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The often debated issue of `ratios of small numbers of events' is approached from a probabilistic perspective, making a clear distinction between the predictive problem (forecasting numbers of events we might count under well stated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-09 Giulio D'Agostini

The initial time-dependence of a state in circumstances where it makes transitions to, or decay to, a second state has been investigated. In classical stochastic processes, the observed time dependence of transition or decay proportional to…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-03-15 Maciej Rybczyński , Zbigniew Włodarczyk

Time-dependent correlation functions of (unstable) particles undergoing biased or unbiased diffusion, coagulation and annihilation are calculated. This is achieved by similarity transformations between different stochastic models and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Malte Henkel , Enzo Orlandini , Gunter M. Schütz

Stochastic point processes with refractoriness appear frequently in the quantitative analysis of physical and biological systems, such as the generation of action potentials by nerve cells, the release and reuptake of vesicles at a synapse,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Moritz Deger , Moritz Helias , Stefano Cardanobile , Fatihcan M. Atay , Stefan Rotter

We present some correlated fractional counting processes on a finite time interval. This will be done by considering a slight generalization of the processes in Borges et al. (2012). The main case concerns a class of space-time fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-10 Luisa Beghin , Roberto Garra , Claudio Macci

Renewal processes are broadly used to model stochastic behavior consisting of isolated events separated by periods of quiescence, whose durations are specified by a given probability law. Here, we identify the minimal sufficient statistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-19 Sarah Marzen , James P. Crutchfield

The asymmetric switch process is a binary stochastic process that alternates between the values one and minus one, where the distributions of the time in these states may differ. Two versions of the process are considered: a non-stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Henrik Bengtsson , Krzysztof Podgorski

In a reaction-diffusion system, fluctuations in both diffusion and reaction events, have important effects on the steady-state statistics of the system. Here, we argue through extensive lattice simulations, mean-field type arguments, and…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-06-12 Fernando Peruani , Chiu Fan Lee

The participation factor (PF), as an important modal property for small-signal stability, evaluates the linkage between a state variable and a mode. Applying the normal form theory, a nonlinear PF can be defined to evaluate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Tianwei Xia , Kai Sun

The space-fractional and the time-fractional Poisson processes are two well-known models of fractional evolution. They can be constructed as standard Poisson processes with the time variable replaced by a stable subordinator and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-09 Luisa Beghin , Costantino Ricciuti

Understanding the statistics of level crossings in stochastic processes is crucial across many scientific disciplines. The traditional Kac-Rice formula gives the mean rate of level crossings and has found broad use. However, that mean rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Shivang Rawat , Flaviano Morone , David J. Heeger , Stefano Martiniani

The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Mauro Politi , Taisei Kaizoji , Enrico Scalas

Loosely speaking, the Shannon entropy rate is used to gauge a stochastic process' intrinsic randomness; the statistical complexity gives the cost of predicting the process. We calculate, for the first time, the entropy rate and statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-13 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

In this paper we investigate the normal and the large fluctuations of additive functionals associated with a stochastic process under a general non-Poissonian resetting mechanism. Cumulative functionals of regenerative processes are very…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Marco Zamparo

We extend Fano's inequality, which controls the average probability of events in terms of the average of some $f$--divergences, to work with arbitrary events (not necessarily forming a partition) and even with arbitrary $[0,1]$--valued…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-12 Sebastien Gerchinovitz , Pierre Ménard , Gilles Stoltz

In this paper, we develop two stochastic models where the variable under consideration follows Harris distribution. The mean and variance of the processes are derived and the processes are shown to be non-stationary. In the second model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 S Sherly , M K Jose , E Sandhya , N Raju

Fractional generalizations of the Poisson process and branching Furry process are considered. The link between characteristics of the processes, fractional differential equations and Levy stable densities are discussed and used for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-02-15 Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Dexter O. Cahoy , Renat T. Sibatov

The aim of this paper is the analysis of the fractional Poisson process where the state probabilities $p_k^{\nu_k}(t)$, $t\ge 0$, are governed by time-fractional equations of order $0<\nu_k\leq 1$ depending on the number $k$ of events…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Roberto Garra , Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

We study the interplay between noise and a positive feedback mechanism in an excitable system that generates events. We show that such a system can exhibit a bistability in the dynamics of the event generation (states of low and high…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-22 Justus A. Kromer , Reynaldo D. Pinto , Benjamin Lindner , Lutz Schimansky-Geier

We consider two different proposals to generate a time series with the same non-Poisson distribution of waiting times, to which we refer to as renewal and modulation. We show that, in spite of the apparent statistical equivalence, the two…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Paolo Allegrini , Francesco Barbi , Paolo Grigolini , Paolo Paradisi