English
Related papers

Related papers: Add and Thin: Diffusion for Temporal Point Process…

200 papers

Diffusion models have recently shown promise in time series forecasting, particularly for probabilistic predictions. However, they often fail to achieve state-of-the-art point estimation performance compared to regression-based methods.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Hang Ding , Xue Wang , Tian Zhou , Tao Yao

Generative modeling has recently undergone remarkable advancements, primarily propelled by the transformative implications of Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DPMs). The impressive capability of these models, however, often entails…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Gongfan Fang , Xinyin Ma , Xinchao Wang

Recently, diffusion probabilistic models have attracted attention in generative time series forecasting due to their remarkable capacity to generate high-fidelity samples. However, the effective utilization of their strong modeling ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Xinyao Fan , Yueying Wu , Chang Xu , Yuhao Huang , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Over the last few years, Neural Processes have become a useful modelling tool in many application areas, such as healthcare and climate sciences, in which data are scarce and prediction uncertainty estimates are indispensable. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Lorenzo Bonito , James Requeima , Aliaksandra Shysheya , Richard E. Turner

In the setting of additive regression model for continuous time process, we establish the optimal uniform convergence rates and optimal asymptotic quadratic error of additive regression. To build our estimate, we use the marginal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-11 Mohammed Debbarh , Bertrand Maillot

Temporal point processes (TPPs) model the timing of discrete events along a timeline and are widely used in fields such as neuroscience and fi- nance. Statistical depth functions are powerful tools for analyzing centrality and ranking in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Chifeng Shen , Yuejiao Fu , Xiaoping Shi , Michael Chen

Generative modelling over continuous-time geometric constructs, a.k.a such as handwriting, sketches, drawings etc., have been accomplished through autoregressive distributions. Such strictly-ordered discrete factorization however falls…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Ayan Das , Yongxin Yang , Timothy Hospedales , Tao Xiang , Yi-Zhe Song

Deep generative models have emerged as promising tools for detecting arbitrary anomalies in data, dispensing with the necessity for manual labelling. Recently, autoregressive transformers have achieved state-of-the-art performance for…

Employing a forward diffusion chain to gradually map the data to a noise distribution, diffusion-based generative models learn how to generate the data by inferring a reverse diffusion chain. However, this approach is slow and costly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-08 Huangjie Zheng , Pengcheng He , Weizhu Chen , Mingyuan Zhou

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models are currently becoming the leading paradigm of generative modeling for many important data modalities. Being the most prevalent in the computer vision community, diffusion models have also recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Akim Kotelnikov , Dmitry Baranchuk , Ivan Rubachev , Artem Babenko

Diffusion models are loosely modelled based on non-equilibrium thermodynamics, where \textit{diffusion} refers to particles flowing from high-concentration regions towards low-concentration regions. In statistics, the meaning is quite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Inga Strümke , Helge Langseth

Generative models such as denoising diffusion models are quickly advancing their ability to approximate highly complex data distributions. They are also increasingly leveraged in scientific machine learning, where samples from the implied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Jan-Hendrik Bastek , WaiChing Sun , Dennis M. Kochmann

We present significant extensions to diffusion-based sequence generation models, blurring the line with autoregressive language models. We introduce hyperschedules, which assign distinct noise schedules to individual token positions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Nima Fathi , Torsten Scholak , Pierre-André Noël

Temporal point process (TPP) is commonly used to model the asynchronous event sequence featuring occurrence timestamps and revealed by probabilistic models conditioned on historical impacts. While lots of previous works have focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Haitao Lin , Lirong Wu , Guojiang Zhao , Pai Liu , Stan Z. Li

Diffusion models have emerged as a powerful framework for generative tasks in deep learning. They decompose generative modeling into two computational primitives: deterministic neural-network evaluation and stochastic sampling. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Nihal Sanjay Singh , Mazdak Mohseni-Rajaee , Shaila Niazi , Kerem Y. Camsari

Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) serve as the standard mathematical framework for modeling asynchronous event sequences in continuous time. However, classical TPP models are often constrained by strong assumptions, limiting their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Tanguy Bosser , Souhaib Ben Taieb

Learning the dynamics of spatiotemporal events is a fundamental problem. Neural point processes enhance the expressivity of point process models with deep neural networks. However, most existing methods only consider temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zihao Zhou , Xingyi Yang , Ryan Rossi , Handong Zhao , Rose Yu

The evolutionary processes of complex systems contain critical information regarding their functional characteristics. The generation time of edges provides insights into the historical evolution of various networked complex systems, such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-14 En Xu , Can Rong , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Temporal point processes (TPP) are a natural tool for modeling event-based data. Among all TPP models, Hawkes processes have proven to be the most widely used, mainly due to their adequate modeling for various applications, particularly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-03 Guillaume Staerman , Cédric Allain , Alexandre Gramfort , Thomas Moreau