiyue Yi

In this paper we have proposed an almost unbiased estimator using known value of some population parameter(s) with known population proportion of an auxiliary variable. A class of estimators is defined which includes [1], [2] and [3]…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-04 Sachin Malik , Rajesh Singh , SB Gupta

A significant hurdle for analyzing large sample data is the lack of effective statistical computing and inference methods. An emerging powerful approach for analyzing large sample data is subsampling, by which one takes a random subsample…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-24 Rong Zhu , Ping Ma , Michael W. Mahoney , Bin Yu