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The recent abundance of data on electricity consumption at different scales opens new challenges and highlights the need for new techniques to leverage information present at finer scales in order to improve forecasts at wider scales. In…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-23 Anestis Antoniadis , Solenne Gaucher , Yannig Goude

Modern software systems provide many configuration options which significantly influence their non-functional properties. To understand and predict the effect of configuration options, several sampling and learning strategies have been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-08 Pooyan Jamshidi , Norbert Siegmund , Miguel Velez , Christian Kästner , Akshay Patel , Yuvraj Agarwal

We consider the problem of power demand forecasting in residential micro-grids. Several approaches using ARMA models, support vector machines, and recurrent neural networks that perform one-step ahead predictions have been proposed in the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-30 Riccardo Bonetto , Michele Rossi

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Current postprocessing techniques often require separate models for each lead time and disregard possible inter-ensemble relationships by either correcting each member separately or by employing distributional approaches. In this work, we…

Accurate photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is critical for integrating renewable energy sources into the grid, optimizing real-time energy management, and ensuring energy reliability amidst increasing demand. However, existing models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Guang Wu , Yun Wang , Qian Zhou , Ziyang Zhang

This paper proposes an improved deep learning based maximum power point tracking (MPPT) in solar photovoltaic cells considering various time series based environmental inputs. Generally, artificial neural network based MPPT algorithms use…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-26 Palaash Agrawal , Hari Om Bansal , Aditya R. Gautam , Om Prakash Mahela , Baseem Khan

Transfer learning is a widely used method to build high performing computer vision models. In this paper, we study the efficacy of transfer learning by examining how the choice of data impacts performance. We find that more pre-training…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-12-13 Jiquan Ngiam , Daiyi Peng , Vijay Vasudevan , Simon Kornblith , Quoc V. Le , Ruoming Pang

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

Time series forecasting is an important task in many fields ranging from supply chain management to weather forecasting. Recently, Transformer neural network architectures have shown promising results in forecasting on common time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Clemente Ocejo , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz , Ioannis Spantidakis , Hamza Zerhouni

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

The Transformer is a highly successful deep learning model that has revolutionised the world of artificial neural networks, first in natural language processing and later in computer vision. This model is based on the attention mechanism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Riccardo Ughi , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

Accurate household electrical energy demand prediction is essential for effectively managing sustainable Energy Communities. Integrated with the Energy Management System, these communities aim to optimise operational costs. However, most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Ehtisham Asghar , Martin Hill , Ibrahim Sengor , Conor Lynch , Phan Quang An

Modern deep neural network (DNN) systems are highly configurable with large a number of options that significantly affect their non-functional behavior, for example inference time and energy consumption. Performance models allow to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Md Shahriar Iqbal , Lars Kotthoff , Pooyan Jamshidi

Electricity load forecasting for buildings and campuses is becoming increasingly important as the penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) grows. Efficient operation and dispatch of DERs require reasonably accurate predictions of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-20 Sakshi Mishra , Stephen M. Frank , Anya Petersen , Robert Buechler , Michelle Slovensky

High variability of solar PV and sudden changes in load (e.g., electric vehicles and storage) can lead to large voltage fluctuations in the distribution system. In recent years, a number of controllers have been designed to optimize voltage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Wenqi Cui , Yiheng Xie , Steven Low , Adam Wierman , Baosen Zhang

The new energy system constructed by energy storage and photovoltaic power generation system can effectively solve the problem of transformer overload operation in some enterprises. It can not only reduce the cost of electricity, but also…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-08-22 Longjin Lv , Yuxian Han

Time series forecasting is an important problem across many domains, including predictions of solar plant energy output, electricity consumption, and traffic jam situation. In this paper, we propose to tackle such forecasting problem with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Shiyang Li , Xiaoyong Jin , Yao Xuan , Xiyou Zhou , Wenhu Chen , Yu-Xiang Wang , Xifeng Yan

Precise and reliable climate projections are required for climate adaptation and mitigation, but Earth system models still exhibit great uncertainties. Several approaches have been developed to reduce the spread of climate projections and…

Efficient energy management in prosumer households is key to alleviating grid stress in an energy transition marked by electric vehicles (EV), renewable energies and battery storage. However, it is unclear how households optimize prosumer…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-28 Lennart Ullner , Alona Zharova , Felix Creutzig