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This study focuses on multi-step spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting for the Norwegian continental shelf. The study aims to leverage spatial dependencies through the relative physical location of different measurement stations to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

Conventional hurricane track generation methods typically depend on biased outputs from Global Climate Models (GCMs), which undermines their accuracy in the context of climate change. We present a novel dynamic bias correction framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-05 Reda Snaiki , Teng Wu

Graph neural networks have emerged as a powerful tool for learning spatiotemporal interactions. However, conventional approaches often rely on predefined graphs, which may obscure the precise relationships being modeled. Additionally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Jeehong Kim , Minchan Kim , Jaeseong Ju , Youngseok Hwang , Wonhee Lee , Hyunwoo Park

Building on recent research for prediction of hurricane trajectories using recurrent neural networks (RNNs), we have developed improved methods and generalized the approach to predict Bayesian intervals in addition to simple point…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-12 Max Chiswick , Sam Ganzfried

Accurate trajectory prediction is crucial for ensuring safe and efficient autonomous driving. However, most existing methods overlook complex interactions between traffic participants that often govern their future trajectories. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Zixu Wang , Zhigang Sun , Juergen Luettin , Lavdim Halilaj

Predicting human mobility holds significant practical value, with applications ranging from enhancing disaster risk planning to simulating epidemic spread. In this paper, we present the GeoFormer, a decoder-only transformer model adapted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Aivin V. Solatorio

The ability to model and predict ego-vehicle's surrounding traffic is crucial for autonomous pilots and intelligent driver-assistance systems. Acceleration prediction is important as one of the major components of traffic prediction. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Jianyu Su , Peter A. Beling , Rui Guo , Kyungtae Han

Accurate Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) climate forecasting is pivotal for decision-making including agriculture planning and disaster preparedness but is known to be challenging due to its chaotic nature. Although recent data-driven models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Yang Liu , Zinan Zheng , Jiashun Cheng , Fugee Tsung , Deli Zhao , Yu Rong , Jia Li

Spatiotemporal data is ubiquitous, and forecasting it has important applications in many domains. However, its complex cross-component dependencies and non-linear temporal dynamics can be challenging for traditional techniques. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Hao Yuan Bai , Xue Liu

Traffic prediction is a flourishing research field due to its importance in human mobility in the urban space. Despite this, existing studies only focus on short-term prediction of up to few hours in advance, with most being up to one hour…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 David Alexander Tedjopurnomo , Farhana M. Choudhury , A. K. Qin

The complex spatial-temporal correlations in transportation networks make the traffic forecasting problem challenging. Since transportation system inherently possesses graph structures, many research efforts have been put with graph neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Yuyol Shin , Yoonjin Yoon

Trajectory prediction plays a vital role in automotive radar systems, facilitating precise tracking and decision-making in autonomous driving. Generative adversarial networks with the ability to learn a distribution over future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Peiyuan Zhu , Fengxia Han , Hao Deng

We propose a novel sequence prediction method for sequential data capturing node traversals in graphs. Our method builds on a statistical modelling framework that combines multiple higher-order network models into a single multi-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Christoph Gote , Giona Casiraghi , Frank Schweitzer , Ingo Scholtes

Modeling complex spatiotemporal dependencies in correlated traffic series is essential for traffic prediction. While recent works have shown improved prediction performance by using neural networks to extract spatiotemporal correlations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Junpeng Lin , Ziyue Li , Zhishuai Li , Lei Bai , Rui Zhao , Chen Zhang

In traffic forecasting, graph convolutional networks (GCNs), which model traffic flows as spatio-temporal graphs, have achieved remarkable performance. However, existing GCN-based methods heuristically define the graph structure as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Jun Fu , Wei Zhou , Zhibo Chen

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

Forecasting the trajectory of pedestrians in shared urban traffic environments is still considered one of the challenging problems facing the development of autonomous vehicles (AVs). In the literature, this problem is often tackled using…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Khaled Saleh

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi

We present a statistical model for the unconditional mean tracks of hurricanes. Our model is a semi-parametric scheme that averages together observed hurricane displacements. It has a single parameter that defines the averaging length…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Tim Hall , Stephen Jewson

Traffic prediction remains a key challenge in spatio-temporal data mining, despite progress in deep learning. Accurate forecasting is hindered by the complex influence of external factors such as traffic accidents and regulations, often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Hongjun Wang , Jiawei Yong , Jiawei Wang , Shintaro Fukushima , Renhe Jiang