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Calibration of neural networks is a topical problem that is becoming more and more important as neural networks increasingly underpin real-world applications. The problem is especially noticeable when using modern neural networks, for which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Ondrej Bohdal , Yongxin Yang , Timothy Hospedales

We derive a novel sensitivity analysis of input variables for predictive epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. We use Bayesian neural networks with latent variables as a model class and illustrate the usefulness of our sensitivity analysis…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-12 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Steffen Udluft , Thomas Runkler

Energy-based models (EBMs) offer a flexible framework for probabilistic modelling across various data domains. However, training EBMs on data in discrete or mixed state spaces poses significant challenges due to the lack of robust and fast…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-03 Tobias Schröder , Zijing Ou , Yingzhen Li , Andrew B. Duncan

This work introduces a formulation of model predictive control (MPC) which adaptively reasons about the complexity of the model based on the task while maintaining feasibility and stability guarantees. Existing MPC implementations often…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Joseph Norby , Ardalan Tajbakhsh , Yanhao Yang , Aaron M. Johnson

Mathematical models of cognition are often memoryless and ignore potential fluctuations of their parameters. However, human cognition is inherently dynamic. Thus, we propose to augment mechanistic cognitive models with a temporal dimension…

Machine learning models exhibit two seemingly contradictory phenomena: training data memorization, and various forms of forgetting. In memorization, models overfit specific training examples and become susceptible to privacy attacks. In…

Explicit modelling of between-study heterogeneity is essential in network meta-analysis (NMA) to ensure valid inference and avoid overstating precision. While the additive random-effects (RE) model is the conventional approach, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Xinlei Xu , Caitlin H Daly , Audrey Béliveau

Interpretability is often pointed out as a key requirement for trustworthy machine learning. However, learning and releasing models that are inherently interpretable leaks information regarding the underlying training data. As such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-04-04 Julien Ferry , Ulrich Aïvodji , Sébastien Gambs , Marie-José Huguet , Mohamed Siala

Several phenomena are available representing market activity: volumes, number of trades, durations between trades or quotes, volatility - however measured - all share the feature to be represented as positive valued time series. When…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-14 Fabrizio Cipollini , Giampiero M. Gallo

Machine Learning is becoming more prevalent in science and engineering, but many approaches do not provide meaningful uncertainty estimates and predictions may also violate known physical knowledge. We propose a Bayesian framework to embed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Matthew Marsh , Benoît Chachuat , Antonio del Rio Chanona

Sensitivity Analysis is a framework to assess how conclusions drawn from missing outcome data may be vulnerable to departures from untestable underlying assumptions. We extend the E-value, a popular metric for quantifying robustness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Wu Xue , Abbas Zaidi

Deep learning models are effective, yet brittle. Even carefully trained, their behavior tends to be hard to predict when confronted with out-of-distribution samples. In this work, our goal is to propose a simple yet effective solution to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Gabriela Csurka , Tyler L. Hayes , Diane Larlus , Riccardo Volpi

Hierarchical data with multiple observations per group is ubiquitous in empirical sciences and is often analyzed using mixed-effects regression. In such models, Bayesian inference gives an estimate of uncertainty but is analytically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Alex Kipnis , Marcel Binz , Eric Schulz

Verifying whether the machine unlearning process has been properly executed is critical but remains underexplored. Some existing approaches propose unlearning verification methods based on backdooring techniques. However, these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Weiqi Wang , Zhiyi Tian , Chenhan Zhang , Luoyu Chen , Shui Yu

Interpretation of machine learning models has become one of the most important research topics due to the necessity of maintaining control and avoiding bias in these algorithms. Since many machine learning algorithms are published every…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Wilson E. Marcílio-Jr , Danilo M. Eler , Fabrício Breve

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

In this report we review memory-based meta-learning as a tool for building sample-efficient strategies that learn from past experience to adapt to any task within a target class. Our goal is to equip the reader with the conceptual…

Recently, adaptive control systems with relaxed persistent excitation (PE) conditions have been proposed to guarantee true parameter convergence and improve the transient response. However, in some cases, sufficient control performance and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Satoshi Tsuruhara , Kazuhisa Ito

The performance of modern reinforcement learning algorithms critically relies on tuning ever-increasing numbers of hyperparameters. Often, small changes in a hyperparameter can lead to drastic changes in performance, and different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Jacob Adkins , Michael Bowling , Adam White

Networked data, in which every training example involves two objects and may share some common objects with others, is used in many machine learning tasks such as learning to rank and link prediction. A challenge of learning from networked…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Yuanhong Wang , Yuyi Wang , Xingwu Liu , Juhua Pu
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