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Sequential change point detection for multivariate autocorrelated data is a very common problem in practice. However, when the sensing resources are limited, only a subset of variables from the multivariate system can be observed at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Haijie Xu , Xiaochen Xian , Chen Zhang , Kaibo Liu

In Online Continual Learning (OCL) a learning system receives a stream of data and sequentially performs prediction and training steps. Important challenges in OCL are concerned with automatic adaptation to the particular non-stationary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Michalis K. Titsias , Alexandre Galashov , Amal Rannen-Triki , Razvan Pascanu , Yee Whye Teh , Jorg Bornschein

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Michalis K. Titsias , Jakub Sygnowski , Yutian Chen

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij

Large-scale distributed systems such as sensor networks, often need to achieve filtering and consensus on an estimated parameter from high-dimensional measurements. Running a Kalman filter on every node in such a network is computationally…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Mathias Hudoba de Badyn , Mehran Mesbahi

We propose a new framework for the detection of change-points in online, sequential data analysis. The approach utilizes nearest neighbor information and can be applied to sequences of multivariate observations or non-Euclidean data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Hao Chen

State estimation that combines observational data with mathematical models is central to many applications and is commonly addressed through filtering methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters. In this article, we examine the signal-tracking…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Nazanin Abedini , Jana de Wiljes , Svetlana Dubinkina

We formulate a recursive estimation problem for multiple dynamical systems coupled through a low dimensional stochastic input, and we propose an efficient sub-optimal solution. The suggested approach is an approximation of the Kalman filter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-26 Leonid Pogorelyuk , Clarence W. Rowley , N. Jeremy Kasdin

An optimal filter for Poisson observations is developed as a variant of the traditional Kalman filter. Poisson distributions are characteristic of infectious diseases, which model the number of patients recorded as presenting each day to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-14 Donald Ebeigbe , Tyrus Berry , Steven J. Schiff , Timothy Sauer

This paper aims to provide reliable estimates for the COVID-19 contact rate of a Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model. From observable data on confirmed, recovered, and deceased cases, a noisy measurement for the contact rate can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-22 Tobias Hartl

We study a distributed Kalman filtering problem in which a number of nodes cooperate without central coordination to estimate a common state based on local measurements and data received from neighbors. This is typically done by running a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-18 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Minyue Fu

Kalman filtering is a widely used framework for Bayesian estimation. The partitioned update Kalman filter applies a Kalman filter update in parts so that the most linear parts of measurements are applied first. In this paper, we generalize…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Matti Raitoharju , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Robert Piché

This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete-time stochastic systems with nonlinear uncertain dynamics over time-varying topologies of sensor networks. An extended state vector consisting of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-09-12 Xingkang He , Xiaocheng Zhang , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang

This paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior density of states and parameters over time. In order to…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-14 Jonathan R. Stroud , Matthias Katzfuss , Christopher K. Wikle

Collaborative filtering has been widely used in recommendation systems to recommend items that users might like. However, collaborative filtering based recommendation systems are vulnerable to shilling attacks. Malicious users tend to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Xin Liu , Yingyuan Xiao , Xu Jiao , Wenguang Zheng , Zihao Ling

The use of Kalman filtering, as well as its nonlinear extensions, for the estimation of system variables and parameters has played a pivotal role in many fields of scientific inquiry where observations of the system are restricted to a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-15 Joseph Arthur , Adam Attarian , Franz Hamilton , Hien Tran

Although there is substantial literature on identifying structural changes for continuous spatio-temporal processes, the same is not true for categorical spatio-temporal data. This work bridges that gap and proposes a novel spatio-temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Siddharth Rawat , Abe Durrant , Adam Simpson , Grant Nielson , Candace Berrett , Soudeep Deb

We propose an online detection procedure for cascading failures in the network from sequential data, which can be modeled as multiple correlated change-points happening during a short period. We consider a temporal diffusion network model…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2021-02-09 Rui Zhang , Yao Xie , Rui Yao , Feng Qiu

Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Diego Agudelo-España , Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jan Peters

In this paper, we investigate the problem of scheduling parallel Kalman filters for multiple processes, where each process is observed by a Kalman filter and at each time step only one Kalman filter could obtain observation due to practical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-07-18 Chen Wang , Zhiyun Lin , Gangfeng Yan
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