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Polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) have seen widespread use in the context of uncertainty quantification. However, their application to structural reliability problems has been hindered by the limited performance of PCE in the tails of the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-10 S. Marelli , B. Sudret

We consider a multiphysics system with multiple component models coupled together through network coupling interfaces, i.e., a handful of scalars. If each component model contains uncertainties represented by a set of parameters, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-07-28 Paul G. Constantine , Eric T. Phipps , Timothy M. Wildey

We propose a novel \textit{capsule} based deep encoder-decoder model for surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification of systems in mechanics from sparse data. The proposed framework is developed by adapting Capsule Network (CapsNet)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-20 Akshay Thakur , Souvik Chakraborty

This study presents an integrated computational framework that, given synthesis parameters, predicts the resulting microstructural morphology and mechanical response of ceramic aerogel porous materials by combining physics-based simulations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Md Azharul Islam , Dwyer Deighan , Shayan Bhattacharjee , Daniel Tantalo , Pratyush Kumar Singh , David Salac , Danial Faghihi

Surrogate models (including deep neural networks and other machine learning algorithms in supervised learning) are capable of approximating arbitrarily complex, high-dimensional input-output problems in science and engineering, but require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Miguel Sánchez-Domínguez , Lucas Lacasa , Javier de Vicente , Gonzalo Rubio , Eusebio Valero

In many mechanistic medical, biological, physical and engineered spatiotemporal dynamic models the numerical solution of partial differential equations (PDEs) can make simulations impractically slow. Biological models require the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-02-11 J. Quetzalcóatl Toledo-Marín , Geoffrey Fox , James P. Sluka , James A. Glazier

We propose an efficient surrogate modeling technique for uncertainty quantification. The method is based on a well-known dimension-adaptive collocation scheme. We improve the scheme by enhancing sparse polynomial surrogates with conformal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Niklas Georg , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

A spline chaos expansion, referred to as SCE, is introduced for uncertainty quantification analysis. The expansion provides a means for representing an output random variable of interest with respect to multivariate orthonormal basis…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Sharif Rahman

Compressive sampling has been widely used for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of stochastic functions. The recovery accuracy of compressive sampling highly depends on the incoherence properties of the measurement matrix. In this…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-17 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

Driven by the need to accelerate numerical simulations, the use of machine learning techniques is rapidly growing in the field of computational solid mechanics. Their application is especially advantageous in concurrent multiscale finite…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-22 M. A. Maia , I. B. C. M. Rocha , P. Kerfriden , F. P. van der Meer

We present a scalable framework for learning deterministic and probabilistic neural surrogates for high-resolution 3D physics simulations. We introduce a hybrid CNN-Transformer backbone architecture targeted for 3D physics simulations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Benjamin Holzschuh , Georg Kohl , Florian Redinger , Nils Thuerey

This paper presents an efficient surrogate modeling strategy for the uncertainty quantification and Bayesian calibration of a hydrological model. In particular, a process-based dynamical urban drainage simulator that predicts the discharge…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-14 Joseph B. Nagel , Jörg Rieckermann , Bruno Sudret

Macroscopic models for spatially extended systems under random influences are often described by stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Some techniques for understanding solutions of such equations, such as estimating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Jinqiao Duan

Many real-world systems are modelled using complex ordinary differential equations (ODEs). However, the dimensionality of these systems can make them challenging to analyze. Dimensionality reduction techniques like Proper Orthogonal…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Abhishek Ajayakumar , Soumyendu Raha

This paper introduces an efficient sparse recovery approach for Polynomial Chaos (PC) expansions, which promotes the sparsity by breaking the dimensionality of the problem. The proposed algorithm incrementally explores sub-dimensional…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-05 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

The present work addresses the issue of accurate stochastic approximations in high-dimensional parametric space using tools from uncertainty quantification (UQ). The basis adaptation method and its accelerated algorithm in polynomial chaos…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Xiaoshu Zeng , Roger Ghanem

Surrogate modeling and uncertainty quantification tasks for PDE systems are most often considered as supervised learning problems where input and output data pairs are used for training. The construction of such emulators is by definition a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Yinhao Zhu , Nicholas Zabaras , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Paris Perdikaris

Increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events motivates the assessment of power system resilience. The random nature of power system failures during these events mandates probabilistic resilience assessment, but…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-05 Aidan Gerkis , Xiaozhe Wang

This paper proposes an adaptive sparse polynomial chaos expansion(PCE)-based method to quantify the impacts of uncertainties on critical clearing time (CCT) that is an important index in transient stability analysis. The proposed method can…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-10 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

In this letter, we compare three polynomial chaos expansion (PCE)-based methods for ANCOVA (ANalysis of COVAriance) indices based global sensitivity analysis for correlated random inputs in two power system applications. Surprisingly, the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-17 Xiaoting Wang , Rong-Peng Liu , Xiaozhe Wang , François Bouffard
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